🐸 The founder of Binance and his dog. What's going on?

Friends, hello everyone. I think everyone is already aware of what's going on if you're following the news background. In a nutshell, CZ revealed the name of his dog Broccoli in a post on Twitter.

🔤 He gave 3 hours notice that he would post such information. The excitement was huge!

It looks like CZ and team want to launch a BSC season on their blockchain.

Which means they are working on the growth of the network's native coin, BNB, trading volumes on DEX, and of course, meme season on the BSC blockchain — as the main narrative of this bull cycle.

🔎 However, they decided not to create their own CZ dog meme, but just warmed people up, did some cool marketing, and gave development teams a chance to come on their blockchain and launch their memcoin.

It was one of the toughest PvP-fights between traders and degens in history.

The amount of scam coins within a minute of CZ's post was such that it's hard to even count. Tokens with the same tickers appeared by the dozens, but in the end only a few survived.

💵 According to my observations, 98% of people simply lost money in this chaos. The only adequate strategy is to wait until a clear leader in terms of capitalization and volumes appears.

This particular dog is in the best position right now — link (not an advertisement)

❕ This is not a buying tip. The link is just for convenience so you don't waste time searching and possibly losing money on it 🐳

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📉 Biggest scam in recent memory

Friends, this story wasn't because of another anonym who scammed hamsters by hacking some official's Twitter.

🔤 This time, Argentine President Javier Milei was at the center of the scandal because of the launch of the LIBRA memcoin, which may go down in history as one of the biggest «rug pull» schemes.

The token was created in a hurry: the investor form led to a Google survey, and the domain, purchased hours before the launch, was registered for only one year.

At its peak, LIBRA's capitalization reached $4.5 billion and daily trading volume was $1.1 billion. In the first three hours, insiders withdrew $87.4 million, causing the price to plummet.

📉 At the same time, sellers' transactions accounted for only 27% of total transactions, which means that retail buyers were simply «fed» this shit.

KIP Protocol, who work closely with the Argentine president, are also said to be behind the creation of the token or its promotion. Here's what they stated in their tweet:

💬 LIBRA is not a rag. KIP is involved in the project, but our main role is to help distribute funds to Argentine companies, not to manage the token.

Milei deleted his original post, saying he was simply supporting a private project he knew nothing about. He called the organizers of the scam «dirty rats».

❕ Crypto without regulation is the wild west. As long as there is no regulatory framework and regulation, such cases will recur. The best solution is to skip them or enter only for the amount you are willing to lose, even if the token is launched by the president himself 🔥

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💸 New chance for Ethereum growth

Friends, the story with scam memcoin linked to the president of Argentina has moved to a new level — now regulators are seriously looking into it.

I wouldn't be surprised if high-level proceedings are already underway. How can this affect ETH and its ecosystem?

🔤 First of all, Solana is under attack - it was on its blockchain that all the recent scams originated. Here we should ask ourselves the question: «what was the main driver of Solana's growth?».

The answer is meme tokens, AI agents and other narratives that have fueled the influx of liquidity and retail players onto this blockchain.

In other words, it fueled trust in the ecosystem and motivated to hold SOL.

📥 But when projects on your favorite blockchain start screwing you over, the reaction is obvious — sell, walk away and forget.

If aggressive FUD in the media is added to this, the consequences could be catastrophic. Already analysts are finding traces of involvement of major Solana projects like Jupiter in this story.

❕ If this wave of negativity does not subside, but only increases, Solana risks getting its own «black swan». And this, of course, is to the benefit of ETH and its entire ecosystem 🔥

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📉 Mass exodus from Solana

Friends, saw an interesting statistic today — the number of active addresses in SOLANA network has decreased from 18.5 million (in November) to only 8.4 million as of today.

The recent correction on SOL has forced many to exit this asset.

🔤 However, it should be noted that it is small investors of the market that exit from the coin most of all. Large players continue to hold it without changes or it is partially purchased.

Even today I came across a whale address, which was bought today by Solana for $7.89 million.

This tells us that the current values can be freely considered as favorable marks for additional positions.

❕ But personally, I keep a minimum amount of SOL in my portfolio — there are more promising assets for me 🐳

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⛔️ How not to fall into the trap of illusory wealth

Friends, many traders and investors experience strong emotions when looking at their portfolio numbers.

Some feel nostalgic for the times when the balance was higher, others feel like a millionaire after seeing 7 digits on the screen.

🔤 But it is important to understand the key principle of financial markets: your portfolio is not money until you have fixed and withdrawn it.

If your deposit looks impressive today, it's no guarantee that the numbers won't halve or even more tomorrow. Similarly, if the balance is down, it doesn't mean you're poorer than yesterday until you record a loss.

The main trap is the feeling that if the portfolio has reached a certain point, then it's “your” money. But it isn't ⬇️

1️⃣ The unrealized PnL (profit/loss) is not your real capital — it's a volatile figure that can change in a matter of minutes.

2️⃣ The market doesn't move linearly — many people think that if they've made 10x, they can do it all over again. But the market doesn't obey your expectations.

3️⃣ Wealth is not a number on a screen but liquid assets — real money is what is already withdrawn and is under yours in a bank account.

📥 Typical mistakes that cause you to lose money

• Ignoring market changes — traders think that once a strategy has worked, it will always work.
• Aggressively increasing positions — when growth seems endless, risk starts to seem insignificant.
• Ego and complacency — success is written off only on one's own abilities, not the market.

Money is lost at every stage: it is difficult to catch the top point for profit taking, not every pullback leads to growth, and excessive trading activity often brings losses.

❕ The main thing is not to be greedy and regularly withdraw part of the profit into stable assets. If there is no profit on a spot - wait and everything will come...

Do you have enough patience when working in crypto?

🔥 — Yes, everything is good
🐳 — It can be emotionally difficult

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🐸 «We are here» — but where exactly?

Friends, there are, as always, two answers to this question. The same graph is superimposed on two completely different situations — see the picture.

🔎 Of course, we all want to see scenario #2, and I would not rule it out. It just takes time — the market always moves slower than our expectations.

Most analysts give March-April a chance, saying that if nothing happens in these months, we can go on a six-month holiday.

But we know how the market works — and more often than not, it goes against the crowd's expectations.

❕ Will there be a surprise this year that shatters expectations of a «sell in May»?!

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💸 The market will be pumped with money again

Over the last 24 hours, quite a lot has happened that directly affects the crypto market, so I decided to make a small squeeze of the most important things for you.

I don't usually do this kind of thing, but today it's necessary.

1️⃣ Trump said: I intend to make America the ‘crypto capital’. We put an end to Joe Biden's war on cryptocurrency. I'm considering giving 20% of D.O.G.E.'s saved funds to Americans.

2️⃣ New approvals from the SEC:
• Accepted for consideration to add staking to 21Shares' Ethereum ETF.
• Accepted for consideration for launch of Ripple ETF from Canary Capital.

3️⃣ Trump's campaign World Liberty Financial bought more Atlts, this time $125k worth of SEI tokens.

4️⃣ ETFs inflows/outflows for 19 Feb:
BTC ETFs recorded net outflows of -$65m.
. ETH ETFs net inflows of +$19m (a big positive).

As you can see — there is a lot of positive news here. And now let's talk a little bit more about the first one.

🔤 I don't understand why everyone missed this news. Trump is considering giving 20 per cent of DOGE savings to Americans and 20 per cent to debt repayment.

DOGE (Deportament of Government Efficiency) uncovered billions of dollars worth of fraud this month, in the future they plan to send the savings to Americans = helicopter money.

During past helicopter money ~$1200 in 2020 could buy 0.17 BTC. Now it's ~$17,000 😎

❕ Handing out money to COVID has been one of the strongest catalysts for stock market growth. But this time the money will go into crypto 🔥

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🚨 Michael Saylor's pyramid that will crash the market

Friends, on the way of any financial market there were «black swans» that dramatically and dramatically changed the whole situation.

In crypto, among the most significant ones are the collapse of Mt. Gox, Terra (LUNA) and, of course, FTX.

🔤 There were no such precedents in this cycle, but, I decided to consider one of the candidates — Strategy.

Let me explain: Strategy (formerly called MicroStrategy) is an American IT company specialising in business intelligence.

💰 Since 2020, it has bet on bitcoin, becoming the largest corporate holder of BTC (478,740 BTC), financing its purchases through bonds and issuing shares - and this is the point that interests us most.

Since the adoption of the bitcoin strategy, MSTR's shares have become highly dependent on BTC dynamics. In most cases, they repeat its price movements, but with an increased amplitude of ~1.5 times.

The main principle of the strategy is to raise borrowed funds to buy bitcoins through the issuance of convertible bonds.

The company issues debt securities with fixed income or the option to exchange for MSTR shares in the future. Conversion becomes possible if the share price reaches a predetermined level.

🛡 Why is this attractive to investors?

• Ability to exchange bonds for MSTR shares at a higher price.
• Potential increase in share price due to bitcoin accumulation.

Everything seems fine, but... This mechanism creates a kind of closed loop:

Bitcoin growth → MSTR stock growth → increase in bond conversion value → issuance of new debt → purchase of more BTC.

It follows that if the bitcoin price starts to fall, MSTR stock will fall even more.

📉 Financial risks and possible scenarios

If bondholders convert the bonds into shares when the price reaches the right level, the company's debt is effectively cancelled itself.

But if the MSTR price falls, Strategy will have to repay the debt in cash. In that case, the company may start selling its BTC to meet the obligations, and that could cause panic.

How so? One of the largest holders of bitcoin has started selling it? — Sell it too.

📥 How can all this be affected?

Right now, MSTR is on the cusp of inclusion in the S&P 500, and that moment could come in mid-June 2025. For that, the company needs to show earnings in Q1 2025.

A key factor is the value of bitcoin. If BTC holds above $96,330 by the end of Q1, Strategy's chances of getting into the S&P 500 will increase significantly.

❕ If that doesn't happen, Sailor's entire strategy will be in jeopardy, as the main trigger for raising enough capital for the company is the S&P 500 — without it, the ice will already start to crunch.

Put 🔥 if you liked this kind of post

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💵 Market maker buys KAITO

Friends, yesterday I analysed wallets of one of the largest market makers «WinterMute» and saw that he added $5.06 mln KAITO coin to his portfolio.

🔤 This asset has only recently entered the market and does not have a long trading history yet, but apparently MM has already planned some actions on it.

To understand (not an advert): KAITO is an AI-aggregator for crypto that collects information from Twitter, Discord, forums and podcasts.

Given this accumulation process, there is a pretty high probability to see significant growth impulses on this asset in the near future. It is worth taking note of.

❕ I personally have not bought it yet - I keep watching the price. Let me remind you that it is more risky to enter fresh assets 🐳

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😎 The cryptocurrency market is maturing — it is no longer afraid

Friends, despite another local market decline, it's hard not to be surprised at how easily we survived the biggest hack in the history of crypto. $1.5bn in ETH was stolen for a minute, not from Binance, but from Bybit.

🔤 Let me explain, in case you missed it: 4 days ago, the crypto market got a bit battered, namely ByBit (one of the most popular exchanges) was hacked by hackers. The exchange lost 401k ETH (≈$1.5bn) on this.

Previously, the market panicked over every ban in China or news about Mt.Gox payouts, but here the situation is quite different. After the attack, we even showed growth over the weekend.

🔎 There are 2 conclusions here:

1️⃣ The market is becoming more resilient - even when it comes to North Korean hackers breaking into exchanges, because the "industry" will help.
2️⃣ Judging by the market reaction, there is nowhere to fall, there is little liquidity at the bottom.

If this hack happened on the local ATH, the effect would be stronger, but now it looks like a signal that the bottom is near.

The only question is how long we will be driven up/down.

🛡 Separately, of course, I would like to praise Bybit. Everyone expected that the exchange would lose customers after this hack, but exactly the opposite happened

The whole Twitter respects the Bybit team and their funder for the way they handled the situation.

❕ This incident, which could have been a blow to reputation, on the contrary, showed that the exchange can be trusted and can withstand serious challenges 🔥

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📉 About the market fall and domination

Friends, in the last 24 hours BTC fell another 8% and reached $86,800! I honestly didn't expect this to happen.

💵 The market dropped well below the main liquidity block, which was around $93,000. As a result, all longists were liquidated, totalling $1.1 billion!

The dominance still does not want to change its trend and continues to actively rush upwards, already trading above 62%.

The market is falling, for this reason people are selling off their assets in panic.

📥 Accordingly, liquidity is leaving the altcoin sector, which causes bitcoin dominance and strong selling pressure on altcoins.

So far, the situation is deplorable and it can only be corrected by a liquidity flow from bitcoin to altcoin, and this event will happen only after bitcoin reaches another new ATH.

❕ Until then, the bulk of alts will be falling, and only single assets, which are stronger than the market, will show at least some upward impulses.

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🩸 There is the biggest fear in the market

Friends, the last few days have been a bloody battle in the financial sector:

• Liquidations have exceeded $1bn;
• Outflows from BTC ETFs have exceeded $2.5bn;
• Fear and Greed Index fell to 10 (the values ​​that were in June 2022);
• The US stock market lost over $500bn.

🔤 This kind of upset comes amid Donald Trump's statements about the imminent imposition of duties against Mexico, Canada and even Europe. His words, «Soon we will impose 25% duties on cars and on goods from the EU.»

This level of the Fear and Greed Index is reached in a bear market, or when a local bottom is reached in a rising market.

The current values should be taken literally as the end of a corrective movement, because in practice we have never seen a significant correction from the current values.

❕ The onset of such a state of fear has always led to an early reversal. If you were planning to short the current market (especially altcoins), you should think twice.

Not a financial recommendation 🐳

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🪙 Successful SOL holder re-purchases

Hello everyone. Today after analysing onchain, a large whale of an address has purchased $6.7m worth of SOL coin.

🔤 It's important to note that this address has been hitting Solana on a regular basis and he always manages to lock in a pretty decent profit.

Last time, in November, he sold all of his SOL coins for a total of $28.3 million, for a profit of $11 million (at $230). Right now, the token is priced at $145.

Now, after months of waiting, he's decided to stock up again.

❕ Those of you who have been looking for a good zone to dial in a position on Solana, take advantage. This guy clearly knows when to buy — maybe even an insider 🔥

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💸 This hasn't happened in a very long time...

Hello friends. Bitcoin is more oversold now than it was during the FTX crash when BTC was only $16,000 - shocker?

🔤 Who would have thought then that at $80,000, bitcoin would be as heavily oversold as it was at $16,000.

Oversold in the financial markets is the state of an asset in which its price is reduced to a level that is considered excessively low relative to its true value or trend.

The market works wonders :)

❕ One important thing to keep in mind is that reaching such a strong oversold level literally indicates that a local bottom is near. Although we have thought so many times before.....🧐

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💸 Trump, Ukraine, Crypto Reserve

The last few weeks have been a real storm for global markets. Political tensions, trade conflicts and instability around Ukraine are directly affecting the economy, and of course, cryptocurrency.

Let's break down what's going on and how it will affect us.

🔤 Yesterday, Donald Trump published a post announcing the creation of a cryptocurrency reserve that will include coins such as: $XRP, $ETH, $BTC, $SOL, $ADA and others not named.

This caused the entire market to plummet sharply.
• $XRP +18%
• $SOL +14.5%
• $ADA +32%

Trade war: the beginning of the end or a new round of pressure?
In February this year, Donald Trump initiated new trade conflicts by imposing significant tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, China and the European Union (EU).

In response, the American people naturally received similar retaliatory measures.

🔎 What are the consequences of this

• Creating phenomenal volatility.
• Breaking through the local lows of the year.
• Reducing the trade deficit and increasing control of economic flows in the US.

Right now we are in a zone of high turbulence and every piece of news can send us in absolutely any direction. The motto for the start of this year is huge volatility and destabilisation in all financial markets!

❕ But still the mood in the market can be called as follows — altseason soon. In addition, on 7 March, the White House and Donald Trump will hold the first ever crypto summit — wait...🐳

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🗣 Trump gets to work and manipulates the market

In the last 48 hours, the market has experienced significant swings, and its main ambassador, of course, has been Donald Trump — whose words move the market like a puppet.

💸 As I mentioned yesterday, the key event was his announcement about creating a strategic crypto reserve and signing an executive order on digital assets.

According to this order, the Presidential Working Group will be responsible for forming the crypto reserve, which will include BTC, ETH, XRP, SOL, and ADA.

So, how did it all start...

🔤 After the inauguration, we saw many statements about various tariffs — this clearly became FUD for financial markets, and for crypto in particular.

But on February 28, the crypto summit was announced, which will take place on February 7, and the market responded with some local positivity. This was followed by a kind of warming-up week for the crypto push.

We’ve already seen the news about the reserve, which pumped all the assets listed in it.

📥 But by the evening of yesterday, they had once again dropped following the announcement about the introduction of tariffs starting from April 2. As a result, in 24 hours, the crypto market lost $500 billion in capitalization.

Now, we can only wait to see what surprises the summit will bring. And perhaps we will be greeted with a few more big news items before it begins.

💬 Also, interestingly, Eric Trump commented on his father’s tweet:

«It’s time for traditional finance to catch up with the crypto industry, which operates 24/7. The world no longer lives 'from 9 to 5', and if banks and stock markets don’t change, they will disappear.»

He called the announcement of the creation of the crypto reserve on Sunday a brilliant move, as Wall Street was out of action.

🔖 Some large companies and individuals have also expressed that the market’s sharp reaction to Trump’s post is excessive.

«There is no clear plan to create such a reserve in the US, and the president’s actions are uncoordinated», said the TD Cowen team.

TD Cowen is an American investment bank with more than $11 billion under management.

😐 It’s also worth mentioning the case of the «insider», who opened a long position with 50x leverage on Ethereum for $200 million an hour before the reserve announcement, and then quickly sold, making ~6.8 million. Coincidence? Probably not...

He also opened a position on BTC. To understand his risk:

• The ETH position was opened at $2,197, and the liquidation was at $2,149.
• The BTC position was opened at $85,908, and the liquidation was at $84,752.

At its peak, the position size reached $100 million in BTC and $150 million in ETH.

❕ In general, there are still more questions than answers. The real game will begin after the summit — we’ll be keeping an eye on the developments 🔥

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💵 How Big Players Capture Liquidity

Friends, many of you are likely either trading in the crypto market or simply holding an investment portfolio, so here's a useful post for you.

🔤 If you've ever watched charts, you've probably noticed this pattern: the price approaches a level, seemingly breaks through it, but then sharply reverses back.

This can be described in three phrases: false breakout, stop-loss hunting, and liquidations. But let's break down why this happens.

🔖 The Nature of a False Breakout

A false breakout occurs when the price breaks a significant level, but instead of continuing in that direction, it quickly returns.

— It often happens during sideways market movement.

It's no secret that for a price to rise, buyers are needed, and for it to fall, sellers. This is why major players are always looking for where the main liquidity and stop-losses are concentrated.

They move the price to gather as many orders as possible before creating a real market move.

🔎 What Happens When Stop-Losses Are Triggered?

1️⃣ The price moves toward a level where there are a lot of orders. Traders see this and place their positions.

2️⃣ Stop-losses accumulate behind the level. For example:

— Short sellers place stops above resistance. — Long traders place stops below support.

3️⃣ Large players see these stop orders and create a false move:

— In the case of a false breakout upwards — Market Makers push the price above resistance, triggering short traders' stop orders. Their liquidations create forced buying, which pushes the price higher in the short term

— In the case of a false breakout downwards — the price breaks through support, and long traders' stop-losses turn into market sell orders.

After the stops are triggered, the price quickly reverses because major players have gained liquidity to enter the opposite position.

💬 But what should those who are encountering these formations for the first time do?

In trading, your best teacher is experience. However, here are some recommendations:

1️⃣ Wait for a Retest

A retest (return to the level) helps confirm the true direction of the price movement.

Useful tools:
• Resonance – tracking clusters;
• ATAS – tracking volume analysis and order flow.

2️⃣ Watch Liquidity and Clusters

Liquidity is the fuel of the market. Major players move the price where the most orders are concentrated.

Useful tools:
• Bookmap – liquidity and volume visualization;
• Hyblock – monitoring liquidations and liquidity zones.

Use these tools, learn, observe yourself, and over time, you'll see how the chart becomes more readable.

❕ Keep in mind that in crypto, 70% of the time the market is in a sideways trend, and only 30% of the time is it moving. The question is not whether you’ll catch the breakout, but whether you'll be able to recognize it in advance
.
Do you trade crypto?

🔥 — Yes, actively
🧐 — No
🐳 — I would like to learn

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🐸 Breakdown of key indicators of BTC dominance

friends, bitcoin dominance has touched the trend line, which has existed for almost 8 years (each touch led to the season of alts)

🔤 Also, we touched another indicator, which has never failed before, always after its breakdown we observed a reversal of dominance.

Confirmation of all this, you can see on the chart.

❕ Once again it proves that we are on the threshold of the reversal of the sector of alts. Take note, but learn that the market has become more complicated on many fronts...

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💸 Why is a market crash beneficial for Trump?

Friends, the image above summarizes the rationale behind the current administration’s actions and the reasons why they negatively impact the market in the short term.

1️⃣ In the next six months, $7 trillion in debt needs to be repaid. If not, it will have to be refinanced.

2️⃣ The Trump administration does not want to refinance the debt at rates above 4%, yet this year, the yield on 10-year bonds reached 4.8%.

3️⃣ How can the yield on 10-year bonds be lowered? By creating the perception of slower economic growth, demonstrating that the inflation reduction program is working, and pushing for lower interest rates.

To achieve this, tariffs are introduced, causing uncertainty in the markets. As a result, investors start selling stocks and buying bonds, which lowers their yields.

🔎 This, in turn, gives the Federal Reserve grounds to cut interest rates, making debt refinancing even cheaper.

Although tariffs typically lead to higher inflation and should, in theory, increase bond yields, the opposite is happening: fear in the market is driving investors toward safe-haven assets — specifically, bonds.

❕ This is exactly what Trump’s team is aiming for in the short term — to reduce the cost of servicing the national debt 🐳

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🛡 Trump officially accepts crypto reserve

friends, US President Donald Trump has approved an executive order creating the US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and Digital Asset Fund.

🔤 It includes both BTC and altcoins. As expected, there were no high-profile surprises — no one announced that they are about to go to Binance and buy $100 billion worth of cryptos (although cryptos certainly dreamed of hearing just that 😂).

What is at the core of the crypto reserve?

The bulk of the assets are previously confiscated and seized cryptocurrencies. Simply put, the very BTC and altcoins that the government received after scams, court cases and investigations.

How is the reserve structured?

✅ BTC reserve — you can buy, but you can't sell. This is a key plus, as now government agencies will no longer be able to sell BTC into the market, but only accumulate it.

❌ Alt-reserve — purchases are prohibited, but sales are allowed. Another disadvantage for alts. Even the government is realising that alts are better flipped rather than held long term.

What does this mean for the market?

1️⃣ BTC is officially recognised as digital gold — the US confirms its status.
2️⃣ Government BTC will no longer be traded - now only hold and accumulate.
3️⃣ Bitcoin becomes the new reserve currency in the global economy.

Even if you don't have large sums of money, it's worth starting to accumulate BTC. This is not financial advice, but history is being made right now. Those who realise this today will find themselves in a win-win situation tomorrow.

❕ A year and a half ago, no one would have imagined that the US would be the first to create a crypto reserve based on BTC and alts. Now it is a reality 🔥

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💰 What was discussed at the Crypto Summit from the White House

Friends, yesterday the highly anticipated crypto summit took place, and here are the key takeaways that were discussed:

🔤 Trump:

— The United States is already one of the largest holders of BTC, with about 200,000 BTC.
— The Treasury Department and the Department of Commerce will explore ways to acquire additional BTC reserves.
— We are concluding Operation «ChokePoint 2.0» (the de-banking of the crypto industry).
— I want stablecoin legislation passed before the August recess. America will never sell its BTC.
— Assets not related to BTC will be stored in a separate vault.

🔎 Scott Bessette (U.S. Treasury):

— We will focus a lot on creating a regulatory framework for stablecoins and end the repression of the crypto industry.
— We will cancel and amend all previous recommendations from the IRS regarding cryptocurrency.

Bitcoin is no longer just «digital gold», but a strategic asset. It will be accumulated and held, with no pressure from potential government sell-offs, and finally, a regulatory framework for stablecoins will emerge.

And this is just what was said openly to the press. What was discussed behind closed doors — we’ll find out or see later.

❕ So, the best thing to do now is to be patient and wait, as such processes take time. But the most important thing is — the ice has broken 🔥

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