How to build and diversify your portfolio 📦
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Today I decided to talk to you about one of the most important topics (especially before the upcoming bullrun). Namely: how to properly build a portfolio with tokens.

I will start with one of the most important elements in any type of investing. Diversification is the activity of allocating your assets wisely. This will allow you to have a balanced portfolio that will reduce losses under different market circumstances.

📝 The two main rules of diversification are:

• Sector allocation.
Your portfolio should have assets belonging to different sectors. For example: blockchains, DeFi and GameFI. If one sector goes down, tokens from other sectors can cover your losses.

• Risk sharing (percentage allocation of your entire deposit).
You should always divide your portfolio by risk depending on your assets. Part of your portfolio should be in stablecoins (about 20%). The largest percentage in fundamental assets (60%) and a portion in risky coins (20%)

I also advise you to make a special table, for example in Excel, where you will record all the tokens that you buy, at what price and where you plan to sell them. This is also very important. You should have a plan of action.

📍 Also, for beginners, do NOT store your tokens on the exchange. After buying them, immediately transfer them to a hot or cold wallet. It will be much safer.

Do you diversify your investment portfolio?

🔥 - Yes
🧐 - No

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Medium-term review of BTC 💰

Friends, hello everyone. I decided to make a mid-term review of BTC for you today. I thought someone will be interested in my vision.

🔤 Over the past few days you could observe an interesting picture on the Bitcoin chart. After breaking through the local sloping resistance level, the price quickly flew upwards. And in addition, its growth was accelerated by the released data on the interest rate of the Federal Reserve. After the release, the NASDAQ index flew to update ATH, and of course pulled BTC with it.

Also today the chart once again showed us the "strength of buyers". In a moment the price fell $43,000 to $41,600. And after that, immediately returned to the previous values.

💡What's next for us? The level of $44.350 is ahead of us, and I believe that we can see a local pullback down from it. It is hard to say what will happen next, but I can say one thing: buyers prevail over sellers.

Do you think BTC will reach 48k this year?

🐳 - Yes
🧐 - No

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Liquidity inflow updates local ATH 📈

Friends, today I came across an interesting infographic. It shows the inflow of liquidity to the market. Looking at it, we can see a pattern that the total inflows into ETH and BTC are now accelerating at the same pace as before the bull market in 2020 and 2021.

⚫️Some might say that this is just a normal spike in market activity. However, for all the times this indicator has reached its current values, it has NOT fallen back to its starting point anytime soon.

📍It is not worth saying directly that this signals the beginning of another global bull cycle. But it is a very important indicator. And I think no one will argue that the market is in very good conditions now: new projects are coming out, BTC is flying up, big projects are making loud announcements, etc. Looks like it's started...🔥

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How to build a portfolio with an open mind? 📦

Friends, today we are going to talk again about one of my favorite topics: investment portfolio. When creating a portfolio, it can be difficult to avoid subjectivity. It's important to keep the right psychology in mind in order to develop the right strategy. There are a number of rules of thumb for this.

1️⃣Don't get attached to something specific

People have a hard time changing, so they easily get attached to certain assets and have a hard time giving them up. To avoid this, you should not make a choice in favor of one thing or it will be hard to give it up later.

2️⃣ Avoid incentive bias

For example, you profit from BTC or a certain altcoin and then continue to invest only in them because you subconsciously want to confirm this idea. It is worth avoiding this attitude towards incentives and not being driven only by self-interest. And always remember to diversify.

3️⃣ Don't give up doubts

If you start avoiding all doubts, you will make impulsive and rash decisions. When you see negative news about the project, go deeper into the topic, study it, and do not avoid the trouble, because this way you will not know that the project now may have just temporary problems, but in the future it will give you earnings.

4️⃣ Do not be influenced by authority figures

This rule has already become standard: you should not blindly follow opinion leaders, you should always keep DYOR in mind, etc. (even I could be wrong).

❕ Everyone may have biases related to crypto and strategies, but it is worth remembering what they can lead to and trying to avoid a subjective attitude to your portfolio.

Are you following these rules?

🐳 - Yes
🧐 - No

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My opinion on memcoins 🐸

Friends, everyone. I have already touched on this topic a couple of times on my channel, but today I decided to write specifically my thoughts. Namely: should I buy memcoins for my portfolio?

I will not repeat what memcoins are. If you missed it, you can familiarize yourself with it in this post.

📝 Let me get to the point: is it worth buying them? It is difficult to answer this question accurately. But I will answer - YES. If your portal will have some top meme coins, you will not lose. I'll explain why...

⚫️As we know, memcoins rise solely on news. And there's a bull market ahead of us, where there's a lot of news coming out all the time. There are more players who decide to build a business in the crypto market. And the probability that some of them will decide to do it through memcoins is quite high. And this plays in our favor, as it causes a price post and an influx of new trailers into the coin.

But also memcoins can start to grow after loud announcements of the projects themselves. For example, if PEPE decides to launch its P2E game, their token will most likely fly into space.

In general, growth can happen for absolutely anything.

📦 Which meme coins I would buy: PEPE, MEME, DOGE and SHIB. You may also want to take a closer look at memcoins on Solana.

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What is happening to the market: up or down 📈

Today I will tell you some interesting things about the market that will help you guess the future movement. At the moment, the sellers are still pushing the market, but the price is all coming back up fairly quickly. What's happening now?

⚫️My opinion is that the market is disembarking and accumulating fuel for growth.

🔤 To understand, let's look at a couple of points:

1) Funding is almost at zero. Considering that it was at high values a week ago, we can consider that many participants closed their long positions. That is, the volume of long/short positions almost keeps parity (the same passenger disembarkation).

Funding rate (fundings) is periodic payments for traders who have open positions in the open-ended futures market.

2) The number of long/short positions is now on the sellers' side. That is, the number of shorts in the market is higher, which indicates that they may be getting into short positions on a rising trend (accumulation of the very fuel).

❕ Taking into account these facts and the price behavior, it makes us think that probably this week we may see the end of correction and sharp growth.

Do you agree with my opinion?

🔥 - Yes
🧐 - No

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Overview of tier-1 fund - Paradigm 📦

Friends, today I decided to test a new post format. In them I will be doing reviews of top crypto funds, which are important to pay attention to when analyzing projects and making investment decisions. Let's get started.

⚫️Paradigm is a venture capital fund focused on financing various crypto technologies and solutions in this field. The fund's main interests are spread across the following Web3 sectors:
• Blockchain services - 29.4%.
• DeFi - 21.2%.
• CeFi - 14.1%.
• Networks - 9.4%.
• NFT - 9.4%.
• GameFi - 7.1%.
• SocialFi - 4.7%.
• Blockchain infrastructure - 3.5%.
• Other - 1.2%.

🥅 Since its founding in 2018, the fund has made a number of large investments in well-known projects, For example, Paradigm sponsored Uniswap for $1.8 million, and a few years later, the fund's stake in the project increased to $4 billion.

Paradigm currently manages ~$8 billion in assets, and has participated in 95 funding rounds, of which it has led 67. Some of the best projects Paradigm has invested in are Uniswap, Blur, Starknet, Lido, Aztec, Optimism, and Magic Eden.

📍Why should you pay special attention to Paradigm's investments? The fact is that out of the 16 projects in which the fund acted as a lead investor, 11 of them launched drops with good rewards. Those projects that Paradigm pays attention to are definitely potential market leaders in the future. And that means there is money to be made from them.

❔ What do you think of this format of posts, keep going?

🔥 - Yes
🧐 - No

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Current review on BTC 💰

Friends, today I decided to make a small review on BTC for you, as now we are near one of the key points. Namely near the level of $44.350.

🔤 During yesterday's day Bitcoin showed good growth and today the price went into consolidation. If we consider yesterday's day, the price grew up to $44k, almost touching the level of $44.350, which we expected, and after that there was a small pullback down. Now the price is on its way to do a retest of the level and this gives us a strong signal that we may go even higher soon.

It seems that BTC may continue the classic upward trend. Its essence is that the asset grows sharply at first, then goes into consolidation for a certain period of time and then continues to grow again. This strategy can be used for almost all assets during a bull market.

📍At the moment my team and I are following the level of 44.330$. This is the key point to pass for further growth. Our opinion is that after breaking through it, the price will impulsively go to 48k, and after that you will see a reversal (at least locally).

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400% growth in 2 months - Solana 🪙

Hello friends. Today we will talk to you about one of the most popular topics in recent times, namely the Solana project.

If you follow the market, you have definitely observed how SOL has grown from $25 to $100 for the last two months. But what is the reason for this growth?

🔤 Over the last month, there has been a lot of activity on this blockchain, with many NFT collections and meme coins starting to appear on Solana. For example, a couple of days ago, just for one day in the Solana network there were more than 5000 new tokens issued. 99.99% of them are meme tokens and other scam. Hence the growth is coming from here.

By the way, on November 4 (SOL was worth $42 at the time), I wrote a post about this blockchain and said it was still very promising. My quote: "Personally, I have this token in my portfolio. I believe that this project can show at least 3X in the next bull market." But to my surprise, the post happened much earlier.

📍If you have this token in your portfolio now, I advise you to sell part of your position now and lock in profits (I sold about 50%).

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My expectations for Q1 2024 📈

The entire financial industry is built on selling expectations and illusions

📊 It is on expectations and discounting that markets are rising today. And the more positive facts appear, the more likely a correction will occur. Right now, the market has already priced in optimistic expectations from:
a) ETF approval in January
b) Fed rate cut in March 2024
c) halving.
As soon as we face the facts of these events → we will fall.

The uptrend will continue as long as expectations are dominated by a share of positivity. In my opinion, the price ceiling for the next 2 months is $55,000. The lower boundary is the range of $29,000-32,000.

• The upper boundary should be strong enough to reach, as the budget for marketing promotion of ETFs by financial giants has not been spent in full yet, which means that infopods on this topic will continue to push the market.

📍Conclusion - I keep the tactics of buying after the fall. I am waiting for the zone of interest, from which risk/reward suits me. I don't want to think about the button "big short" until touching the levels of $55.000. Not all the factors have been formed for the markets to turn downward, so I am working on the trend.

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I bought a new token for my portfolio - CETUS 📦

Friends, hello everyone. Today I decided to talk to you about the altcoin season and one new token, which I chose for investment.

🔤 I believe that there is still time to grow altcoins and we still have the opportunity to get conservative x2-x3 with the trading idea I will write below. I will describe the growth triggers that I am considering.

I bought one interesting coin - CETUS. It is a top-1 DEX (decentralized exchange) on the SUI blockchain. Its TVL = $40m$ and m.cap = $7m$. I think the numbers speak for themselves here + I think SUI hasn't said its last word yet and soon the price will be in the 0.8-1$ zone. This will of course have a positive impact on tokens of its ecosystem.

❕ With all these arguments, I naturally admit that we can all easily end up below the current price values. That's why I leave a small liquidity reserve for one buy averaging at -30-50% of the buy point.

Will you be buying this token?

🔥 - Yes
🧐 - No

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Overview of tier-1 fund - Polychain Capital 📦

Friends, earlier post with a review of one of the top crypto funds Paradigm. I see from the reactions that you liked this post, so I decided to continue this column. Let's take a look at a new fund!

⚫️Polychain Capital is a Tier-1 fund specializing in the cryptocurrency and financial technology sector. The exception is projects related to the environment. For the most part, the VC invests in the following sectors:
• DeFi - 31.7%.
• Blockchain Service - 24.4%.
• Blockchain Infrastructure - 21.3%.
• CeFi - 9.8%.
• Social - 6.1%.
• NFT - 2.4%.
• GameFi - 1.8%.
• Stablecoin - 1.2%.
• Currency - 0.6%.
• Other - 0.6%.

The company was founded in September 2016. The funder is Olaf Carlson-Wee. You can follow him on Twitter (X).

🥅 The company currently manages about $2.6 billion in assets and has five functioning funds: Ventures I ($175M), Ventures II, Polkadot Ecosystem Fund, Dao5 Fund ($125M), Investment Fund IV ($200M).

Not many people know, but one of the funds was launched in collaboration with Polkadot. Its goal: to maintain and launch projects built on the aforementioned blockchain.

📍Cumulatively, PL has participated in 203 fundraising rounds, in 116 of which it held the position of Lead Investor. Promising projects in the fund's portfolio include: StarkNet, Scroll, Polyhedra Network and EigenLayer.

Put 🔥 if this post was helpful to you...

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Investors are playing for the upside 📈

Saw an interesting infographic today and thought I'd share it with you. The smart money index for Bitcoin futures rose to a record high of 13,711. The supposed approvals of ETFs are most likely to blame for this.

🔤 The index makes it clear that institutional investors are opening a record number of longs on BTC.

However, according to analysts from QCP Capital, the actual demand for the spot BTC ETF may be lower than market expectations, and the "Sell on the news" scenario will begin. This is a system that works quite often.

📍This chart once again proves my thoughts in this post! Read it again carefully.

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Interesting shit-coin on Solana 🪙

Friends, hello everyone. Analyzed tokens on Solana today and found one interesting specimen - DRAGO.

📑 For the first day of the meme token's life:
• trading volume exceeded 1 million $
• market cap is now 860k (light and mobile asset)
• more than 1600 holders in 3 days.
• there is a partnership with NFT project on solan Lazy Alpha.

The team is interested in releasing the token on Mehs exchange in January (not the best, but one of the top exchanges). Now we can say the preparation is underway, so the project has launched an advertising campaign with various news resources.

They also launched airdrop for token holders. If you buy 7777 DRAGO, then on December 31, when the snapshot will be made, you will get under the airdrop of their token. That's all the information for now.

💡We are more interested in it from the point of view of short-term investments. Today we bought some of that token on the spot. If you are interested in similar meme tokens, you can repeat after me. Not a financial recommendation.

❔ Want more posts about meme and shit tokens?

🔥 - Yes
🧐 - No

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Fixing profit on DRAGO📦

Friends, a quick post from me. Yesterday I signaled to buy Drago shitcoin and immediately mentioned that this is a short-term investment.

⚫️Today the token met upward perfectly. My team and I sold 80% of Drago at $0.18. The rest was left for the future. The profit amounted to +72% on the spot.

If you also bought this token, now I advise you to fix a part of Police.

❔ Did you manage to make money on it?

🔥 - Yes
🧐 - No

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Useful knowledge about tokenomics 🔤

Hello everyone. I decided to make a post for you today that is not easy to understand, but it will be very useful for you if you decide to do analytics of crypto projects. Namely - tokenomics.

💡Tokenomics is an economic model of a crypto startup. It specifies various nuances regarding the token of the project. What areas the project emphasizes, how tokens will be distributed, how many tokens the team keeps, etc. All of these questions can be answered by familiarizing yourself with the basic metrics of tokenomics!

🟠Total Supply - the number of all tokens of the project that are expected to be released over time.

🟠Token Allocation (%) - this is the number of tokens in percentage terms that are allocated within the startup. The areas of funding can vary depending on the sector of the startup (Defi / GameFi / DEX etc). But there are areas that are present in any startup:

• Team - tokens that the team receives, this is a future reward for their performance, something like an option;
• Advisor - assets for advisors. Projects often attract specialists from the industry for more successful development;
• Liquidity - tokens that are needed to stabilize the price of cryptoassets on the market;
• Marketing - tokens to spread information about the project.

🟠Token Allocated - the same as the previous item, but only here the metric is expressed in project tokens.
The calculation is as follows: Total Supply * Token Allocation (%).

If someone wonders how tokens help in the development of a project, here is the answer. They are converted into stacks when listed, meaning crypto assets are merged into a stack of requests and then this cache is used for a specific purpose depending on what it was originally allocated for.

❕ Click 🔥 if you want to learn more about how to utilize tokenomics knowledge!

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BTC gives a new local high! 📈

Friends, hello everyone. Getting back in touch with you after 2 days break. Now I'm slowly starting to get back to work! But first of all, happy new year to everyone. I wish that 2024 you will be able to fulfill all your dreams and wishes. So, let's start turning on the "hard work" mode.

🔎 I'll start with a New Year's gift from BTC > $45,800. And here I will note that at the start of 2021 (the beginning of the last bull market), right after the new year, the market began to fly upwards. BTC to begin with, and later all altcoins.

In my opinion, 2024 will be a bullish year, so it is very likely that the market will move in a similar scenario.

• The question then becomes, Why is BTC rising?

The media is playing up to the buyers, starting to shill hints related to ETFs, because the benchmark date is coming soon and we are all waiting for very interesting news. There are also rumors that Tesla may soon start accepting BTC for payment.

📍BTC has a lot of space in front of it right now and it could go anywhere, given the upcoming likely date of ETF acceptance. Everyone is waiting for the first bitcoin ETF to be accepted on January 8. It's quite possible that the price may go up straight to that date.

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Deceiving hamsters on news about ETFs 📉

Friends, recently we saw another classic scheme in the market:

1️⃣ 2 days ago news came out that "Within two days an ETF on BTC will be accepted. BlackRock starts another 10 million bitcoin purchase and on top of that more headlines - soon BTC will be at $50,000" (positive).

Next:

2️⃣ More news coming out yesterday that someone somewhere heard that ETFs will likely not be accepted and it also indicated that institutional investors no longer believe in ETFs (negatives.)

As you guessed, high risk trading enthusiasts got immediate liquidations on positions.

3️⃣ A few hours later, the following news comes out that there is no information about ETF abandonment, but on the contrary - everyone is waiting for this process to be accepted. (positive)

Scheme: caught hamsters in longs -> shaved (liquidated) -> further went up. Dropped off the extra planters, so to speak.

❕ Conclusion: when the market shows super high volatility, you should not trade on futures. Why do you need leverage when tokens can do x2 in a day in such a market! This is a different time.

I hope you haven't lost a lot of money on such movements?

🔥 - Yes, all are good
🧐 - No, I lost some money

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Technical VS fundamental: about BTC 💰

Friends, hello everyone. This post will be made in the format of "thoughts in the ear".

💡Now I wanted to form a final opinion on the market and BTC in particular, but I faced a contradiction within myself.

• On the one hand, if you look at the technical analysis, the price made a false breakdown of $44.530 level and did not fall down. Now we are in consolidation near the level, and this is a sign that above the level we can go up.

• On the other hand, we can consider this false breakout as a fake high. Plus the price made a nice retest. Also, we can see a lot of positivity in the media and different publics about ETFs - this is also scary. When there is a lot of positivity, the market usually goes to turn around (against the crowd).

📍 I'm watching the situation closely now. By the way, I have closed all risky trades🔥

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Overview of tier-1 fund - Binance Labs 📦

In our regular column "Overview of tier-1 funds" we have already reviewed two major players in this area. Today we'll take a look at the brainchild of one of the major mastodons of the market - Binance Labs.

⚫️Binance Labs is a Tier-1 fund that is a subsidiary of the Binance exchange. The VC invests in the following sectors:
• DeFi (21.3%)
• Blockchain Infrastructure (20.7%)
• Blockchain Service (20.1%)
• GameFi (20.1%)
• Social (6.9%)
• NFT (4.6%)
• CeFi (3.5%)
• Other (1.2%)
• Stablecoin (1.1%)
• Currency (0.6%)

🟢 The fund was formed in July 2017. It has a total of 4 fund managers, the main one is the well-known to everyone - Changpeng Zhao (CZ).

The fund currently manages $1.5 billion in assets and has two functioning funds, Start-up Fund ($500 million) and Growth Ecosystem Fund ($1 billion).

There is also an incubator operating within the fund. It provides early-stage projects with the resources and experts to successfully develop a product. Example of incubator exits: Polygon, Dune Analytics, Perpetual Protocol, etc.

📍Cumulatively, BL has participated in 156 fundraising rounds. Illustrative investments include: PancakeSwap, LayerZero, 1inch, Aptos, Polygon. Also, Binance often makes investments and partnerships directly on behalf of the parent company, without affecting the fund itself.

Put 🔥 if this post was helpful to you...

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No one wrote about this -ETF of 2017 💰

Friends, I have already written many times about ETFs and everything related to it, but today I found one interesting information for you about how BTC ETFs were taken in 2017.

Let me say right away that the analogy is not 100% - now the market conditions have changed and the macroeconomic situation is also different. But market psychology, in my opinion, is the same during such events.

🔤 Let me break it down by date:

• October 30, 2017 - Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) announces the launch of bitcoin futures ETF in Q4 2017. BTC on this day = $6700, RSI ~80

• Nov 30, 2017 - CME announces exact ETF launch date of 12/18/2017. BTC = $11000, RSI ~84 (going up)

• December 14, 2017 (4 days before launch) - BTC = $19000, RSI ~75 (even more growth)

RSI (Relative strength index) is an indicator that shows the ratio of positive to negative price changes.

• December 18, 2017 (launch day) BTC = $18200

• December 22, 2017 (4 days after launch) BTC = $10500 (back to the original point)

📍Conclusion - the market can go up with overheated fundings and RSI>80 as long as there is a driver in the form of expectations. When the event itself happens, the market reverses immediately, even though the event is positive. If we talk about the situation that is happening now, I think that positive expectations on ETFs will remain even if tomorrow ARK Funf gets rejected: the reason will be eliminated through another lawsuit to the SEC.

❕ To put it in simple terms - BTC growth will continue, even though we rose to $47K yesterday.

Put 🐳 if this post was helpful to you...

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