๐ A New Hope for Crypto Bulls
Crypto analysts have found a fresh reason for optimism: Bitcoin has never closed both January and February in the red consecutively. ๐ค
This historical pattern is now being cited as a potential bullish signal, fueling expectations that BTC could push back above $80k before the end of the month. ๐
While such seasonality arguments are hardly a guarantee, they offer the market a simple narrative to lean on โ especially in times when sentiment needs even the smallest spark of hope. ๐ฅน
Crypto analysts have found a fresh reason for optimism: Bitcoin has never closed both January and February in the red consecutively. ๐ค
This historical pattern is now being cited as a potential bullish signal, fueling expectations that BTC could push back above $80k before the end of the month. ๐
While such seasonality arguments are hardly a guarantee, they offer the market a simple narrative to lean on โ especially in times when sentiment needs even the smallest spark of hope. ๐ฅน
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๐ Bitcoin Hashprice Hits $0.03 per TH
Bitcoinโs hashprice โ the revenue miners earn per terahash โ has dropped to around $0.03/TH, putting heavy pressure on mining profitability. ๐
As a result, the network adjusted mining difficulty down by 11%, marking the largest negative difficulty change since Chinaโs mining ban in 2021. ๐
Bitcoinโs hashprice โ the revenue miners earn per terahash โ has dropped to around $0.03/TH, putting heavy pressure on mining profitability. ๐
As a result, the network adjusted mining difficulty down by 11%, marking the largest negative difficulty change since Chinaโs mining ban in 2021. ๐
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Hyperliquid Quietly Overtakes Coinbase! ๐ฅ
The decentralized exchange Hyperliquid is quietly outperforming public giant Coinbase across key metrics. ๐น
Total trading volume on Hyperliquid has reached $2.6 trillion, compared to $1.4 trillion on Coinbase. Market performance also tells a contrasting story: HYPE is up 31% YTD, while Coinbase shares are down 27% over the same period. ๐
The data highlights a broader shift in market structure โ as traders increasingly favor high-performance DEXs, decentralized platforms are starting to rival and even surpass centralized exchanges on scale and efficiency. ๐ช
The decentralized exchange Hyperliquid is quietly outperforming public giant Coinbase across key metrics. ๐น
Total trading volume on Hyperliquid has reached $2.6 trillion, compared to $1.4 trillion on Coinbase. Market performance also tells a contrasting story: HYPE is up 31% YTD, while Coinbase shares are down 27% over the same period. ๐
The data highlights a broader shift in market structure โ as traders increasingly favor high-performance DEXs, decentralized platforms are starting to rival and even surpass centralized exchanges on scale and efficiency. ๐ช
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โ๏ธ Bitcoin Nears 20 Million Mined Coins
In roughly one month, Bitcoin will cross a major milestone: 20 million BTC mined out of the hard cap of 21 million. ๐
That means only 1 million BTC will remain to be mined โ a process that will stretch over the next ~120 years due to Bitcoinโs halving schedule and decreasing block rewards. ๐
This milestone highlights Bitcoinโs built-in scarcity and long-term supply shock. With most coins already in circulation and demand continuing to grow, the narrative of digital gold becomes even harder to ignore. ๐ค
In roughly one month, Bitcoin will cross a major milestone: 20 million BTC mined out of the hard cap of 21 million. ๐
That means only 1 million BTC will remain to be mined โ a process that will stretch over the next ~120 years due to Bitcoinโs halving schedule and decreasing block rewards. ๐
This milestone highlights Bitcoinโs built-in scarcity and long-term supply shock. With most coins already in circulation and demand continuing to grow, the narrative of digital gold becomes even harder to ignore. ๐ค
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โฐ๏ธ Bitcoin Has Been โDeclared Deadโ 463 Times
Since 2010, Bitcoin has been pronounced โdeadโ 463 times by critics and media headlines.
๐ต If you had invested just $100 in BTC after each of those obituaries, today that โdead Bitcoinโ portfolio would be worth around $73.5 million.
Moments of fear, doubt, and negative sentiment have repeatedly turned out to be long-term buying opportunities. And judging by the current mood, today might be one of those moments again โ maybe worth another $100 ๐
Since 2010, Bitcoin has been pronounced โdeadโ 463 times by critics and media headlines.
๐ต If you had invested just $100 in BTC after each of those obituaries, today that โdead Bitcoinโ portfolio would be worth around $73.5 million.
Moments of fear, doubt, and negative sentiment have repeatedly turned out to be long-term buying opportunities. And judging by the current mood, today might be one of those moments again โ maybe worth another $100 ๐
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๐ Glassnode: BTC Market Structure Echoes Early May 2022
๐ On-chain analytics firm Glassnode notes that Bitcoinโs current market structure โ particularly unrealized losses of ~16% of BTCโs market cap at ~$70K โ resembles conditions seen in early May 2022, around the time of the Terra-Luna collapse. ๐
That period was marked by rising selling pressure and broader downside momentum, and the similarity has sparked discussion among analysts about market sentiment and potential stress points. The metric reflects how many holders are in the red and can help gauge market pain versus past correction phases.๐ค๐ค
While this doesnโt guarantee a repeat of 2022โs larger downturn, it highlights the importance of on-chain indicators in understanding where BTC stands in the current cycle. ๐
๐ On-chain analytics firm Glassnode notes that Bitcoinโs current market structure โ particularly unrealized losses of ~16% of BTCโs market cap at ~$70K โ resembles conditions seen in early May 2022, around the time of the Terra-Luna collapse. ๐
That period was marked by rising selling pressure and broader downside momentum, and the similarity has sparked discussion among analysts about market sentiment and potential stress points. The metric reflects how many holders are in the red and can help gauge market pain versus past correction phases.๐ค๐ค
While this doesnโt guarantee a repeat of 2022โs larger downturn, it highlights the importance of on-chain indicators in understanding where BTC stands in the current cycle. ๐
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๐ Binance Controls 87% of Trump Family Stablecoin Supply
According to Forbes, Binance controls around 87% of the supply of the USD1 stablecoin, linked to the Trump family. Thatโs roughly $4.7B out of $5.4B in circulation โ an unprecedented level of concentration for a major stablecoin. ๐ต
This comes alongside several notable developments:
โข In October, Donald Trump pardoned Binance founder Changpeng Zhao.
โข The SEC dropped its case against Binance shortly after USD1 was listed.
โข Following the listing, Binance began actively promoting the USD1 stablecoin.
An interesting detail: Binance US holds only 1,119 USD1, suggesting that most of the liquidity and holders are located outside the United States. ๐ค
According to Forbes, Binance controls around 87% of the supply of the USD1 stablecoin, linked to the Trump family. Thatโs roughly $4.7B out of $5.4B in circulation โ an unprecedented level of concentration for a major stablecoin. ๐ต
This comes alongside several notable developments:
โข In October, Donald Trump pardoned Binance founder Changpeng Zhao.
โข The SEC dropped its case against Binance shortly after USD1 was listed.
โข Following the listing, Binance began actively promoting the USD1 stablecoin.
An interesting detail: Binance US holds only 1,119 USD1, suggesting that most of the liquidity and holders are located outside the United States. ๐ค
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๐ Whatโs Next: Bull Market or Bear Market?
After a second consecutive double-digit weekly decline, analysts at K33 Research expect Bitcoin to enter a period of stagnation between $60k and $75k. ๐
At the same time, they note a high probability that the market is approaching a bottom. Current on-chain and market metrics are hovering near levels last seen at major cycle lows in 2018, 2020, and 2022. ๐
In short, downside pressure remains, but historical data suggests BTC may be closer to exhaustion than to the start of a new deep sell-off. ๐ค
After a second consecutive double-digit weekly decline, analysts at K33 Research expect Bitcoin to enter a period of stagnation between $60k and $75k. ๐
At the same time, they note a high probability that the market is approaching a bottom. Current on-chain and market metrics are hovering near levels last seen at major cycle lows in 2018, 2020, and 2022. ๐
In short, downside pressure remains, but historical data suggests BTC may be closer to exhaustion than to the start of a new deep sell-off. ๐ค
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๐ US Banks Take a Hard Line on the Clarity Act
US banks have pushed a tough stance during White House discussions on the Clarity Act, insisting that stablecoins should not offer any yield. Their position aims to limit competition with traditional banking products and keep interest-bearing assets firmly under bank control. ๐คท
Against this backdrop, Bitcoin is being pressed toward the lower bound of its current range. A breakdown below this level could open the door to a return to February 5 price levels ๐ก
US banks have pushed a tough stance during White House discussions on the Clarity Act, insisting that stablecoins should not offer any yield. Their position aims to limit competition with traditional banking products and keep interest-bearing assets firmly under bank control. ๐คท
Against this backdrop, Bitcoin is being pressed toward the lower bound of its current range. A breakdown below this level could open the door to a return to February 5 price levels ๐ก
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๐ฆ Goldman Sachs Holds $2.3B in Crypto
According to the latest disclosures, Goldman Sachs now holds around $2.3 billion in crypto assets. ๐ฐ
Portfolio breakdown:
โช๏ธ BTC โ $1.1B
โช๏ธ ETH โ $1.0B
โช๏ธ XRP โ $153M
โช๏ธ SOL โ $108M
The numbers highlight how deeply traditional finance is already exposed to crypto โ not just Bitcoin and Ethereum, but also major altcoins.
The real question now isnโt if institutions are in crypto, but how much volatility theyโre willing to sit through when markets get rough ๐ค
According to the latest disclosures, Goldman Sachs now holds around $2.3 billion in crypto assets. ๐ฐ
Portfolio breakdown:
โช๏ธ BTC โ $1.1B
โช๏ธ ETH โ $1.0B
โช๏ธ XRP โ $153M
โช๏ธ SOL โ $108M
The numbers highlight how deeply traditional finance is already exposed to crypto โ not just Bitcoin and Ethereum, but also major altcoins.
The real question now isnโt if institutions are in crypto, but how much volatility theyโre willing to sit through when markets get rough ๐ค
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๐ญ SharpLink Makes $1M per Week on Ethereum Staking
SharpLink is earning around $1 million per week from Ethereum staking, proving that yield strategies can shine even in tough market conditions.
Over the past 7 days, the company added 552 ETH to its treasury as staking rewards. Since launching the program on June 2, 2025, total rewards have already reached 13,113 ETH. ๐ฐ
While prices may be under pressure, consistent staking income helps smooth out volatility. Turns out, a bear market feels a lot less painful when you prepared for it in advance. ๐ช
SharpLink is earning around $1 million per week from Ethereum staking, proving that yield strategies can shine even in tough market conditions.
Over the past 7 days, the company added 552 ETH to its treasury as staking rewards. Since launching the program on June 2, 2025, total rewards have already reached 13,113 ETH. ๐ฐ
While prices may be under pressure, consistent staking income helps smooth out volatility. Turns out, a bear market feels a lot less painful when you prepared for it in advance. ๐ช
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๐ค Van de Poppe: Final Stage of the Bear Market
๐ต๏ธโโ๏ธ Crypto analyst Michaรซl van de Poppe believes the crypto market peaked in December 2024 and is now going through the final phase of the bear market, with Bitcoin likely near its bottom.
Supporting this view, the Fear & Greed Index has dropped to levels last seen during COVID-19 panic and the Terra collapse. Historically, both periods were followed by strong Bitcoin rallies. ๐ง
In short, sentiment is deeply pessimistic โ and in crypto, that has often marked the moment when the market quietly prepares for its next major move up. ๐
๐ต๏ธโโ๏ธ Crypto analyst Michaรซl van de Poppe believes the crypto market peaked in December 2024 and is now going through the final phase of the bear market, with Bitcoin likely near its bottom.
Supporting this view, the Fear & Greed Index has dropped to levels last seen during COVID-19 panic and the Terra collapse. Historically, both periods were followed by strong Bitcoin rallies. ๐ง
In short, sentiment is deeply pessimistic โ and in crypto, that has often marked the moment when the market quietly prepares for its next major move up. ๐
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Binance has officially completed its $1 billion Bitcoin purchase program for the SAFU fund ๐ฐ
๐ธ As a result, the SAFU wallet now holds around 15,000 BTC, strengthening Binanceโs reserve backing and risk protection buffer.
However, despite such a large institutional buy, the market reaction has been muted. For now, this demand hasnโt been enough to help Bitcoin confidently reclaim and hold above the $70k level ๐
๐ธ As a result, the SAFU wallet now holds around 15,000 BTC, strengthening Binanceโs reserve backing and risk protection buffer.
However, despite such a large institutional buy, the market reaction has been muted. For now, this demand hasnโt been enough to help Bitcoin confidently reclaim and hold above the $70k level ๐
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๐ป Crypto Fear & Greed Index Hits Record Lows
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has plunged to 5 out of 100, marking a level of extreme fear โ even lower than during the Terra collapse in 2022. ๐
Such readings reflect deep pessimism, forced selling, and widespread uncertainty across the market.
๐ Historically, moments of extreme fear have often appeared near major bottoms, when sentiment is at its worst and risk appetite disappears. But no one guarantees that Bitcoin won't fall even lower, even below $60,000 and get stuck there for years to come...๐คท
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has plunged to 5 out of 100, marking a level of extreme fear โ even lower than during the Terra collapse in 2022. ๐
Such readings reflect deep pessimism, forced selling, and widespread uncertainty across the market.
๐ Historically, moments of extreme fear have often appeared near major bottoms, when sentiment is at its worst and risk appetite disappears. But no one guarantees that Bitcoin won't fall even lower, even below $60,000 and get stuck there for years to come...๐คท
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๐ค Is the โAge of Speculationโ in Crypto Ending?
๐จโ๐ผ Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz believes the current downturn is more than a simple correction โ it may signal a structural shift in the crypto industry.
Whatโs happening:
โข BTC is down 21% YTD and nearly 50% from its October 2025 peak
โข Thereโs no single shock like FTX, though Fear & Greed is already at extreme lows ๐ฅถ
โข The market is still digesting the $19.3B liquidation event in October, when 1.6M traders were wiped out in a single day ๐ช
โข Retail investors chase 10xโ30x returns, while institutions bring a very different, lower-risk mindset ๐ฆ
Whatโs next:
โ Speculation wonโt disappear, but it may fade into the background
โ Crypto rails will increasingly support real-world assets
โ Tokenized stocks and RWAs with more modest returns could become the new norm
Crypto may be growing up โ fewer moonshots, more structure, and a very different market dynamic ahead. ๐ค
๐จโ๐ผ Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz believes the current downturn is more than a simple correction โ it may signal a structural shift in the crypto industry.
Whatโs happening:
โข BTC is down 21% YTD and nearly 50% from its October 2025 peak
โข Thereโs no single shock like FTX, though Fear & Greed is already at extreme lows ๐ฅถ
โข The market is still digesting the $19.3B liquidation event in October, when 1.6M traders were wiped out in a single day ๐ช
โข Retail investors chase 10xโ30x returns, while institutions bring a very different, lower-risk mindset ๐ฆ
Whatโs next:
โ Speculation wonโt disappear, but it may fade into the background
โ Crypto rails will increasingly support real-world assets
โ Tokenized stocks and RWAs with more modest returns could become the new norm
Crypto may be growing up โ fewer moonshots, more structure, and a very different market dynamic ahead. ๐ค
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๐ค Could USDT Overtake ETH and BTC by Market Cap?
๐ Bloombergโs senior strategist Mike McGlone suggests a scenario where USDT could surpass both Ethereum and Bitcoin in market capitalization.
His outlook is based on a highly bearish forecast: ETH falling to $1,500 and BTC dropping to $10,000. In such a risk-off environment, McGlone argues that capital could continue flowing into stablecoins, boosting their dominance while major crypto assets lose value ๐ฌ
๐ Bloombergโs senior strategist Mike McGlone suggests a scenario where USDT could surpass both Ethereum and Bitcoin in market capitalization.
His outlook is based on a highly bearish forecast: ETH falling to $1,500 and BTC dropping to $10,000. In such a risk-off environment, McGlone argues that capital could continue flowing into stablecoins, boosting their dominance while major crypto assets lose value ๐ฌ
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๐ต๏ธ Crypto Conspiracy Theory: Arrests = BTC Bottoms?
Crypto Twitter has spotted a curious pattern: every local Bitcoin bottom seems to coincide with the arrest of a major โcrypto CEOโ โ followed by a parabolic market rally ๐คจ
Examples often cited:
โช๏ธ 2019 โ Alexander Vinnik (BTC-e)
โช๏ธ 2022โ2023 โ Do Kwon & Sam Bankman-Fried (Terra, FTX)
โช๏ธ 2024 โ CZ (Binance)
The latest addition to the list: Braden Karony, CEO of SafeMoon.
Of course, this is pure crypto folklore โ correlation, not causation. But in a market that thrives on narratives, some traders are already joking: new arrest = new bottom.
Coincidenceโฆ or just another chapter in cryptoโs favorite conspiracy book? ๐
Crypto Twitter has spotted a curious pattern: every local Bitcoin bottom seems to coincide with the arrest of a major โcrypto CEOโ โ followed by a parabolic market rally ๐คจ
Examples often cited:
โช๏ธ 2019 โ Alexander Vinnik (BTC-e)
โช๏ธ 2022โ2023 โ Do Kwon & Sam Bankman-Fried (Terra, FTX)
โช๏ธ 2024 โ CZ (Binance)
The latest addition to the list: Braden Karony, CEO of SafeMoon.
Of course, this is pure crypto folklore โ correlation, not causation. But in a market that thrives on narratives, some traders are already joking: new arrest = new bottom.
Coincidenceโฆ or just another chapter in cryptoโs favorite conspiracy book? ๐
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๐ข๐ Tom Lee Predicts a V-Shaped ETH Recovery
Market strategist Tom Lee is calling for a V-shaped rebound in Ethereum, pointing to history as his main argument.
Since 2018, ETH has already rebounded eight times after drops of more than 50%. According to Lee, the current drawdown fits the same pattern โ and if history rhymes, a sharp recovery could follow. ๐
Of course, markets donโt always repeat themselves. The big question remains: will this be another textbook bounce, or is this time different? ๐ค
Market strategist Tom Lee is calling for a V-shaped rebound in Ethereum, pointing to history as his main argument.
Since 2018, ETH has already rebounded eight times after drops of more than 50%. According to Lee, the current drawdown fits the same pattern โ and if history rhymes, a sharp recovery could follow. ๐
Of course, markets donโt always repeat themselves. The big question remains: will this be another textbook bounce, or is this time different? ๐ค
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๐ Market Dips, Mood Shifts
Bitcoin slid again toward $66,000, and the altcoin market followed โ pressure is clearly back. But the most memorable moment came not from the charts.
๐ Charles Hoskinson, founder of Cardano, showed heโs mentally ready for a bear market. At the Consensus event in Hong Kong, he appeared on stage wearing a McDonaldโs uniform, turning market stress into a viral performance.
His message was blunt and symbolic:
Bitcoin slid again toward $66,000, and the altcoin market followed โ pressure is clearly back. But the most memorable moment came not from the charts.
๐ Charles Hoskinson, founder of Cardano, showed heโs mentally ready for a bear market. At the Consensus event in Hong Kong, he appeared on stage wearing a McDonaldโs uniform, turning market stress into a viral performance.
His message was blunt and symbolic:
โShit is getting real.โ ๐
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Crypto Custody Failure in South Korea ๐ฐ๐ท
Police in Gangnam District have reportedly lost 22 BTC confiscated back in 2021. ๐ The bitcoins were drained from a seized hardware wallet โ even though the physical device itself never went missing. ๐
The disappearance went unnoticed for a long time due to a suspended investigation, and an internal probe is now underway.
The audit was triggered by an even bigger incident: 320 BTC recently vanished from the prosecutorโs office in Gwangju. According to local reports, employees fell victim to a phishing attack, leaking wallet credentials after visiting a fake website.๐ฅท
๐ In total, South Korean authorities lost confiscated BTC worth ~$48 million, exposing serious weaknesses in state-level crypto storage and cybersecurity.
Police in Gangnam District have reportedly lost 22 BTC confiscated back in 2021. ๐ The bitcoins were drained from a seized hardware wallet โ even though the physical device itself never went missing. ๐
The disappearance went unnoticed for a long time due to a suspended investigation, and an internal probe is now underway.
The audit was triggered by an even bigger incident: 320 BTC recently vanished from the prosecutorโs office in Gwangju. According to local reports, employees fell victim to a phishing attack, leaking wallet credentials after visiting a fake website.๐ฅท
๐ In total, South Korean authorities lost confiscated BTC worth ~$48 million, exposing serious weaknesses in state-level crypto storage and cybersecurity.
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๐ซ๐ท Binance in the Crosshairs: Armed Attack Linked to Crypto Crime Wave in France
An attempted armed home invasion targeted the head of Binance France in Val-de-Marne.
๐ฅท Three masked men broke into the house looking for him, but he wasnโt home. They fled with two phones. ๐คท๐ฑ
A few hours later, the same group attacked another address, hoping to reach a different crypto entrepreneur โ but they picked the wrong house. Thanks to CCTV, the suspects were tracked down and arrested at a train station in Lyon. ๐
This is far from an isolated case. France has already gained notoriety for crypto-related kidnappings and physical extortion, where attackers try to steal assets through violence or threats.
๐ Recent examples:
โช๏ธArmed attackers tying up victims to steal crypto access devices.
โช๏ธOver 70 โwrench attacksโ globally last year, with 14+ in France alone.
โช๏ธIn 2025, David Balland, co-founder of Ledger, was kidnapped for a crypto ransom and later freed by special forces.
An attempted armed home invasion targeted the head of Binance France in Val-de-Marne.
๐ฅท Three masked men broke into the house looking for him, but he wasnโt home. They fled with two phones. ๐คท๐ฑ
A few hours later, the same group attacked another address, hoping to reach a different crypto entrepreneur โ but they picked the wrong house. Thanks to CCTV, the suspects were tracked down and arrested at a train station in Lyon. ๐
This is far from an isolated case. France has already gained notoriety for crypto-related kidnappings and physical extortion, where attackers try to steal assets through violence or threats.
๐ Recent examples:
โช๏ธArmed attackers tying up victims to steal crypto access devices.
โช๏ธOver 70 โwrench attacksโ globally last year, with 14+ in France alone.
โช๏ธIn 2025, David Balland, co-founder of Ledger, was kidnapped for a crypto ransom and later freed by special forces.
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