CRYPTO TREYSI
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🧩 About Crypto β€” in simple words, making cash, talking about my personal experience in Crypto, NFT, GameFi, IDO digital projects.

πŸ”° No investment advices; Always DYOR!
πŸ’Œ FAQ: @Cooperate_Treysi
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πŸ’΅ Chinese developer Β«destroyedΒ» NVIDIA

Comrades, hello, everyone. We will start discussing this topic with charts. V-shaped reversals are observed on many assets now, which adds confidence in the market strength and in the continuation of the uptrend.

Let's face it β€” the charts look much better today than they did a couple days ago.


πŸ”€ Even AI-projects, which yesterday sagged on the background of panic around DeepSeek, today began to regain their positions. The market has digested the news, realized that nothing catastrophic has happened, and began to adequately assess what is happening.

Even Trump said today β€” Β«the emergence of DeepSeek is a positive, because competition always leads to developmentΒ».

πŸ”Ž But it's amazing how fragile the market can be. A vigorous media effort and a competent pitch from Chinese marketers β€” and we see the largest stock lose a record amount in value IN AMERICA'S HISTORY. Just think about it.

NVIDIA lost $589 billion in capitalization in a single trading session, and the U.S. stock market as a whole lost $2 trillion.

For comparison, that's the equivalent of bitcoin's entire capitalization. Just think about this scale.


By the way, this comparison clearly shows that the crypto market has a huge potential for growth. Even in moments of global panic and market revaluation, crypto still has prospects for further development.

❕ Therefore, we remain positive and keep working. Today's noise is just another stage on the way to more 🐳

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πŸ’° The US is betting big on bitcoin

Friends, a dually important piece of news broke today: US Senator Cynthia Lummis today officially announced (live on air) plans to make the country's strategic reserve in bitcoin, viz:

β€’ Buy 200,000 BTC annually for 5 years.
β€’ Hold for at least 20 years.


πŸ”– The goal of this whole endeavor is to cut the US national debt in half in 20 years. Here I have a couple of complaints as an economist, then we'll talk about it more closely.

A very loud statement that should attract a huge amount of liquidity into the market. After such news, many people who are not even related to crypto will run to buy :)

❕ However, this in turn may lead to a good local takeout.

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πŸͺ™ XRP is reorganizing the market rules

After Trump's election victory, the Ripple token (XRP) rose almost 500%: from $0.55 to $3.4. For two and a half months, the growth has not stopped.

This immediately begs the question: has such dramatic growth run out of steam?


πŸ“ˆ Why is XRP growing so much?

1️⃣ Political factor.
In early January, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse met with Trump. The news immediately fueled rumors of high level support for XRP and the early launch of an ETF.

2️⃣ XRP futures in two weeks?
A test version of CME Group's website appeared on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange's β€œbeta.cmegroup” subdomain announcing the launch of SOL and XRP futures on Feb. 10. The site is said to have posted the page by mistake.

The exchange has already announced orders for spot ETH-SOL. On timing: the market still expects a launch no earlier than mid-March.

There have been no official announcements on XRP yet.


3️⃣ Whales have become more active.
The number of addresses holding XRP worth $100k or more grew from 14k to 108.5k in just two months immediately after Trump's victory.

Trump himself is not giving any statement on the coin. Moreover, his fund World Liberty Financial, which just invested in ETH, TRX, AAVE and other tokens, has no investment in Ripple.

πŸ”€ Crypto future as a benchmark

In mid-December 2024, the New York Department of Financial Services approved Ripple's RLUSD stablecoin RLUSD for trading. The start of testing began back in April.

Garlinghouse expects the asset to become the β€œgold standard for the corporate sector” and will be in demand for RWA, DeFi and classic payments.

Against this backdrop, XRP jumped 10% in a couple hours. In general, it is already on the third line of the largest cryptocurrencies by capitalization.


❕ Meetings with Trump, launching a stablecoin, dominating the SEC - the market sees that Ripple has its own channels to achieve its goals. That's probably why so many whales have decided to invest in the coin, or perhaps know the insights πŸ”₯

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πŸ€” January was nerve-wracking, but February....

Friends, in case anyone missed it, on Wednesday there was a Fed meeting β€” as a result, the rate was left at the same level (4.5%)

The market reacted to the news with a slight correction of 1.5%, but soon rebounded and quickly recovered to the initial levels ($103,800).


πŸ”€ I believe this gives even more confidence that 2025 will still be a bullish year. January certainly rattled the nerves of many newcomers β€” but that said, the monthly BTC candle could still close bullish, which would create a good base for a February rally.

The fundamentals around crypto are getting stronger. Every day new states are considering BTC strategic reserve bills.

β€”
The first reviews and approvals for altcoin ETF applications have begun, and Litecoin is one of the top contenders.

πŸ’Έ Crypto supporters are taking key positions on Trump's team, the SEC is opening up to digital assets, and now it looks like the Fed may be going after our digital gold as well.

I have attached to the post a chart of the difference between the capitalizations of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies in the current cycle. I have a feeling the slingshot is being drawn for the shot.


❕ So far, things are shaping up realistically well, as painful and unpleasant as January was. Hopefully we are being set up for a super cycle πŸ”₯

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πŸ”Ή Is Solana killing Ethereum?

Friends, after Solana's recent new all-time high of $295, caused by a number of major meme token launches on this blockchain, many people started claiming that it's time to move money from ETH to SOL.

πŸ”€ This was also driven by negativity towards Ethereum, as it now looks an order of magnitude weaker than bitcoin. But what is this - a local FUD or a really alarming signal?

To better understand the situation, it's worth going back to the origins of the launch of Ethereum and how the crowd treated it.


πŸͺ™ In 2019, Ethereum was heavily criticized. At the time, the price of ETH was moving between $100-300, and Twitter was actively discussing that the era of ICOs was over and no one needed ether anymore.

It seemed to be one of the underdogs, as it did not react in any way to the growth of bitcoin.

In addition, at the end of 2020, when ETH was trading at $500-600 after the ATH of $1400 at that time, many people were sure that altcoins would never be on par with bitcoin.

The main reason: institutional investors had already arrived, and altcoins weren't taking off.


πŸ“₯ In 2022, when Ethereum was again at a crossroads, a new wave of skepticism erupted on social media, Β«Ethereum has lost its leadership.Β» This was amidst the launch of major projects and new initiatives in the blockchain industry.

β€” At that moment, the price of ETH was around $1,700, but there were still claims that Ethereum was on the verge of decline. But despite this skepticism, it was back on top again.

Moreover, instead of the usual horizontal accumulation, we witnessed a sharp Β«verticalΒ» growth.


πŸ”Ž Today we see the familiar doubts again, Β«Alts will not be able to catch up with bitcoinΒ». These fears are repeated year after year, but the market continues to grow despite pessimistic forecasts.

It is definitely not worth burying ETH. It still has a huge potential, which can be realized thanks to the interest of large capitals.

Trump is actively accumulating ether through his fund Trump's World Liberty.


❕ Fear of certain assets is as cyclical as the market itself. While some flip from unprofitable assets to more Β«promisingΒ» ones, others keep their cool - and win in the long run πŸ”₯

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πŸ“‰ WHY IS EVERYTHING GOING DOWN? TRAMP RESIGN!

Friends, Solana was below $180! Ethereum is at 2100. Bitcoin is almost $90k.

So what happened in the market?


πŸ”€ Just a couple days ago, Β«Donald DumpΒ» announced that he is introducing new policies on imports of Canada, Mexico, China, some of the countries announced reciprocal measures, which theoretically hints us to an economic war.

This is a Β«classicΒ» macroeconomic factor, which unfortunately reduces our deposit.

πŸ’΅ This news is summarized by the fact that the same night, Trump publicly supported the Fed that now is not the best time to cut rates, knowingly stating that the rate should be cut for sure.

In short, these info provocation, prospectively do not pose a threat to the crypto market, it is just a narrative to knock out your margin and spot positions in order to grow them later, but without you.

By the way, why it's profitable: overnight, over $2.5 billion of positions were liquidated in the market.


The task of the one who draws us the chart is to create the ideal conditions under which he will throw as many holdings overboard as possible.

πŸ”Ž In order to probe the ideal entry/exit point, it is often enough to pay attention to social networks, the more you see negative factors about the market, from an ordinary user.

The market is giving us tons of opportunities right now (but unfortunately not all people have money left for additional purchases), $JUP, $ETH, $APT, $WIF β€” what they are giving us right now to buy back at very sweet prices.

It is important to take into account that the very landing, should make as many people as possible to get out, and therefore, to understand which of the moments for entry or exit will be ideal, guessing is very, very difficult.

❕ We are in touch with everyone, don't get frustrated! 🐳

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🐸 The Trump Foundation is gearing up for a bullrun

Friends, the Trump family-backed World Liberty Financial (WLF) platform has grown its cryptocurrency portfolio to nearly $350 million in recent days, with more than $100 million invested in ETH in just 24 hours.

Those close to the project are talking about the presidential administration's grand plans for ether. Getting to the bottom of it...


πŸ’Έ What does the fund own?

On January 19, WLF acquired more than 25k ETH, increasing its portfolio to nearly 42k coins worth $141 million.

It's notable that this happened exactly the day before the inauguration - they were probably expecting a bull rally to start right after the presidency began.

Back in late November 2024, the project only owned $55 million worth of crypto β€” two months later, the portfolio was 6 times larger.


πŸ“‘ According to Arkham, there are now WLF:
β€’ ETH and $215 million worth of liquid stETH staking tokens;
β€’ a wrapped version of bitcoin WBTC at $50 million;
β€’ TRX, AAVE, LINK and ENA for $25 million;
β€’ USDC and USDT stablecoins and other coins for $60 million.

πŸ”Ή According to Ethereum co-founder Joseph Lubin, the Trump family is looking to launch several Ethereum-based businesses and are exploring other blockchains such as Bitcoin and Solana.

If the US does integrate ETH into government processes, the coin could see tremendous growth - which is probably why it makes up over 60% of WLF's portfolio.

πŸ›‘ Ethereum: paradigm shift

The active buying of Ethereum has coincided with a massive change in the Ethereum Foundation (EF) organization.

Previously, the foundation used ETH exclusively to sell tokens, pay grants, and create event tickets. Buterin refused to staking due to regulatory risks and conflicts of interest.

But recently Vitalik announced that he was ready for staking, but the question of expediency arose: it would have brought the fund $26 million in annual revenue, while spending $135 million.


At the same time, the other day a wallet controlled by the fund was registered, which conducted a transaction for 50k ETH. On January 21, EF said that this wallet will be used for the fund's participation in DeFi projects.

❕ It is not yet clear which blockchain will be preferred by the US administration, but it is already clear that the WLF portfolio can serve as a benchmark: where more people invest, the strongest growth is expected. And right now it is ETH πŸ”₯

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πŸ’Έ Why isn't the Β«crypto czarΒ» increasing our portfolios?

Friends, I'll start my post with a brief excerpt and reaction to a conference that took place a couple days ago, where David Sacks, who Trump appointed to be the Β«crypto czarΒ», spoke.

πŸ”€ A squeeze of his words:

β€” Frankly, we are coming out of four years of arbitrary harassment and persecution of crypto companies.

β€” We're excited to work on regulating stablecoins.

β€” We want to make a β€œgolden age of cryptocurrency.”

β€” The feasibility of creating a reserve in bitcoins is being explored.

Despite such a positive statement, many people have started to turn negative. But why?


πŸ”Ž Because the price didn't skyrocket or your 50x leveraged token didn't fly to the moon?

In fact, what is happening now is a new reality that we haven't seen before! The mere statement that 4 years of crypto stalking is behind us and now a new era with a green light for projects and developers is beginning should say a lot.

Let's remember the reasons for the stagnation and prolonged depression of the market in 22/23 years.

The prolonged market depression was largely due to the total pressure on crypto β€” regulation squeezed projects and investors. The pressure occurred simply on the back of the fact that there was not this very clear and understandable legal framework.

πŸ“€ Now the situation is changing:

β€” The market is being untied
β€” A clear legal framework will appear
β€” A renaissance of ICOs and new forms of capital raising is possible.

But not everything is so simple...


There has also been a lot of talk about regulation. Let's not forget that regulation is not the absence of rules, but their clear presence.

πŸ“‘ That is, the Trump administration will create a legal framework that will make the market more understandable.

The market will undergo a large-scale cleanup, and only the Β«strongΒ» will survive.


And who are these Β«strongΒ»? Those who are now in Trump's entourage, moving their projects forward. They are the ones who will get the funding, attention and liquidity.

❕ My plan: I have set a goal to reduce the number of assets to the best of my ability and what the market will provide, and focus only on point projects that I am confident will survive this market transformation πŸ”₯

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🩸 The market is falling, but we are calm

Friends, found an informative and soothing chart picture for you. It can especially help psychologically those who are currently sitting in a drawdown on their portfolio.

πŸ”€ This altcoin pair chart shows that altcoins are now at the bottom against BTC.

We have already seen a similar situation in December 2017 and 2020 - a sharp drop in the ALTS/BTC pair before a strong rise.


We can look for tons of reasons why we might rise or fall, but the fact remains that bitcoin dominance is beating local ATHs, BTC is holding near tops, and there has been no liquidity spillover from bitcoin to other assets on this rise yet.

❕ Perhaps not right now, but in a month or two we may well see a rebound and the beginning of the alt season πŸ”₯

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🩸 Why isn't correction a priority?

Friends, now I see that many in the media space are waiting for a continuation of correction and another fall below $90k.

πŸ”€ I don't want to prove anything and promise certain impulses, however, I am announcing my opinion and also showing you the factors why I am waiting for different impulses.

Considering the current negative funder, I have specifically marked on the chart all the points where the market has already reached similar levels.

Now you will be able to see these key points in momentum.


❕ If you notice, absolutely every time after that we got a strong rebound! Draw your own conclusions 🐳

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πŸ’΅ Are we waiting for new negativity or is bullish market starting?

Friends, I like the way BTC/ETH/SOL reacted today to another statement in the commodity war between China and the US. Many expected a repeat reaction similar to the first time, but this time it's different.

πŸ”€ The market was overheated then:
β€’ Funding at super highs
β€’ A large number of people sitting in leveraged positions
β€’ Overweight to longs (which, the big player of course wanted to take and capitalize on)

Any minimal negativity could have triggered a cascade of liquidations. Now the price behavior shows that the FUD around the duties has already been fully taken into account by the market, and further such news will not become a trigger for sell-offs and falls.

πŸ”Ž The exception is if the stock market does not throw surprises, but crypto has already digested this information occasion.

Two V-shaped buybacks point to a possible bullish week.


Additional positivity:
β€” The BTC chart is looking strong
β€” ETFs continue to flood with money
β€” ETH is ahead of BTC in terms of inflows (almost 2x!)

❕ Many, of course, were expecting quick positivity and market growth after Trump took office, but things have dragged on. Now the market is in uncertainty, so many are gradually selling assets, which is a good thing.

P.S.
On the chart you can see my long-standing prediction. So far it's going according to planπŸ”₯

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πŸ’΅ Trends at 2x speed

In recent years, the crypto sector has not only demonstrated rapid growth but also a noticeable reduction in the lifespan of narratives.

Whereas previously altcoins held attention for 1-2 years, memes now only last a few quarters, and the AI-token theme was hyped for just a couple of months.


πŸ“‘ Over the past 4 years, the rotation of narratives in crypto has compressed to a minimum:

β€” 2021-2022: Fundamental alts (L1, L2) – lasted 1-2 years (Solana, Arbitrum).
β€” 2023: Memecoins – hype lasted several quarters (Pepe, Bonk, WIF).
β€” 2024: AI-theme – from 2 to 8 weeks for each wave (Bittensor, FET, RNDR).

Now, many are burning out within the first 72 hours.


It must be acknowledged that the market has become more speculative and less stable. Money moves faster, and holding positions requires instant reactions.

πŸ’΅ What causes this:

1️⃣ Excess liquidity and greed

Previously, the capital rotation looked like this: BTC β†’ ETH β†’ Large-cap alts β†’ Small-cap alts β†’ Memecoins.

Now everything compresses much faster – traders instantly look for the next 10x asset.

2️⃣ Information overload

On Twitter, trends can catch fire in a matter of minutes. We've seen it happen where a token launch gets picked up by a famous influencer, and within a few hours/days, it’s too late to get in because the asset is overheated.

It’s no longer enough to be Β«earlyΒ»; you need to be more adaptable and quicker.


3️⃣ Betting on hype rather than long-term

In the past, you could hold assets for several years more calmly, but now new narratives work on a time frame. If a non-fundamental asset hasn’t performed within a few weeks, it’s unlikely to yield any returns.

4️⃣ AI memes and bots make the market ultra-fast

β€” Twitter bots instantly identify trending words.

β€” Telegram bots buy alts before those who go in manually.

β€” Degens with expensive scripts get in before those using Telegram bots.

Algorithmic trading speeds up the cycle: if a trend hasn’t gained critical mass – it dies.


πŸ“Œ The key skill now is quick adaptation

Always keep in mind that the lifespan of a trend is limited β€” no matter how clichΓ© it sounds.

For more efficient action, you can specifically create AI agents for yourself and subscribe to analytical services for Twitter (for example, Kaito).

πŸ“₯ Some choose to spend whole days and nights searching for new trends / trades in crypto. Others take a broader view of the market, accumulate positions, and wait for their targets.

This has always been the case, but now there are many more Β«early birdsΒ» due to the appearance of Β«easy moneyΒ».


❕ As one Twitter user said: Β«The window of opportunity will shrink to just a few minutes, and belief in a coin will drop to zero β€” only the momentum of the chart in the very beginning. In the end, deals will become a double-click. But what awaits us next β€” that's the big question.Β» 🐳

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😏 Major conspiracy β€” Binance, Coinbase & Winermute.

Friends, remember the idea: there are no accidents in the crypto market. Especially when the biggest players start moving volumes a day before the global dump.

What happened?

1️⃣ According to Arkham Intelligence, on February 3, just hours before the market crash, Coinbase sent $11.86 million in ETH to Wintermute's Binance addresses - one of the largest market makers.

2️⃣ Binance also transferred several million dollars to Wintermute at the same time.

3️⃣ But the most interesting thing is Ethereum's sleeping whale, which moved 77,736 ETH ($228.6M) onto Bitfinex (the oldest cryptocurrency exchange) for the first time since January 2019 - and exactly after that, the market plummeted.

πŸ”€ Why exactly was ETH under attack?

It's simple: Ethereum is a key liquidation point for the entire DeFi sector. Its fall automatically triggers a chain reaction of liquidations on DeFi lending platforms, destroys margin positions, which pulls the whole market down.

The conclusion is that this is not just a dump β€” it's a controlled liquidation designed to knock out positions before the next leg of the move.


❕ Manipulation? Coincidence? It's up to you to decide. But while the market is recovering, the main players are already gaining new positions. Let's keep an eye on the continuation of their game.

Give it a πŸ”₯ if you like these investigative posts

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🐸 It's finally being talked about

Friends, I have some news. Ethereum is up over 5% in the last 24 hours on the back of staking filings for ETF-ETH.

πŸ’Έ It looks to me like this is the kind of fundamental shift that could bring ETH back into play, especially since the volume of ETH purchases through ETFs is already higher than BTC-ETFs.

That said, there are more and more shorts on ether, which opens the door for a cascade of liquidations and a powerful short-squeeze (surge).


πŸ”€ What's important:
β€” Feb. 28-March 5 Pectra network update comes out, it will improve ETH performance.
β€” Feb. 18 FTX begins returning $16 billion to clients, first phase of $7 billion in refunds.
β€” Likely launch of new altcoin ETFs and inclusion of staking in ETH ETFs.
β€” State reserves may start buying not only BTC, but also ETH with top altcoins.

πŸ”Ž There are positives on on-chain as well:
β€” Large volumes of ETH are being withdrawn from CEX exchanges, reducing selling pressure.
β€” Large wallets continue to accumulate ETH at current levels.

❕ The current sideways movement and a stall after a powerful collapse is a normal phenomenon. Yes, there are still risks of local bottom point retest, but considering all the above, the RR ratio is clearly on the side of longs.

NO PAIN, NO GAIN 🐳

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🐸 The founder of Binance and his dog. What's going on?

Friends, hello everyone. I think everyone is already aware of what's going on if you're following the news background. In a nutshell, CZ revealed the name of his dog Broccoli in a post on Twitter.

πŸ”€ He gave 3 hours notice that he would post such information. The excitement was huge!

It looks like CZ and team want to launch a BSC season on their blockchain.


Which means they are working on the growth of the network's native coin, BNB, trading volumes on DEX, and of course, meme season on the BSC blockchain β€” as the main narrative of this bull cycle.

πŸ”Ž However, they decided not to create their own CZ dog meme, but just warmed people up, did some cool marketing, and gave development teams a chance to come on their blockchain and launch their memcoin.

It was one of the toughest PvP-fights between traders and degens in history.


The amount of scam coins within a minute of CZ's post was such that it's hard to even count. Tokens with the same tickers appeared by the dozens, but in the end only a few survived.

πŸ’΅ According to my observations, 98% of people simply lost money in this chaos. The only adequate strategy is to wait until a clear leader in terms of capitalization and volumes appears.

This particular dog is in the best position right now β€” link (not an advertisement)

❕ This is not a buying tip. The link is just for convenience so you don't waste time searching and possibly losing money on it 🐳

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πŸ“‰ Biggest scam in recent memory

Friends, this story wasn't because of another anonym who scammed hamsters by hacking some official's Twitter.

πŸ”€ This time, Argentine President Javier Milei was at the center of the scandal because of the launch of the LIBRA memcoin, which may go down in history as one of the biggest Β«rug pullΒ» schemes.

The token was created in a hurry: the investor form led to a Google survey, and the domain, purchased hours before the launch, was registered for only one year.


At its peak, LIBRA's capitalization reached $4.5 billion and daily trading volume was $1.1 billion. In the first three hours, insiders withdrew $87.4 million, causing the price to plummet.

πŸ“‰ At the same time, sellers' transactions accounted for only 27% of total transactions, which means that retail buyers were simply Β«fedΒ» this shit.

KIP Protocol, who work closely with the Argentine president, are also said to be behind the creation of the token or its promotion. Here's what they stated in their tweet:

πŸ’¬ LIBRA is not a rag. KIP is involved in the project, but our main role is to help distribute funds to Argentine companies, not to manage the token.


Milei deleted his original post, saying he was simply supporting a private project he knew nothing about. He called the organizers of the scam Β«dirty ratsΒ».

❕ Crypto without regulation is the wild west. As long as there is no regulatory framework and regulation, such cases will recur. The best solution is to skip them or enter only for the amount you are willing to lose, even if the token is launched by the president himself πŸ”₯

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πŸ’Έ New chance for Ethereum growth

Friends, the story with scam memcoin linked to the president of Argentina has moved to a new level β€” now regulators are seriously looking into it.

I wouldn't be surprised if high-level proceedings are already underway. How can this affect ETH and its ecosystem?


πŸ”€ First of all, Solana is under attack - it was on its blockchain that all the recent scams originated. Here we should ask ourselves the question: Β«what was the main driver of Solana's growth?Β».

The answer is meme tokens, AI agents and other narratives that have fueled the influx of liquidity and retail players onto this blockchain.

In other words, it fueled trust in the ecosystem and motivated to hold SOL.


πŸ“₯ But when projects on your favorite blockchain start screwing you over, the reaction is obvious β€” sell, walk away and forget.

If aggressive FUD in the media is added to this, the consequences could be catastrophic. Already analysts are finding traces of involvement of major Solana projects like Jupiter in this story.

❕ If this wave of negativity does not subside, but only increases, Solana risks getting its own Β«black swanΒ». And this, of course, is to the benefit of ETH and its entire ecosystem πŸ”₯

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πŸ“‰ Mass exodus from Solana

Friends, saw an interesting statistic today β€” the number of active addresses in SOLANA network has decreased from 18.5 million (in November) to only 8.4 million as of today.

The recent correction on SOL has forced many to exit this asset.


πŸ”€ However, it should be noted that it is small investors of the market that exit from the coin most of all. Large players continue to hold it without changes or it is partially purchased.

Even today I came across a whale address, which was bought today by Solana for $7.89 million.

This tells us that the current values can be freely considered as favorable marks for additional positions.


❕ But personally, I keep a minimum amount of SOL in my portfolio β€” there are more promising assets for me 🐳

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⛔️ How not to fall into the trap of illusory wealth

Friends, many traders and investors experience strong emotions when looking at their portfolio numbers.

Some feel nostalgic for the times when the balance was higher, others feel like a millionaire after seeing 7 digits on the screen.


πŸ”€ But it is important to understand the key principle of financial markets: your portfolio is not money until you have fixed and withdrawn it.

If your deposit looks impressive today, it's no guarantee that the numbers won't halve or even more tomorrow. Similarly, if the balance is down, it doesn't mean you're poorer than yesterday until you record a loss.

The main trap is the feeling that if the portfolio has reached a certain point, then it's β€œyour” money. But it isn't ⬇️


1️⃣ The unrealized PnL (profit/loss) is not your real capital β€” it's a volatile figure that can change in a matter of minutes.

2️⃣ The market doesn't move linearly β€” many people think that if they've made 10x, they can do it all over again. But the market doesn't obey your expectations.

3️⃣ Wealth is not a number on a screen but liquid assets β€” real money is what is already withdrawn and is under yours in a bank account.

πŸ“₯ Typical mistakes that cause you to lose money

β€’ Ignoring market changes β€” traders think that once a strategy has worked, it will always work.
β€’ Aggressively increasing positions β€” when growth seems endless, risk starts to seem insignificant.
β€’ Ego and complacency β€” success is written off only on one's own abilities, not the market.

Money is lost at every stage: it is difficult to catch the top point for profit taking, not every pullback leads to growth, and excessive trading activity often brings losses.


❕ The main thing is not to be greedy and regularly withdraw part of the profit into stable assets. If there is no profit on a spot - wait and everything will come...

Do you have enough patience when working in crypto?

πŸ”₯ β€” Yes, everything is good
🐳 β€” It can be emotionally difficult

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🐸 Β«We are hereΒ» β€” but where exactly?

Friends, there are, as always, two answers to this question. The same graph is superimposed on two completely different situations β€” see the picture.

πŸ”Ž Of course, we all want to see scenario #2, and I would not rule it out. It just takes time β€” the market always moves slower than our expectations.

Most analysts give March-April a chance, saying that if nothing happens in these months, we can go on a six-month holiday.


But we know how the market works β€” and more often than not, it goes against the crowd's expectations.

❕ Will there be a surprise this year that shatters expectations of a Β«sell in MayΒ»?!

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πŸ’Έ The market will be pumped with money again

Over the last 24 hours, quite a lot has happened that directly affects the crypto market, so I decided to make a small squeeze of the most important things for you.

I don't usually do this kind of thing, but today it's necessary.


1️⃣ Trump said: I intend to make America the β€˜crypto capital’. We put an end to Joe Biden's war on cryptocurrency. I'm considering giving 20% of D.O.G.E.'s saved funds to Americans.

2️⃣ New approvals from the SEC:
β€’ Accepted for consideration to add staking to 21Shares' Ethereum ETF.
β€’ Accepted for consideration for launch of Ripple ETF from Canary Capital.

3️⃣ Trump's campaign World Liberty Financial bought more Atlts, this time $125k worth of SEI tokens.

4️⃣ ETFs inflows/outflows for 19 Feb:
BTC ETFs recorded net outflows of -$65m.
. ETH ETFs net inflows of +$19m (a big positive).

As you can see β€” there is a lot of positive news here. And now let's talk a little bit more about the first one.


πŸ”€ I don't understand why everyone missed this news. Trump is considering giving 20 per cent of DOGE savings to Americans and 20 per cent to debt repayment.

DOGE (Deportament of Government Efficiency) uncovered billions of dollars worth of fraud this month, in the future they plan to send the savings to Americans = helicopter money.

During past helicopter money ~$1200 in 2020 could buy 0.17 BTC. Now it's ~$17,000 😎


❕ Handing out money to COVID has been one of the strongest catalysts for stock market growth. But this time the money will go into crypto πŸ”₯

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