$STRC had a monster volume day yesterday, $1bn+ for the first time ever

Today should be the same once again just before ex-dividend date

Hard to be bearish on $BTC before these flows are done. You can also think that filling a short today makes sense as the STRC inflows will disappear tomorrow.

Shorting a 15%+ move on $BTC has been a profitable trade twice since the $60k bottom

The logical reasoning is to fill shorts again today on the last STRC inflows days, but I actually hope that this time is different and we can break out

It took 2 hours yesterday to reach $400M volume on STRC, today it took 20 minutes

One thing to keep in mind is that $BTC topped 4 days after STRC ex-dividend date last month

That being said, the awareness around the 'STRC game' has increased a lot in one month

$STRC closed ex-dividend day above [$100 - dividend value], meaning the arb (buy before/sell after) is still profitable, and there will be even more arb-driven flows next month

This is also evidence that a lot of the recent volume is not mercenary but is here to hold

At one point I was obsessed with finding a basket of passive shorts to hold, but over time I came to the conclusion that it's actually a headache, and spending more time being flat+opportunistic is a significantly better idea

Case in point with $ORDI, you'd be suffering here if that was an "inverse investment"

Are we finally going to punish the STRC flows short-sellers on BTC?

MSTR/BTC ratio reaching highs unseen since November 2025

The most impactful trading decision (for my PnL) I took in April was closing a trade at a loss, and more specifically capitulating on my $RAVE short at $2.

I opened it around $1, and added some on the way up. I thought that given how explosive the move was, it had a decent chance of collapsing back down in like one day (like $STO). But clearly that wasn't happening, and then I started to recognize the patterns of the previous scams like MYX (where I lost money shorting), so I took the loss, and then even flipped long.

I got in and out of the RAVE long trades probably 3 or 4 times and made profits on each one, but more importantly than these profits, giving up on the short was THE best decision I took. RAVE is now up 12x from where I closed that short... It was not a short with size, but it would have resulted in a gigantic loss if I did stubbornly let it open.

$2bn+ daily volume on a random altcoin on Binance Futures usually means upside is giga capped

Volume can be a very useful metric to gauge how much you can still be squeezed (or not) on the short side

$ORDI

Shorting scam coins is exponentially more risky than shorting organic coins if you don't have a stop loss

A lot less coins are getting launched these days compared to just a few months ago

In Q4 25 there were roughly 3 times as many TGEs as in Q1 26

Lotta coins looking nice like that with rounded bottoms

Not hard to imagine them accelerating and sending