Sharing my results from today’s arbitrage setup.
The opportunity worked out well, and I managed to complete several successful rounds while the spread remained active.

#BTC may be getting closer to the bottom.

Bitcoin’s monthly RSI is approaching its historical low.

It was lower only once - in December 2022. After that, #BTC gained around 660% over the next 3 years.

The reversal has not happened yet, but the market is already trying to find support.

This does not confirm the bottom, but it suggests that Bitcoin may be entering an important zone.

Imagine the face of the employee who took this photo.

Not long ago, South Korea’s tax authorities raided 124 major tax debtors and seized around $5.6M in crypto.

After the operation, they decided to publish a press release with photos of the confiscated assets.

One of the pictures showed a Ledger.
And right next to it was a piece of paper with the full seed phrase clearly visible.

As you can probably guess, the wallet was completely drained just a few hours later.

A perfect example of how one careless photo can turn a successful seizure into a disaster.

📊The crypto market has now posted negative returns for 3 consecutive quarters.

This is the longest losing streak since 2022.
So what does it tell us?

The market is probably already trading close to bottom territory.

Even if $BTC drops to around $50K and altcoins lose another 20%-30%, it would not fundamentally change the situation anymore.
Most market participants are already sitting in deep drawdowns and waiting for conditions to improve.

And it is not just retail.

Many crypto funds that invested tens or even hundreds of millions of dollars are currently facing the same 70%-90% losses.

⚠️ What makes sense right now?

1️⃣ Focus on fundamentally strong projects that have held up better than the rest of the market over the past few years.

For example, projects like $SUI that showed relative strength and declined less than the average market.

Projects whose market cap has collapsed to $20M-$50M are usually among the weakest in their sector, and there is no guarantee they will survive.

2️⃣ Keep building capital for future investments.

The better moment to become more aggressive will come when the market gives a clear green light.

For that, we are watching the Fed, interest rate decisions, liquidity conditions, and other major macro signals.

The Middle East escalation is entering a new phase.

Iran has launched its largest coordinated missile and drone attack in months, targeting Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, the UAE, and Jordan.

Tehran has also officially announced the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

Iran’s parliament speaker said:

“The era of one-sided deals is over. We warned you - either keep your word or pay the price. Reality is already knocking at the door.”
Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has also vowed to avenge the death of his father, calling it a demand of the nation that must be fulfilled.
The US has responded with a third round of strikes.
Targets reportedly included air surveillance radars, missile and drone storage facilities, launch sites, maritime radar stations, and air-defense launchers.
US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said Tehran “made a mistake and will pay for it.”

Trump has also threatened to “completely destroy Iran” if there is any attempt on his life, saying that 1,000 missiles are already loaded and aimed at Iran, with thousands more ready to follow.

For now, the market reaction remains limited.

$BTC is trading slightly below $64K.

But the show is clearly not over, and the biggest volatility may still be ahead.

Expect heavy liquidations.
This is not the time to rush into futures.

More than $10B has left the total stablecoin market cap since May.

That means a noticeable amount of liquidity has moved out of the crypto market over the past few months.

Stablecoins are one of the clearest indicators of capital waiting on the sidelines.

So when their total supply declines, it usually means there is less money available to support new market growth.

For now, liquidity remains one of crypto’s biggest problems.

ETF FLOWS: XRP spot ETFs saw net outflows last week, while BTC, ETH, SOL, HYPE spot ETFs saw net inflows.

BTC: $197.40M
ETH: $84.42M
SOL: $930.43K
XRP: -$7.18M
HYPE: $10.36M

This is what it looks like when a project catches the perfect meta.

Over the past 7 days, the NOXA launchpad generated $7.6M in fees on Robinhood.

For those who did not know, this was the platform behind most of the memecoins launched across the ecosystem.

What makes it even more interesting is that the protocol was barely generating any revenue before this.

The team tried to catch hype across other chains like Monad, MegaETH, Stable, and others, but none of those attempts really worked.

After several failed tries, they finally hit the jackpot and positioned themselves perfectly for the current narrative.

Some OG whales are waking up and moving their BTC. 👀

Today, one whale transferred almost 3,000 $BTC to a new address after 7 years of inactivity.

This could simply be an internal wallet rotation.

But it could also be preparation for an OTC deal.

Considering similar whale movements in the past, the second scenario looks more likely.

Trump has officially resumed military action against Iran.

The White House sent a formal notification to Congress regarding the renewed hostilities.

In the document, Trump said that the US carried out “defensive strikes against targets in Iran” on July 7.

He also warned that a much larger attack may follow, potentially targeting members of Tehran’s current leadership.

Geopolitical risk is clearly back on the table, and the market may not be pricing in the next stage of escalation yet.

I'm getting a lot of questions right now, so I'll try to answer them while the signal is still active!

1. What's the approximate profit per cycle? - 11% of the deposit amount.

2. What if your funds aren't in SOL but in USDT or any other coin? - Just buy SOL on your exchange. I thought this was obvious, but people keep asking. You can buy BNB with any currency you have and start arbitrage!

3. How long does the price difference last? - I can't answer that precisely, as it always varies, but today I think you have about 2 more hours.

4. How many cycles can you do? - There are no limits here, as they can be extended as long as the price difference exists, and even in the worst-case scenario, you won't lose anything , you'll simply end up with the same amount you started the cycle with.

5. Do I need KYC and how long does registration take? - No, you don't. Registration takes about 5 minutes, after which you can start trading immediately.

I hope this post has made someone's life easier, and don't waste your time. Such signals are rare, and anyone can make money now.

The US Government just moved $8.8M worth of BTC to Coinbase Prime.

The receiving Coinbase Prime deposit address had previously accepted seized
Bitcoin linked to the founders of Samourai Wallet.

Large government transfers to exchange infrastructure always attract attention.

For now, it is unclear whether this is just custody management or preparation for a potential sale.

$BTC MVRV Z-Score has not even reached the green zone yet.

Historically, that zone has been associated with bottom formation.

So I would not get too excited about this small $BTC bounce.

For now, the bigger picture has not changed - we still expect more downside during Q3.

How did the market react after PPI releases this year?

January 14 - $BTC -12%
January 30 - $BTC -29%
February 27 - $BTC -7.7%
March 18 - $BTC -12.9%
April 14 - $BTC +12.3%
May 13 - $BTC -27%
June 11 - $BTC +9.3%

In almost every case, except April, inflation came in above or significantly above expectations, and the market reacted with a sell-off.

The only real exception was June, when $BTC moved higher instead.

So PPI remains one of the key macro events to watch, especially while the market is still sensitive to inflation data.

80% of blockchains are basically empty shells.

Research shows an interesting statistic: 4 out of 5 blockchain startups raise between $50M and $100M by promising airdrops, but then eventually collapse.

The real activity inside these networks is minimal.

Many of them generate only around $10-$100 in daily revenue.

And that raises a serious question: does it even make sense to invest huge amounts of money into projects that have almost no real
usage?

In this market, hype can still raise capital.

But without users, revenue, and real demand, most chains eventually turn into ghost towns.