Sigma crypto chad
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My name is Sigma. With 12 years in trading and a stellar crypto team. I'm starting a diary on my trades.

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Bitcoin may test the $58,000 mark, as that's where the 200-week moving average price is located.

This was stated by MN Capital founder Michael van de Poppe.

The leading cryptocurrency is more or less in the final stages of a bear market, but the short-term outlook looks worrying. A pattern is forming on the chart that corresponds to the previous consolidation, van de Poppe noted.

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Bitcoin could move into the $46,000-$54,000 range, according to crypto analyst Willy Woo.

According to him, $54,000 is the realized price of BTC, and a level around $46,000 aligns with the CVDD model, which reflects the behavior of long-term investors.

However, he cautions that all models are based on past cycles. If the global bullish trend breaks, the market could enter a deeper and more unpredictable phase.

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The crypto market suffers from the high volatility of traditional finance and altcoins are now under the greatest pressure

Thus, in the current cycle, they have not yet faced such a decline - more than 40% of projects have approached historical lows or updated them.

The main problem is the weakness of the sentiment of retail and institutional investors. During this period, there is a clear pattern - the correction is closer to the weekend due to the closure of margin positions and recovery with the start of a new working week.

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Nakamoto Inc. sold 284 BTC for $20 million, with an average sale price of $70,422 per BTC.

In 2025, the company acquired 5,342 BTC for a total of $632 million, with an average purchase price of $118,171 per BTC.

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Aave has unveiled a new version of its protocol with a key update: Hub and Spoke

This simplifies the launch of new marketsβ€”developers gain immediate access to liquidity without the need for deposits.

Three pools are available at launchβ€”Core, Prime, and Plusβ€”as well as the new Aave Pro interface for position and risk management.

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Bitcoin is closer to the "buy zone" than before.

However, it is still trading approximately 21% above its realized price, with most holders remaining in the black.

On-chain data shows neither capitulation nor a strong institutional influx, so a classic bottom could require the market to decline to $54,000.

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The gap between Bitcoin's spot and realized price has narrowed from 120% at the end of 2024 to the current 21%.

However, the asset needs to fall to $54,100 to reach the accumulation zone, where the bottom has historically formed, according to CryptoQuant data.

The realized price is the average value of all coins, taking into account the time of their last move. During the 2022 bear market, the bottom occurred when Bitcoin remained below the realized price for four months. In 2020, during the COVID-19 pandemic, the price fell 15% below the realized price, a historical low for this metric.

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BlackRock transferred 1,360 BTC ($90.28 million) and 15,103 ETH ($30.82 million) to the Coinbase exchange.

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The source code for Claude Code has been leaked

This includes over 500,000 lines of code, including architecture, logic, and system prompts.

The leak occurred due to an error when publishing an npm package. The code quickly spread across GitHub, accumulating tens of thousands of stars, and was then rewritten from scratch to avoid DMCA.

Anthropic attempted to remove the repositories and filed thousands of complaints, but later acknowledged the error and withdrew some of the complaints.

In fact, the code is being distributed through forks and open-source projects, and the leak is irreversible.

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Starknet Strengthens Quantum Security

The team announced that post-quantum wallets are now available on the Starknet network. Starknet's proof system is already post-quantum at its core.

Most blockchains use ECDSA β†’ a quantum computer can extract private keys. In conventional networks, the transition requires a fork and coordination between all participants. In Starknet, signatures are defined at the account level, not the protocol level.

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Over the past few days, Ethereum Foundation has totalled ~$100 million worth of ETH

Of these, about $46.64 million for today.

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A new wallet purchased $82 million worth of ETH through FalconX today.

Some are already speculating that this could be a newly created Bitmine wallet.

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Did Koreans "hack" Drift Protocol for $285,000,000?

North Korean hackers reportedly spent six months posing as employees of a "quantum trading fund," meeting with the Drift team at conferences, communicating on Telegram, and even investing $1 million of their own money to gain trust.

Having gained their trust, they sent a repository containing a file that exploited a vulnerability in Visual Studio Code and Cursorβ€”all it took was opening it.

After this, the hackers automatically deleted the correspondence and traces of the attack, and approximately $285 million disappeared from the protocol.

Thus, the main weapon was not the exploit, but six months of patience and social engineering.

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Positive: Bitcoin is back above $70,000

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On-chain analyst Willy Woo identified key signs of the end of the bear cycle

The final stage is characterized by a price breakout below the cost of recent investors, a transition from "hopium" to aggressive buying, and an increase in the average entry priceβ€”a signal of a trend reversal.

In the long term, he expects a protracted sideways market for 8-12 years, with a range of five- and six-digit prices. Among the risks, he highlighted the development of quantum computing, giving the BTC network approximately 5-10 years to adapt.

However, once this issue is resolved, the analyst anticipates a new stage of growthβ€”up to a "divine candle" and the price reaching seven-digit levels in 12-16 years.

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Yesterday, someone withdrew $6.7 million in ASTER tokens from Binance to a new empty wallet, and other small movements are also being observed

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Crypto skeptic Peter Schiff believes Bitcoin is underperforming traditional assets in terms of returns

Over five years, it's up about 12% compared to +57% for the NASDAQ, +60% for the S&P 500, and over +160% for gold.

Michael Saylor disagreed, noting that it all depends on the chosen period, as BTC has been one of the most profitable assets since 2020. He argued that longer horizons paint a different picture.

Schiff responded by accusing his opponent of "manipulating" the data, again calling BTC a "shitcoin," and proposing a public debate.

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Stablecoins are actively displacing banking infrastructure

In February 2026, their monthly turnover exceeded ACH, the US bank wire transfer system, for the first timeβ€”$7.2 trillion versus $6.8 trillion.

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The Stabble team on Solana urged users to urgently withdraw liquidity

In one day, the platform's TVL fell from $2 million to $600,000.

According to the statement, the exchange was not hacked, and no funds were affected. However, Stabble representatives are concerned about its future security. The team discovered that on-chain sleuth ZachXBT identified their former CTO as a North Korean representative. The project announced a change in management.

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The developer suggested a way to save Bitcoin wallets in a quantum attack

It is instead of vulnerable signatures that the owner will be able to prove that the wallet belongs to him without disclosing the secret data.

This will allow you to maintain access to funds even if the current cryptography stops working.

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