Stop looking at macro through the lens of “rate cut = BTC up.”
Lower rates can be bullish for $BTC, but the rate itself is not the main variable.
The usual logic is simple:
Rates ↓ → money gets cheaper → financial conditions ease → liquidity rises → capital moves into risk assets → BTC rises.
The problem is that it doesn't always work this way.
The Fed may cut rates because the economy is weakening. At the same time, QT can continue, banks can tighten lending, M2 can stagnate, and investors can reduce risk exposure.
In that scenario: rates ↓ + liquidity ↓ → BTC falls.
And the opposite is also possible. BTC can rally with high inflation and high rates if liquidity in the financial system is expanding.
Previous cycles show this clearly. The biggest BTC bull moves generally came alongside major injections of liquidity through QE, fiscal stimulus, M2 expansion, and credit growth.
The current market is another good example. BTC's move this week wasn't just about rate expectations. Markets have also been pricing in Treasury buybacks, a weaker DXY, the CLARITY Act, and stronger demand for hard assets amid inflation and massive government debt.
So instead of watching one number, watch the whole system: M2, DXY, yields, QT/QE, the Fed balance sheet, government spending, deficits, credit conditions, and the broader news environment.
The interest rate is just one part of the picture — not a simple “BTC up” or “BTC down” button.
Lower rates can be bullish for $BTC, but the rate itself is not the main variable.
The usual logic is simple:
Rates ↓ → money gets cheaper → financial conditions ease → liquidity rises → capital moves into risk assets → BTC rises.
The problem is that it doesn't always work this way.
The Fed may cut rates because the economy is weakening. At the same time, QT can continue, banks can tighten lending, M2 can stagnate, and investors can reduce risk exposure.
In that scenario: rates ↓ + liquidity ↓ → BTC falls.
And the opposite is also possible. BTC can rally with high inflation and high rates if liquidity in the financial system is expanding.
Previous cycles show this clearly. The biggest BTC bull moves generally came alongside major injections of liquidity through QE, fiscal stimulus, M2 expansion, and credit growth.
The current market is another good example. BTC's move this week wasn't just about rate expectations. Markets have also been pricing in Treasury buybacks, a weaker DXY, the CLARITY Act, and stronger demand for hard assets amid inflation and massive government debt.
So instead of watching one number, watch the whole system: M2, DXY, yields, QT/QE, the Fed balance sheet, government spending, deficits, credit conditions, and the broader news environment.
The interest rate is just one part of the picture — not a simple “BTC up” or “BTC down” button.
🔥378👍70❤50👀34🐳18👎1
The market maker seems to be shifting liquidity right now, and the price is not moving equally across all platforms.
I am monitoring the spread closely, and right now the gap on #SOL is around 16%.
Here's what you need to do:
1. BUY #SOL on Binance or any other exchange: Price - $105.29
2. Go to RabuCoin and deposit #SOL there. (You don't need a KYC to trade, so it won't take much time)
3. SELL #SOL on RabuCoin: Price - $122.29
4. Then withdraw your money from there and repeat the whole process.
If you still don't understand something, write to me, I'll try to help - @realcryptomonarch
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
52🔥2.48K👀1.49K👍502❤199🐳38🤬12👎4
The arbitrage is coming to an end, so I want to share some feedback and results from people who participated today.
Sometimes other people’s experience says more than another long explanation.
Take a look at the screenshots below and draw your own conclusions.
Sometimes other people’s experience says more than another long explanation.
Take a look at the screenshots below and draw your own conclusions.
🐳218👀183🔥52👍48❤45🤬5
😳 Trump Scammed Crypto Investors Out of $4.7 Billion
The Trump family’s crypto projects have cost investors billions of $$$; the biggest loss came from the $TRUMP token, with at least another $1 billion lost on $WLFI
Meanwhile, Trump himself, of course, made a killing off these scam tokens😅
The Trump family’s crypto projects have cost investors billions of $$$; the biggest loss came from the $TRUMP token, with at least another $1 billion lost on $WLFI
Meanwhile, Trump himself, of course, made a killing off these scam tokens😅
❤215🐳164🔥124👀74👍3🤬3
👀 BTC reaction after Jackson Hole over the past 5 years
Every time the Fed Chair has spoken at Jackson Hole, $BTC has followed with a 6–19.5% correction.
Yesterday was no exception. Bitcoin is already down 3.8%, and a 6% decline would bring us right into our target zone around $75K.
So far, the historical pattern is playing out once again.
Every time the Fed Chair has spoken at Jackson Hole, $BTC has followed with a 6–19.5% correction.
Yesterday was no exception. Bitcoin is already down 3.8%, and a 6% decline would bring us right into our target zone around $75K.
So far, the historical pattern is playing out once again.
👍265❤213🔥42🐳39👀9
A former White House aide was fined $172,539 by the CFTC for trading on Kalshi by using Trump speech secrets.
1👍214🐳172👀110❤47🔥21
I am watching the market closely right now, and the setup is starting to look interesting.
Turn ON notifications for this channel, because if the spread confirms, I will post the full step-by-step instruction here.
Show some activity under this post - leave reactions and write in the comments so I can see that you are waiting for the setup.
If there is enough activity, I will share the opportunity as soon as it opens.
Be ready - these windows usually disappear fast.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
🐳263🔥96👀82❤80👍27
Crypto Monarch
As promised, I am sharing the arbitrage opportunity with you.
The setup is active right now, and a price gap has appeared on the BITnezy platform compared to other exchanges. This is exactly the kind of window we were waiting for after the last post.
Timing matters here, so read the instructions carefully and follow the steps without rushing.
Below is the full algorithm:
1. BUY #SOL on Binance or any other exchange: Price - $104.4
2. Go to BITnezy and deposit #SOL there. (You don't need a KYC to trade, so it won't take much time)
3. SELL #SOL on BITnezy: Price - $120.8
4. Then withdraw your money from there and repeat the whole process.
✔️ Example: Buying $1,000 worth of $SOL at $104.40 and selling it at $120.80 would result in approximately $157.09 in profit per cycle, before trading, network, and withdrawal fees.
If you still don't understand something, write to me, I'll try to help - @realcryptomonarch.
The setup is active right now, and a price gap has appeared on the BITnezy platform compared to other exchanges. This is exactly the kind of window we were waiting for after the last post.
Timing matters here, so read the instructions carefully and follow the steps without rushing.
Below is the full algorithm:
1. BUY #SOL on Binance or any other exchange: Price - $104.4
2. Go to BITnezy and deposit #SOL there. (You don't need a KYC to trade, so it won't take much time)
3. SELL #SOL on BITnezy: Price - $120.8
4. Then withdraw your money from there and repeat the whole process.
If you still don't understand something, write to me, I'll try to help - @realcryptomonarch.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
140🔥4.9K👍2.27K❤1.16K🐳190👎50👀7🤬2
The arbitrage gap has officially closed, so the opportunity is no longer active.
Congrats to everyone who managed to catch the spread and lock in profit while it lasted.
See you on the next one.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
1❤189🐳185👍79👀58🔥34
August is over, and we’re diving into fall
August officially closed with BTC up 25%—the best month since February 2024. And to the younger members of our audience, happy Knowledge Day—learning is power (including in crypto) 👍
Looking at the charts and the market over the past 24 hours, the situation hasn’t changed: expectations and targets remain the same. Inflows into ETH have resumed, retail activity has dropped slightly, and leverage has increased.
Things are heating up in Intraday: the market is offering plenty of opportunities to trade. On-chain, there’s practically a mini-alt season on Robinhood, and BSC is trying to keep up as well. So while the opportunities are there—you need to capitalize on them.
The key is not to get carried away and to remember to take profits. As for the on-chain season, we may already be approaching the peaks.
A similar situation occurred during the last BSC season: lots of early-stage projects on X-chains, listings on exchanges—and after that, the market made its final move and the rally ended.
August officially closed with BTC up 25%—the best month since February 2024. And to the younger members of our audience, happy Knowledge Day—learning is power (including in crypto) 👍
Looking at the charts and the market over the past 24 hours, the situation hasn’t changed: expectations and targets remain the same. Inflows into ETH have resumed, retail activity has dropped slightly, and leverage has increased.
Things are heating up in Intraday: the market is offering plenty of opportunities to trade. On-chain, there’s practically a mini-alt season on Robinhood, and BSC is trying to keep up as well. So while the opportunities are there—you need to capitalize on them.
The key is not to get carried away and to remember to take profits. As for the on-chain season, we may already be approaching the peaks.
A similar situation occurred during the last BSC season: lots of early-stage projects on X-chains, listings on exchanges—and after that, the market made its final move and the rally ended.
1👀278👍111❤58🔥39🐳39