Crypto Monarch
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Bitcoin, liquidity, sentiment and crypto market context.
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BlackRock just moved more crypto to Coinbase.

The firm recently transferred an additional 4,577 $BTC, worth around $272M, and 41,996 $ETH, worth roughly $65.2M, to Coinbase.

Large exchange transfers from major institutions always attract attention.

Now the market will be watching whether this is just operational movement - or preparation for something bigger.
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Tom Lee: crypto could explode within a year thanks to AI.

He compared the current crypto setup to memory and semiconductor stocks, which were also ignored before their sharp rally.

According to Lee, the crypto market is now going through a stage of underestimation.

He calls 2026 a pullback year, but says the fundamental changes in the industry are still happening.

At the same time, BitMine’s unrealized loss on $ETH has now exceeded $10B.

So the market looks painful right now, but Lee’s point is simple: the real upside may come after this reset, not during it.
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Crypto had a really rough week.

Around $5B was wiped out across the market in just a few days - mostly from longs.

At this point, a small $BTC relief bounce would be nice to see.

Now we just need Trump to keep the weekend quiet and not drop another headline that sends the market lower again.

Meanwhile, $SOL is holding up surprisingly well.

Somehow, it is still green on the week.
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Arthur Hayes just bought 6.16M $SYN.

The position is worth around $2.2M.

The timing is interesting, because $SYN is already up more than 10x in June.

When Hayes enters after a move like that, the market usually pays attention.

Now the question is simple: is this just late momentum - or does he see another leg higher?
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China’s gold imports hit a record level in May.

China imported 163 tons of gold in May, the highest monthly volume since March 2024.

This was also the third month in a row with imports above 150 tons.

In the first five months of 2026, China imported 692 tons of gold - up 76% compared to the same period last year.

The People’s Bank of China also added another 10 tons of gold to its reserves in May.

That marks the 19th consecutive month of accumulation, bringing total reserves to a record 2,331 tons.

China is still buying gold aggressively - and clearly not slowing down.
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The crypto market may be getting closer to the end of the bear cycle.

Several on-chain signals are starting to point in that direction.

The MVRV indicator for long-term BTC holders has dropped to 1.24 - the lowest level in the past 3 years. Historically, values like this have appeared closer to the end of bear markets.

At the same time, the amount of BTC held by long-term holders has reached a new all-time high, exceeding 16M coins.

Despite the correction, they are not rushing to sell. Instead, they continue to accumulate.

According to the analyst, the decline in MVRV is mainly caused by the price drop, not by mass selling. That means the most confident investors are still not ready to capitulate.

The key level to watch is the average purchase price of long-term holders, around $48.4K.

As long as $BTC trades above this level, the bear-cycle-ending scenario remains valid.

But if BTC falls below it and long-term holders start actively selling, that could signal real capitulation.

MVRV is a metric that compares Bitcoin’s current market value with the average purchase price of coins.
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CryptoQuant notes active ETH buying across both spot and futures markets.

According to the platform, demand for $ETH is picking up not only in derivatives, but also on the spot side.

A significant amount of ETH is being bought on Coinbase in particular.

That is an important detail, because Coinbase activity is often linked to larger US-based and
institutional flows.

If this continues, ETH may finally start building stronger support from real buyers.
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The MiCA transition period ends today.

Starting tomorrow, unified rules for crypto companies officially come into force across the EU.

This is what the current list of crypto exchanges with MiCA licenses looks like.

The standout is OKX - 9 out of 10 licenses.

Regulation in Europe is entering a new phase, and exchanges without proper approval may start facing much tougher operating conditions.
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Interesting July pattern for $BTC.

Every time Bitcoin closed both May and June in the red, July ended up being a green month.

Of course, history does not guarantee a repeat.

But after two weak months in a row, this is exactly the kind of seasonal setup the market will start watching closely.
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A unknown trader just liquidated $175M worth of positions on Binance.

According to reports, a massive liquidation happened on Binance after one trader closed positions worth $175M in a single order.

That is not just a large trade - that is the kind of move that can shake liquidity and trigger extra volatility across the market.

Now the question is whether this was forced liquidation, risk management, or someone intentionally clearing a huge position before the next move.
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BTC - monthly timeframe.

What a beautiful monthly candle. Exactly what I expected.

Did the moonboys finally turn bearish?

Looks like it. And honestly, it was about time: $BTC is already down 54% from this cycle’s peak. πŸ˜…

My target for this month remains the $49K-$53K zone.
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BTC made new lows - and Trump finally revealed how much he made from crypto.

As expected, we did not have to wait long.

Tonight, $BTC swept new lows for the year, but only briefly - after that, price returned back into our range.

The Strategy selling FUD may also still have room to play out. The company filed with the SEC for permission to sell up to $1.25B worth of BTC. For comparison, their first sale was only 32 BTC.

And yesterday, Trump finally revealed how much he made from crypto.
Spoiler: $1.43B.

The numbers look like this:
β€’ memecoin profits - $636M
β€’ World Liberty Financial - $594M
β€’ sale of stake in Stablecoin Holdco - $197M

Just for comparison, his non-crypto-related income was under $100M.

So maybe this is the answer to where all the liquidity went.

It ended up in the pockets of the same β€œcrypto king” everyone was waiting for, hoping he would come and inject money into the market.
Instead, it looks like he came to pump his own bags and ruin the party for everyone else.
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Crypto exchanges allowed and not allowed to operate in the EU after July 1 under MiCA.

The MiCA transition period is officially over, and from now on crypto companies in the EU have to follow unified regulatory rules.

Some exchanges have already received approval and can continue operating legally in the European market.

Others have not received the necessary permission yet, which means they may face restrictions, service limitations, or even be forced to leave certain EU markets.

This is an important moment for European crypto users: liquidity, access to exchanges, and available services may start changing from here.
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BTC ETFs lost $4.51B in June - the worst month ever.

ETF outflows have become one of the biggest pressure points for the market.

And now BlackRock has reportedly sent more $BTC and $ETH to Coinbase again, likely for sale.

So while everyone is waiting for buyers to step in, ETF flows are still moving in the opposite direction.

The market does not need much more FUD right now - but it keeps getting it anyway.
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Market and memes right now.

At least trenches are finally showing some life again.

More and more meme coins are reaching million-dollar caps without instantly dying after a couple of hours.

Some of them are actually staying alive for days, which already feels like a big improvement in this market.
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ETH - experts on Twitter say this is an important stage of the cycle.

Every bounce from the 2025 peak has been weaker than the previous one.
$4,955 β†’ $3,403 β†’ $2,472.

Now $ETH is testing the same zone where crashes started accelerating in the previous cycle.

If this support breaks, panic could spread across the entire altcoin market.
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Trump just set a trading record among sitting presidents.

Over the past year, Donald Trump reportedly made 22,136 trades.

That is around 60 trades per day on average.
At this point, he is not just the β€œcrypto president” - he is basically trading like a full-time market maker.
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Are we getting new BTC FUD next week? πŸ‘€

There are rumors circulating on Twitter that Strategy sold around 500 $BTC on Wednesday.

For now, there is no confirmation - just rumors.

But if this turns out to be true, the market may get another wave of FUD around Strategy and Bitcoin.
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