🇮🇹 Serie A 🇮🇹
Saturday 14:00 GMT/15:00 CET/09:00 EST
Parma vs Udinese
Both Teams to Score @ 1.91
Odds from Lucky Block.
Bet Here - https://t.me/luckyblockcasinobot
Saturday 14:00 GMT/15:00 CET/09:00 EST
Parma vs Udinese
Both Teams to Score @ 1.91
Odds from Lucky Block.
Bet Here - https://t.me/luckyblockcasinobot
On Saturday afternoon Parma welcomes Udinese to Stadio Ennio Tardini, where Both Teams to Score offers a key slice of value over the market price.
All of Parma’s last five matches now have recorded goals from either end, with Parma even netting against Roma, Bologna and AC Milan - three of the best defensive teams at this point of the season. In contrast, Udinese are at the other end of the spectrum with 20 goals conceded already in 12 games.
What’s more, both sides are giving away numerous goalscoring chances so far in their respective home and away matches: the hosts are averaging an expected goals shipped of 1.42 per game, conceding 1.33 goals per game; the visitors are averaging a very large xGA of 1.78 goals per game, as a result conceding 1.67 goals per game.
Looking specifically at their home and away performances, we can see that both teams are struggling to stay organised at the back, thus lending itself to more chances given away at both ends.
With all essential data taken into account, I model goal expectancies of 1.33 and 1.20 for this meeting, then displaying fair odds of 1.81 for both teams netting here. Therefore there is a clear edge with the early odds of 1.91.
All of Parma’s last five matches now have recorded goals from either end, with Parma even netting against Roma, Bologna and AC Milan - three of the best defensive teams at this point of the season. In contrast, Udinese are at the other end of the spectrum with 20 goals conceded already in 12 games.
What’s more, both sides are giving away numerous goalscoring chances so far in their respective home and away matches: the hosts are averaging an expected goals shipped of 1.42 per game, conceding 1.33 goals per game; the visitors are averaging a very large xGA of 1.78 goals per game, as a result conceding 1.67 goals per game.
Looking specifically at their home and away performances, we can see that both teams are struggling to stay organised at the back, thus lending itself to more chances given away at both ends.
With all essential data taken into account, I model goal expectancies of 1.33 and 1.20 for this meeting, then displaying fair odds of 1.81 for both teams netting here. Therefore there is a clear edge with the early odds of 1.91.
🇮🇹 Serie B 🇮🇹
Saturday 14:00 GMT/15:00 CET/09:00 EST
Sudtirol vs Avellino
Avellino to Score Over 1.5 Goals @ 3.50
Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.18
Odds from Lucky Block.
Bet Here - https://t.me/luckyblockcasinobot
Saturday 14:00 GMT/15:00 CET/09:00 EST
Sudtirol vs Avellino
Avellino to Score Over 1.5 Goals @ 3.50
Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.18
Odds from Lucky Block.
Bet Here - https://t.me/luckyblockcasinobot
❤2
At the same time, now in the Italian second division, Sudtirol welcomes Avellino all the way up to the north of the country. In the early market, Avellino to Score Over 1.5 Goals and Over 2.5 Goals are two bets that jump out from a value point of view.
In both their total games and solely on the road, Avellino are averaging some of the highest scoring games in the whole division, averaging 3.14 goals per away game (3.15 home and away).
Out of seven away games, the visitors have conceded multiple goals in five and scored multiple in two - both of the games in which they’ve scored multiple goals have been up against the most similar teams, conceding a very similar number of home goals, as Sudtirol.
Sudtirol are one of only two teams to not yet hold onto a home clean sheet, and up to now they have had lots of gaps in their defence, giving away various chances, with an xGA averaging 1.48 per home game.
Biancorossi had a tough game last time out, travelling to a strong Modena side, so were very focused on keeping tight at the back, not allowing their opposition through - which did work for them - and thus didn’t push forward lots.
In contrast, Avellino have not been coping in holding their structure at the back in recent games, conceding three goals in all of their last three and five in their last six. Evidently, Avellino’s games gravitate to the more open style of play.
When running the data, I have goal expectancies of 1.45 and 1.25, which concur with the above. With fair odds of 2.83 and 1.95 for the two bets above, the market isn’t pricing these two bets accurately.
In both their total games and solely on the road, Avellino are averaging some of the highest scoring games in the whole division, averaging 3.14 goals per away game (3.15 home and away).
Out of seven away games, the visitors have conceded multiple goals in five and scored multiple in two - both of the games in which they’ve scored multiple goals have been up against the most similar teams, conceding a very similar number of home goals, as Sudtirol.
Sudtirol are one of only two teams to not yet hold onto a home clean sheet, and up to now they have had lots of gaps in their defence, giving away various chances, with an xGA averaging 1.48 per home game.
Biancorossi had a tough game last time out, travelling to a strong Modena side, so were very focused on keeping tight at the back, not allowing their opposition through - which did work for them - and thus didn’t push forward lots.
In contrast, Avellino have not been coping in holding their structure at the back in recent games, conceding three goals in all of their last three and five in their last six. Evidently, Avellino’s games gravitate to the more open style of play.
When running the data, I have goal expectancies of 1.45 and 1.25, which concur with the above. With fair odds of 2.83 and 1.95 for the two bets above, the market isn’t pricing these two bets accurately.
🇧🇷 Serie A 🇧🇷
Sunday 19:00 GMT/20:00 CET/14:00 EST
Corinthians vs Botafogo
Corinthians to Win @ 2.50
Odds from Lucky Block.
Bet Here - https://t.me/luckyblockcasinobot
Sunday 19:00 GMT/20:00 CET/14:00 EST
Corinthians vs Botafogo
Corinthians to Win @ 2.50
Odds from Lucky Block.
Bet Here - https://t.me/luckyblockcasinobot
❤1
Corinthians and Botafogo meet for their antepenultimate game of the 2025 season this Sunday evening, where, after looking at all of the data, a home Win is very puffed up in the early betting.
Corinthians faced a big defeat last time out, on the road against third place Cruzeiro, but this time round they’ll have the backing of a home crowd in another tough game against Botafogo. Whilst Corinthians can only make the Copa Sudamericana places, as they can no longer reach the top seven, they still haven’t got too much safety in this zone with lots of teams chasing them, so they cannot afford to drop any points from now on.
From a result point of view, Corinthians have a decent record when hosting the most relevant teams, with three wins and one draw out of six, but from a goal creation and scoring point of view, Corinthians are very much the dominant side in games of this type.
On average, they are creating 1.96 expected goals per game whilst only allowing 1.18, resulting in 1.67 goals scored and just 0.83 goals conceded per game, keeping a clean sheet in half. This means they are averaging an expected goals difference of 0.78 per relevant game, which is a big disparity.
On the other hand, when travelling to the most similar sides to Corinthians, Botafogo have lost four and drawn one out of seven - being unsuccessful in finding the net in four. In contrast to a much better start to their away campaign, Botafogo have only won one in their last seven away league matches, failing to net in five.
Unlike the hosts, Botafogo can still make the special top five places, so they too will be pushing for a result here. Plus, the visitors are missing two, potentially three, key players in this game which should be taken into consideration.
Using all key data, I make the goal expectancies 1.45 and 1.01 for this game, translating into fair odds of 2.06 for a home win. Therefore, the early odds of 2.50 offer a huge edge over the market.
Corinthians faced a big defeat last time out, on the road against third place Cruzeiro, but this time round they’ll have the backing of a home crowd in another tough game against Botafogo. Whilst Corinthians can only make the Copa Sudamericana places, as they can no longer reach the top seven, they still haven’t got too much safety in this zone with lots of teams chasing them, so they cannot afford to drop any points from now on.
From a result point of view, Corinthians have a decent record when hosting the most relevant teams, with three wins and one draw out of six, but from a goal creation and scoring point of view, Corinthians are very much the dominant side in games of this type.
On average, they are creating 1.96 expected goals per game whilst only allowing 1.18, resulting in 1.67 goals scored and just 0.83 goals conceded per game, keeping a clean sheet in half. This means they are averaging an expected goals difference of 0.78 per relevant game, which is a big disparity.
On the other hand, when travelling to the most similar sides to Corinthians, Botafogo have lost four and drawn one out of seven - being unsuccessful in finding the net in four. In contrast to a much better start to their away campaign, Botafogo have only won one in their last seven away league matches, failing to net in five.
Unlike the hosts, Botafogo can still make the special top five places, so they too will be pushing for a result here. Plus, the visitors are missing two, potentially three, key players in this game which should be taken into consideration.
Using all key data, I make the goal expectancies 1.45 and 1.01 for this game, translating into fair odds of 2.06 for a home win. Therefore, the early odds of 2.50 offer a huge edge over the market.
❤5
UPDATE:
I will no longer be posting tips in this group. If you still want to get my bets, you can by joining this group:
https://t.me/+nzAyhNsSSpdlMjU0
Some quick info:
Since the start of December, using a £20-to-1-point-staking example, the group has made a profit of +£487.20.
Monthly profit breakdown:
December 2025 = +£296.60
January 2026 = +£142.00
February 2026 (so far) = +£48.60
In total, since the start of December, there have been 67 bets advised, producing 34 winners.
I will no longer be posting tips in this group. If you still want to get my bets, you can by joining this group:
https://t.me/+nzAyhNsSSpdlMjU0
Some quick info:
Since the start of December, using a £20-to-1-point-staking example, the group has made a profit of +£487.20.
Monthly profit breakdown:
December 2025 = +£296.60
January 2026 = +£142.00
February 2026 (so far) = +£48.60
In total, since the start of December, there have been 67 bets advised, producing 34 winners.
Telegram
Finding Value - Free Group
A group for bettors who want value selections with an aim to making profit in the long run.
🔥3❤2
PREMIUM WORLD CUP TIPS
Hello everyone :)
The time has come for me to take my work to a premium group. If you enjoyed the work in this group during the season, fear not, you can continue to get all of my betting advice, starting with full coverage of the 2026 World Cup.
My new service will be starting tomorrow for the World Cup and then continuing throughout the new club football season, focusing on leagues such as LaLiga, Serie A, Bundesliga and Premier League, just as we did last season. As a member of the premium group, you will get regular profit-and-loss updates, alongside access to a selection of helpful/educational betting articles that I am writing.
The new service costs £25 per month and you can join quickly and easily by using this link and putting in your payment details. Once you’ve done that, you will automatically be added to the new group. If you subscribe yearly, you can do so for £200, making it £100 cheaper annually than if you subscribe monthly, but I’ll leave that up to you.
If you want to join ahead of the World Cup, I will be providing at least one betting selection for every game. To help you decide or for reference, I previously covered Euro 2024 fully, providing at least one bet for every game, making an overall tournament profit, delivering a return-on-investment of +18.80% in the groups and then +18.15% in the knockouts. I am attaching a spreadsheet, which uses £10 flat stakes as an example, so you can see the full Euro 2024 results. I am hoping to achieve something similar for this World Cup.
If you’ve been in this group a while, you know what you get from me, and that’s honest betting opinions from someone who is highly experienced. There are no false promises, no claims of riches, just honest analysis.
So yeah, if you liked the work in this group before and want to get my tips ahead of the World Cup, simply sign-up and join the new Finding Value group using the link below:
JOIN NEW GROUP HERE:
https://www.launchpass.com/finding-value/football
VIEW EURO 2024 RESULTS HERE:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1WwQhbC9ubsDz5fbolZv9yUpK1zM4HpoT6LP8aHrQa04/edit?gid=593001594#gid=593001594
Hello everyone :)
The time has come for me to take my work to a premium group. If you enjoyed the work in this group during the season, fear not, you can continue to get all of my betting advice, starting with full coverage of the 2026 World Cup.
My new service will be starting tomorrow for the World Cup and then continuing throughout the new club football season, focusing on leagues such as LaLiga, Serie A, Bundesliga and Premier League, just as we did last season. As a member of the premium group, you will get regular profit-and-loss updates, alongside access to a selection of helpful/educational betting articles that I am writing.
The new service costs £25 per month and you can join quickly and easily by using this link and putting in your payment details. Once you’ve done that, you will automatically be added to the new group. If you subscribe yearly, you can do so for £200, making it £100 cheaper annually than if you subscribe monthly, but I’ll leave that up to you.
If you want to join ahead of the World Cup, I will be providing at least one betting selection for every game. To help you decide or for reference, I previously covered Euro 2024 fully, providing at least one bet for every game, making an overall tournament profit, delivering a return-on-investment of +18.80% in the groups and then +18.15% in the knockouts. I am attaching a spreadsheet, which uses £10 flat stakes as an example, so you can see the full Euro 2024 results. I am hoping to achieve something similar for this World Cup.
If you’ve been in this group a while, you know what you get from me, and that’s honest betting opinions from someone who is highly experienced. There are no false promises, no claims of riches, just honest analysis.
So yeah, if you liked the work in this group before and want to get my tips ahead of the World Cup, simply sign-up and join the new Finding Value group using the link below:
JOIN NEW GROUP HERE:
https://www.launchpass.com/finding-value/football
VIEW EURO 2024 RESULTS HERE:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1WwQhbC9ubsDz5fbolZv9yUpK1zM4HpoT6LP8aHrQa04/edit?gid=593001594#gid=593001594
LaunchPass
Finding Value Finding Value Football - Members on LaunchPass
A premium group for football betting enthusiasts looking for high-quality, easy-to-understand value betting opportunities with the aim of achieving long-term profit.
WORLD CUP DAY TWO TIPS
🇨🇦 Canada vs Bosnia 🇧🇦
🇺🇸 USA vs Paraguay 🇵🇾
If you're looking for high-value and profitable betting tips, check out my new premium group. On the first day of the World Cup, we hit winners at 3.60 and 5.50.
You can check out all of my tips for today's two games and get my tips for the entire tournament and beyond in the new Finding Value premium group, which after the first two WC games is profitable and operating at a return-on-investment of +58.57%.
If you're looking to find high-value betting opportunities, don't miss today's tips.
It takes 30 seconds to join, and you can join the new group and gain full access to the all the tips here = https://www.launchpass.com/finding-value/football
🇨🇦 Canada vs Bosnia 🇧🇦
🇺🇸 USA vs Paraguay 🇵🇾
If you're looking for high-value and profitable betting tips, check out my new premium group. On the first day of the World Cup, we hit winners at 3.60 and 5.50.
You can check out all of my tips for today's two games and get my tips for the entire tournament and beyond in the new Finding Value premium group, which after the first two WC games is profitable and operating at a return-on-investment of +58.57%.
If you're looking to find high-value betting opportunities, don't miss today's tips.
It takes 30 seconds to join, and you can join the new group and gain full access to the all the tips here = https://www.launchpass.com/finding-value/football
Finding Value Premium Results for World Cup Day 2 =
On day two, we had four winning bets from a total of seven bets, with winners at odds of 5.00, 4.00, 2.58 and 2.18, making it another profitable day.
The current profit-and-loss of the premium group since the start of the 2026 World Cup is +£217.20 (if betting £20 per point), or +£108.60 (if betting £10 per point)
Currently for the World Cup, the Finding Value premium tips group has a return-on-investment of +72.40%
If you want easy-to-understand, value tips, join today to get all of my exclusive value bets (all complete with write-ups) for the rest of the World Cup and beyond, it's very simple to join, just use the link below:
JOIN HERE = https://www.launchpass.com/finding-value/football
On day two, we had four winning bets from a total of seven bets, with winners at odds of 5.00, 4.00, 2.58 and 2.18, making it another profitable day.
The current profit-and-loss of the premium group since the start of the 2026 World Cup is +£217.20 (if betting £20 per point), or +£108.60 (if betting £10 per point)
Currently for the World Cup, the Finding Value premium tips group has a return-on-investment of +72.40%
If you want easy-to-understand, value tips, join today to get all of my exclusive value bets (all complete with write-ups) for the rest of the World Cup and beyond, it's very simple to join, just use the link below:
JOIN HERE = https://www.launchpass.com/finding-value/football
❤1
Crypto Sports Tips | LuckyBlock - Stake - BC.GAME Chat pinned «Finding Value Premium Results for World Cup Day 2 = On day two, we had four winning bets from a total of seven bets, with winners at odds of 5.00, 4.00, 2.58 and 2.18, making it another profitable day. The current profit-and-loss of the premium group since…»
WORLD CUP VALUE BETTING TIPS
🇶🇦 Qatar vs Switzerland🇨🇭
🇧🇷 Brazil vs Morocco 🇲🇦
🇭🇹 Haiti vs Scotland 🏴
Looking for some value betting tips for the World Cup? My tips for the next lot of games are now live.
We had four winning bets yesterday, including at odds of 5.00 and 4.00.
The tournament profit so far stands at +£217.20 (£20 per-point stakes), with a ROI of +72.40%
To get all of today's tips and write-ups, and all tips for the rest of the World Cup, use the link below.
JOIN HERE = https://www.launchpass.com/finding-value/football
🇶🇦 Qatar vs Switzerland🇨🇭
🇧🇷 Brazil vs Morocco 🇲🇦
🇭🇹 Haiti vs Scotland 🏴
Looking for some value betting tips for the World Cup? My tips for the next lot of games are now live.
We had four winning bets yesterday, including at odds of 5.00 and 4.00.
The tournament profit so far stands at +£217.20 (£20 per-point stakes), with a ROI of +72.40%
To get all of today's tips and write-ups, and all tips for the rest of the World Cup, use the link below.
JOIN HERE = https://www.launchpass.com/finding-value/football
Finding Value Premium Results for World Cup Day 3 =
It was another very profitable day of World Cup betting in the Finding Value premium group, with five winners from seven bets.
The World Cup profit-and-loss is currently +£319.40 (if betting £20 per point) or +£159.70 (if betting £10 per point).
The current return-on-investment stands at +66.54%.
If you want high-quality, value-focused betting tips for the World Cup, get involved :)
JOIN HERE - https://www.launchpass.com/finding-value/football
It was another very profitable day of World Cup betting in the Finding Value premium group, with five winners from seven bets.
The World Cup profit-and-loss is currently +£319.40 (if betting £20 per point) or +£159.70 (if betting £10 per point).
The current return-on-investment stands at +66.54%.
If you want high-quality, value-focused betting tips for the World Cup, get involved :)
JOIN HERE - https://www.launchpass.com/finding-value/football
Crypto Sports Tips | LuckyBlock - Stake - BC.GAME Chat pinned «Finding Value Premium Results for World Cup Day 3 = It was another very profitable day of World Cup betting in the Finding Value premium group, with five winners from seven bets. The World Cup profit-and-loss is currently +£319.40 (if betting £20 per point)…»
WORLD CUP BETTING TIPS
🇩🇪 Germany vs Curacao 🇨🇼
🇳🇱Netherlands vs Japan 🇯🇵
🇨🇮 Ivory Coast vs Ecuador 🇪🇨
🇸🇪Sweden vs Tunisia 🇹🇳
A selection of high-value betting tips are now available, with write-ups, ahead of the next four World Cup games.
We've made a profit in each of the three World Cup days so far.
The Finding Value World Cup tips have so far made a profit of +£319.40 (if betting £20 per point) or +£159.70 (if betting £10 per point).
The current return-on-investment stands at +66.54%.
If you want high-quality, value-focused betting tips for the World Cup, Finding Value is for you.
JOIN HERE - https://www.launchpass.com/finding-value/football
🇩🇪 Germany vs Curacao 🇨🇼
🇳🇱Netherlands vs Japan 🇯🇵
🇨🇮 Ivory Coast vs Ecuador 🇪🇨
🇸🇪Sweden vs Tunisia 🇹🇳
A selection of high-value betting tips are now available, with write-ups, ahead of the next four World Cup games.
We've made a profit in each of the three World Cup days so far.
The Finding Value World Cup tips have so far made a profit of +£319.40 (if betting £20 per point) or +£159.70 (if betting £10 per point).
The current return-on-investment stands at +66.54%.
If you want high-quality, value-focused betting tips for the World Cup, Finding Value is for you.
JOIN HERE - https://www.launchpass.com/finding-value/football
FINDING VALUE WORLD CUP RESULTS
In the Finding Value members group, we have enjoyed four profitable days in a row at the World Cup.
The World Cup profit stands at +£340.40 (using £20 per point).
Join to get all of today's tips and all tips for the rest of the World Cup and beyond 🙂
JOIN HERE - https://www.launchpass.com/finding-value/football
Any questions, feel free to DM me at anytime @SportsPicksBG
In the Finding Value members group, we have enjoyed four profitable days in a row at the World Cup.
The World Cup profit stands at +£340.40 (using £20 per point).
Join to get all of today's tips and all tips for the rest of the World Cup and beyond 🙂
JOIN HERE - https://www.launchpass.com/finding-value/football
Any questions, feel free to DM me at anytime @SportsPicksBG
WORLD CUP BETTING TIPS
🇫🇷 France vs Senegal 🇸🇳
🇮🇶 Iraq vs Norway 🇳🇴
🇦🇷 Argentina vs Algeria 🇩🇿
The Finding Value members group made it FIVE PROFITABLE DAYS in a row at the World Cup yesterday.
The current World Cup profit stands at +£355.40(if using £20 per point).
To access high-value betting tips, complete with easy-to-understand write-ups, join those who are already making money using the link below.
JOIN HERE - https://www.launchpass.com/finding-value/football
Any questions, please DM @SportsPicksBG
🇫🇷 France vs Senegal 🇸🇳
🇮🇶 Iraq vs Norway 🇳🇴
🇦🇷 Argentina vs Algeria 🇩🇿
The Finding Value members group made it FIVE PROFITABLE DAYS in a row at the World Cup yesterday.
The current World Cup profit stands at +£355.40(if using £20 per point).
To access high-value betting tips, complete with easy-to-understand write-ups, join those who are already making money using the link below.
JOIN HERE - https://www.launchpass.com/finding-value/football
Any questions, please DM @SportsPicksBG
❤2
FREE BETTING TIPS
For anyone interested, I will return to posting some free tips for the following leagues in the Finding Value Free group, which you can join for free here - https://t.me/+nzAyhNsSSpdlMjU0
- MLS
- Brazil Serie A
- English Premier League
- Italian Serie A
- Spanish LaLiga
Covering these leagues in this group between December 2025 and March 2026, I produced the following results:
December 2025 = +£296.60 (+40.08% ROI) - from 31 bets
January 2026 = +£142.00 (+19.72 ROI) - from 29 bets
February 2026 = +£422.80 (+37.75% RO1) - from 43 bets
March 2026 = +£391.80 (+20.84%) - from 57 bets
I will also be posting some ATP and WTA tennis tips too. MOST of my football bets will be the premium Finding Value group, which you can also joing, but there will also be some additional free tips in the free group, which you join using the link below:
JOIN HERE - https://t.me/+nzAyhNsSSpdlMjU0
For anyone interested, I will return to posting some free tips for the following leagues in the Finding Value Free group, which you can join for free here - https://t.me/+nzAyhNsSSpdlMjU0
- MLS
- Brazil Serie A
- English Premier League
- Italian Serie A
- Spanish LaLiga
Covering these leagues in this group between December 2025 and March 2026, I produced the following results:
December 2025 = +£296.60 (+40.08% ROI) - from 31 bets
January 2026 = +£142.00 (+19.72 ROI) - from 29 bets
February 2026 = +£422.80 (+37.75% RO1) - from 43 bets
March 2026 = +£391.80 (+20.84%) - from 57 bets
I will also be posting some ATP and WTA tennis tips too. MOST of my football bets will be the premium Finding Value group, which you can also joing, but there will also be some additional free tips in the free group, which you join using the link below:
JOIN HERE - https://t.me/+nzAyhNsSSpdlMjU0
Telegram
Finding Value - Free Group
A group for bettors who want value selections with an aim to making profit in the long run.
FREE TENNIS BETTING TIPS
There are no longer any tips posted in this group, but you can join my free group, where we've hit FOUR WINNERS from the last four bets.
Join for free here - https://t.me/+nzAyhNsSSpdlMjU0
There are no longer any tips posted in this group, but you can join my free group, where we've hit FOUR WINNERS from the last four bets.
Join for free here - https://t.me/+nzAyhNsSSpdlMjU0
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Finding Value - Free Group
A group for bettors who want value selections with an aim to making profit in the long run.
For anyone interested in some loan players to keep an eye on throughout the new season, here's an article I recent wrote on the subject:
https://dragonfc.co.uk/r/D2FvtH
https://dragonfc.co.uk/r/D2FvtH
If you're following young players for betting purposes or otherwise this season, here's a rundown of how EPL loanees performed across the leagues last weekend:
https://dragonfc.co.uk/r/CAm6ub
https://dragonfc.co.uk/r/CAm6ub