based on polls yesterday, seems like AI and Claude land around these spots on the curve

hype cycle wise, clear consensus that we're at inflated expectations and hype (most subsidised era of AI)

1) how will the trough look, given that we're in a 'new paradigm' of exponential advancement?
2) will adoption slowdown as sentiment hits a low?
3) what will the timeframe look like? if compressed, by how much?

better projections of the future can be made once we've settled into a rhythm, rather than projecting from the current hype and 'wow' or 'oh shit' moments

and that is probably what everyone is struggling to grasp

my guess is that whatever predictions being made rn by experts or folks are going to be completely off, as usual with every new technological adoption

strong opinions held loosely seems to be the path forward

wisdom of the crowd, just that we're not factoring in 90% of the crowd yet

a general survey

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ai psychosis is increasing

https://x.com/rowlsmanthorpe/status/2037490432737681765?s=46&t=nluSw7cwYGx8zFxfoYi5Iw