🔮 Vitalik Buterin on prediction markets vs social media
He says prediction markets are a more rational alternative to social media, especially when discussing controversial or emotional topics. 👀
On social platforms, people can spread panic or extreme opinions with zero responsibility. Media often amplify this effect with clickbait headlines. Prediction markets work differently: every opinion has a financial cost. If your take is wrong or careless, you lose money. 🤷💵
In short, markets force accountability — and that makes discussions more grounded in reality.
He says prediction markets are a more rational alternative to social media, especially when discussing controversial or emotional topics. 👀
On social platforms, people can spread panic or extreme opinions with zero responsibility. Media often amplify this effect with clickbait headlines. Prediction markets work differently: every opinion has a financial cost. If your take is wrong or careless, you lose money. 🤷💵
In short, markets force accountability — and that makes discussions more grounded in reality.
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🇬🇭 Ghana officially legalizes crypto
🗒 Ghana’s parliament has passed a law that brings crypto into the legal and regulated space. The new bill allows the licensing of crypto platforms and gives the central bank oversight over the market.
📊Around 3 million Ghanaians (17% of adults) already use crypto, so authorities decided it’s better to regulate than ignore it. The goal is more transparency, lower risks for the local currency, and clearer rules for businesses.
Crypto activity in Ghana hit $3B in transactions over the past year — a strong signal that adoption is already here, now with legal backing. 💪
🗒 Ghana’s parliament has passed a law that brings crypto into the legal and regulated space. The new bill allows the licensing of crypto platforms and gives the central bank oversight over the market.
📊Around 3 million Ghanaians (17% of adults) already use crypto, so authorities decided it’s better to regulate than ignore it. The goal is more transparency, lower risks for the local currency, and clearer rules for businesses.
Crypto activity in Ghana hit $3B in transactions over the past year — a strong signal that adoption is already here, now with legal backing. 💪
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🐂 Gold hits a new ATH — will BTC follow?
Historically, when gold enters a strong uptrend and prints new all-time highs, Bitcoin tends to follow with a delay. This pattern has appeared in multiple past cycles. 👀
We’re seeing a similar setup now: gold is already at record levels, while BTC is still moving sideways and not rushing higher. If history rhymes, the next step could be liquidity gradually rotating from precious metals into the crypto market. 🤔
Watching closely for that shift 📤
Historically, when gold enters a strong uptrend and prints new all-time highs, Bitcoin tends to follow with a delay. This pattern has appeared in multiple past cycles. 👀
We’re seeing a similar setup now: gold is already at record levels, while BTC is still moving sideways and not rushing higher. If history rhymes, the next step could be liquidity gradually rotating from precious metals into the crypto market. 🤔
Watching closely for that shift 📤
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😥 Altcoins hit extreme oversold levels
📉 Altcoins have dropped to oversold conditions last seen during the COVID crash. Across the market, prices are sitting near multi-year lows, making many traders ask the same question: how much lower can they really go? 🤔
Historically, such extreme pessimism and compression often appear near cycle bottoms, though timing remains uncertain. For now, the data highlights just how washed out sentiment in altcoins has become. 👀
📉 Altcoins have dropped to oversold conditions last seen during the COVID crash. Across the market, prices are sitting near multi-year lows, making many traders ask the same question: how much lower can they really go? 🤔
Historically, such extreme pessimism and compression often appear near cycle bottoms, though timing remains uncertain. For now, the data highlights just how washed out sentiment in altcoins has become. 👀
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👀 CoinMarketCap outlook for 2026: less hype, more maturity
CoinMarketCap’s 2026 forecast isn’t about a classic bull run — it’s about a shift in how crypto creates value. 💰
📝 The era of endless new L1s and L2s is fading. Capital is moving away from chains “just because” and toward apps people actually use — products with revenue, distribution, and control over user experience. Super apps start to matter more than base protocols.
💵 Regulation turns from an enemy into a filter: projects that survive gain clearer economics like revenue sharing and buybacks. UX stops being a feature and becomes the strategy itself.
🔮 Prediction markets quietly gain relevance through partnerships and distribution, not hype. L2s don’t disappear — they evolve into app-specific rails. RWAs show real demand, but adoption stays slow due to pricing and structure.
🏦 For investors, the mindset changes too: fewer “one-token bets,” more indexes, sectors, and risk-managed strategies.
CoinMarketCap’s 2026 forecast isn’t about a classic bull run — it’s about a shift in how crypto creates value. 💰
📝 The era of endless new L1s and L2s is fading. Capital is moving away from chains “just because” and toward apps people actually use — products with revenue, distribution, and control over user experience. Super apps start to matter more than base protocols.
💵 Regulation turns from an enemy into a filter: projects that survive gain clearer economics like revenue sharing and buybacks. UX stops being a feature and becomes the strategy itself.
🔮 Prediction markets quietly gain relevance through partnerships and distribution, not hype. L2s don’t disappear — they evolve into app-specific rails. RWAs show real demand, but adoption stays slow due to pricing and structure.
🏦 For investors, the mindset changes too: fewer “one-token bets,” more indexes, sectors, and risk-managed strategies.
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Crypto soothsayer
👀 Casascius Bitcoin coins come alive after 13 years Over the weekend, two transactions of 1,000 BTC each were moved for the first time in over 13 years — coming from so-called Casascius Coins. Someone finally decided to stop holding paper wealth and become…
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💎 This is how, back in 2012, a vending machine sold Casascius coins for $7 each
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📊 Stablecoin flows: where liquidity is moving
💵 Over the past week, capital in stablecoins (USDT + USDC) across the top 15 blockchains shows a clear shift. Liquidity is actively migrating from Solana, Stable, and Tron toward TON and Ethereum.
Top inflows:
🟢 TON: +$509M
🟢 Ethereum: +$171M
Top outflows:
🔴 Solana: –$507M
🔴 Tron: –$334M
🔴 Base: –$191M
🔴 Hyperliquid: –$80M
💵 Over the past week, capital in stablecoins (USDT + USDC) across the top 15 blockchains shows a clear shift. Liquidity is actively migrating from Solana, Stable, and Tron toward TON and Ethereum.
Top inflows:
🟢 TON: +$509M
🟢 Ethereum: +$171M
Top outflows:
🔴 Solana: –$507M
🔴 Tron: –$334M
🔴 Base: –$191M
🔴 Hyperliquid: –$80M
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🛠 Bitcoin mining vs local residents in Texas
🐄 In Hood County, Texas, a long-running conflict between locals and mining company MARA has escalated into a lawsuit.
Residents complain about constant industrial noise, health issues, and falling property values, while the company insists its operations are legal and bring economic benefits to the region. 💵
An attempt by residents to gain city status and introduce strict noise limits failed in a local vote. 🤷
The case highlights the often overlooked social costs of rapid crypto mining expansion in the US — where economic growth and community impact are increasingly colliding.
🐄 In Hood County, Texas, a long-running conflict between locals and mining company MARA has escalated into a lawsuit.
Residents complain about constant industrial noise, health issues, and falling property values, while the company insists its operations are legal and bring economic benefits to the region. 💵
An attempt by residents to gain city status and introduce strict noise limits failed in a local vote. 🤷
The case highlights the often overlooked social costs of rapid crypto mining expansion in the US — where economic growth and community impact are increasingly colliding.
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🐋 CryptoQuant: whales stop selling BTC
🔎 According to CryptoQuant, Bitcoin whales have largely stopped offloading coins, with selling pressure dropping to near-zero.
Large holders were actively taking profits during BTC’s decline from $124,000 to $84,000, but that phase now appears to be over. 💪
The market has shifted into a stabilization phase, suggesting reduced downside pressure and a more balanced supply–demand dynamic in the short term. 📊
🔎 According to CryptoQuant, Bitcoin whales have largely stopped offloading coins, with selling pressure dropping to near-zero.
Large holders were actively taking profits during BTC’s decline from $124,000 to $84,000, but that phase now appears to be over. 💪
The market has shifted into a stabilization phase, suggesting reduced downside pressure and a more balanced supply–demand dynamic in the short term. 📊
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🐃 Déjà vu on the BTC chart?
🕵️♂️ Analyst Timothy Peterson compares the current Bitcoin price action to $16,000 at the end of 2022. According to his charts, the market is showing an almost identical pattern of December weakness.
If history repeats itself, a post–January 7 rally could follow — similar to what we saw in early 2023. The thesis is based on long-term seasonality and recurring market cycles. 🎄
Not a guarantee, but a familiar setup worth watching. 🧐
🕵️♂️ Analyst Timothy Peterson compares the current Bitcoin price action to $16,000 at the end of 2022. According to his charts, the market is showing an almost identical pattern of December weakness.
If history repeats itself, a post–January 7 rally could follow — similar to what we saw in early 2023. The thesis is based on long-term seasonality and recurring market cycles. 🎄
Not a guarantee, but a familiar setup worth watching. 🧐
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🎼 Bitcoin turns into music in Brazil 🇧🇷
An experimental orchestral project in Brazil has been approved to turn Bitcoin price data into live music. 🙀
🎶📈 During the concert in Brasília, an algorithm will track BTC price movements and technical data in real time, converting volatility into melody, rhythm, and harmony as the orchestra performs live.
The goal is to give the audience an audible experience of Bitcoin’s market behavior, blending art, math, economics, and physics.
An experimental orchestral project in Brazil has been approved to turn Bitcoin price data into live music. 🙀
🎶📈 During the concert in Brasília, an algorithm will track BTC price movements and technical data in real time, converting volatility into melody, rhythm, and harmony as the orchestra performs live.
The goal is to give the audience an audible experience of Bitcoin’s market behavior, blending art, math, economics, and physics.
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Altseason canceled? Not so fast 👀
📝 According to a market overview from market maker Wintermute, retail investors are rotating out of altcoins and back into BTC and ETH, while institutions have been steadily accumulating Bitcoin and Ethereum since summer.
Key points:
▪️ BTC dominance has been rising throughout the second half of the year
▪️ Altcoins are under pressure from large token unlocks
▪️ Capital is concentrating mainly in BTC and ETH
▪️ Holiday season + low liquidity = sideways market
Conclusion: An altseason is still possible, but not right now. First, BTC needs to reclaim higher levels and show strength. Short term: chop and liquidation-driven volatility. Mid term: institutions remain the main growth driver.🚀
📝 According to a market overview from market maker Wintermute, retail investors are rotating out of altcoins and back into BTC and ETH, while institutions have been steadily accumulating Bitcoin and Ethereum since summer.
Key points:
▪️ BTC dominance has been rising throughout the second half of the year
▪️ Altcoins are under pressure from large token unlocks
▪️ Capital is concentrating mainly in BTC and ETH
▪️ Holiday season + low liquidity = sideways market
Conclusion: An altseason is still possible, but not right now. First, BTC needs to reclaim higher levels and show strength. Short term: chop and liquidation-driven volatility. Mid term: institutions remain the main growth driver.🚀
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🐳 Reality check for VC valuations
🐃 During bull markets, venture investors often push crypto project valuations higher on hype and momentum. But when the market cools, these projects face a harsh reality check: public market caps fall far below their earlier private valuations. 👀
📉 The recent downturn clearly exposed the growing gap between VC estimates and real market prices. As liquidity dries up and speculation fades, only projects with real traction and sustainable economics manage to hold value — the rest are repriced by the market. 🤷
🐃 During bull markets, venture investors often push crypto project valuations higher on hype and momentum. But when the market cools, these projects face a harsh reality check: public market caps fall far below their earlier private valuations. 👀
📉 The recent downturn clearly exposed the growing gap between VC estimates and real market prices. As liquidity dries up and speculation fades, only projects with real traction and sustainable economics manage to hold value — the rest are repriced by the market. 🤷
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🚨 Trust Wallet browser extension hack — what we know so far
📝 Reports started spreading on X about users losing funds right after authorizing the Trust Wallet browser extension. Wallets were drained and funds sent to unknown addresses. Initial losses were estimated at ~$2M, but the damage has now exceeded $6M with hundreds of victims. 🙀
🔍 What happened
▪️The issue is linked to Trust Wallet browser extension v2.68.
▪️Malicious code was found sending wallet data to a fake domain (metrics-trustwallet․com), registered just days before the attack.
▪️The malware appears to trigger when importing a seed phrase, though other scenarios may also be affected.
📢 Official Trust Wallet statement
▪️Only browser extension v2.68 is affected.
▪️Users must disable v2.68 immediately and update to v2.69.
▪️Mobile app users and other versions are NOT affected.
▪️Update only via the official Chrome Web Store link.
🔥 CZ (he is owner TW) stated that Trust Wallet will compensate affected users.
📝 Reports started spreading on X about users losing funds right after authorizing the Trust Wallet browser extension. Wallets were drained and funds sent to unknown addresses. Initial losses were estimated at ~$2M, but the damage has now exceeded $6M with hundreds of victims. 🙀
🔍 What happened
▪️The issue is linked to Trust Wallet browser extension v2.68.
▪️Malicious code was found sending wallet data to a fake domain (metrics-trustwallet․com), registered just days before the attack.
▪️The malware appears to trigger when importing a seed phrase, though other scenarios may also be affected.
📢 Official Trust Wallet statement
▪️Only browser extension v2.68 is affected.
▪️Users must disable v2.68 immediately and update to v2.69.
▪️Mobile app users and other versions are NOT affected.
▪️Update only via the official Chrome Web Store link.
🔥 CZ (he is owner TW) stated that Trust Wallet will compensate affected users.
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🎄 Bitcoin Christmas Prices: A Trip Through Time 💸
Every Christmas, BTC tells a different story. From cents to five figures — here’s how Bitcoin has grown over the years 👇
📆 BTC price on Christmas:
• 2010 — $0.25 🤯
• 2011 — $4
• 2012 — $13
• 2013 — $682
• 2014 — $319
• 2015 — $456
• 2016 — $896
• 2017 — $14,027 🚀
• 2018 — $3,815 😬
• 2019 — $7,275
• 2020 — $24,665
• 2021 — $50,430 🔥
• 2022 — $16,831 ❄️
• 2023 — $43,665
• 2024 — $98,200 🧨
• 2025 — $87,350
🎅 Moral of the story: volatility is temporary, Bitcoin’s long-term trend is not.
HODLers know — Christmas hits different when you zoom out 🎄📈
Every Christmas, BTC tells a different story. From cents to five figures — here’s how Bitcoin has grown over the years 👇
📆 BTC price on Christmas:
• 2010 — $0.25 🤯
• 2011 — $4
• 2012 — $13
• 2013 — $682
• 2014 — $319
• 2015 — $456
• 2016 — $896
• 2017 — $14,027 🚀
• 2018 — $3,815 😬
• 2019 — $7,275
• 2020 — $24,665
• 2021 — $50,430 🔥
• 2022 — $16,831 ❄️
• 2023 — $43,665
• 2024 — $98,200 🧨
• 2025 — $87,350
🎅 Moral of the story: volatility is temporary, Bitcoin’s long-term trend is not.
HODLers know — Christmas hits different when you zoom out 🎄📈
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🛍 Don’t rush to bury Bitcoin
🔎 Zooming out beats watching short-term noise. If we look at 10-year average annual returns (CAGR) as of Dec 2025, the picture is pretty clear:
🟠 Bitcoin: ~70% per year
🟡 Gold: ~15% per year
🔵 S&P 500: ~13% per year
Yes, BTC is volatile in the short term — corrections, fear, and shakeouts are part of the game. But over a 5+ year horizon, Bitcoin has consistently outperformed traditional assets by a wide margin.
📌 Bottom line: volatility doesn’t cancel long-term dominance. Time in the market still matters more than timing the market.
🔎 Zooming out beats watching short-term noise. If we look at 10-year average annual returns (CAGR) as of Dec 2025, the picture is pretty clear:
🟠 Bitcoin: ~70% per year
🟡 Gold: ~15% per year
🔵 S&P 500: ~13% per year
Yes, BTC is volatile in the short term — corrections, fear, and shakeouts are part of the game. But over a 5+ year horizon, Bitcoin has consistently outperformed traditional assets by a wide margin.
📌 Bottom line: volatility doesn’t cancel long-term dominance. Time in the market still matters more than timing the market.
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Perspective matters in crypto 👀
We feel bearish because we compare current prices to the latest ATH. But a healthier way to look at the market is through yearly lows, not recent highs.
📌 Example:
▪️2024 yearly low: $38,505
▪️2025 low: ~$74,434
That’s +128% from 2024 yearly bottom 🚀
💡 Takeaway:
Short-term pullbacks look scary only when viewed from the top. Zoom out, and Bitcoin is still massively up relative to its annual lows.
Sometimes the problem isn’t the price — it’s the perspective 🧐📊
We feel bearish because we compare current prices to the latest ATH. But a healthier way to look at the market is through yearly lows, not recent highs.
📌 Example:
▪️2024 yearly low: $38,505
▪️2025 low: ~$74,434
That’s +128% from 2024 yearly bottom 🚀
💡 Takeaway:
Short-term pullbacks look scary only when viewed from the top. Zoom out, and Bitcoin is still massively up relative to its annual lows.
Sometimes the problem isn’t the price — it’s the perspective 🧐📊
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