Gold retreats as rate cut hopes fade

➡️Gold eases towards 200-SMA as inflation risks question future Fed rate cuts.
➡️Short-term risk is skewed to the downside; bears need a close below 4,990.

From a technical perspective, the price is approaching a make-or-break point, hovering around the protective 200-period simple moving average (SMA) on the four-hour chart, as well as key supportive trendlines located within the 5,060–5,090 range.

Market sentiment remains downbeat, as reflected by the declining RSI and MACD indicators, while the latest rebound in the Stochastic oscillator appears unconvincing. As a result, the bears may continue to push for a close below the 5,060 floor, while a decisive break beneath the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the January–February downleg at 4,990 could hand them full control. If that level gives way, the sell-off may accelerate towards 4,850, marking a fresh lower low in the short-term outlook. Further down, the price may pause near the 4,660 region.

On the upside, the bulls must first overcome the 5,170 barrier to target the tentative resistance trendline near 5,330. A stronger move higher could then bring the March high of 5,419 into focus, ahead of the crucial 5,590–5,600 territory.

Overall, gold retains a bearish bias, with sellers waiting for a decisive close below 4,990 to take full control.

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Gold Sell Now: 4998 - 5002

SL: 5008

TP1: 4995
TP2: 4992

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Gold Buy Now: 5019 - 5015

SL: 5009

TP1: 5022
TP2: 5025

Gold rebounds as US Dollar and Treasury yields retreat

➡️Gold steadies near $5,000 as the US Dollar retreats from recent highs.

➡️Markets await the Fed interest rate decision and guidance from other major central banks this week.

➡️Technically, XAU/USD faces selling pressure as prices test the key $5,000 support.

Gold (XAU/USD) edges higher on Monday after reversing intraday losses as the US Dollar (USD) and Treasury yields ease following its recent rally. However, Oil-driven inflation concerns stemming from the ongoing US-Iran war raise the risk that central banks will keep borrowing costs elevated for longer, which continues to cap the metal’s upside despite heightened geopolitical tensions.

At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $5,030 after briefly falling to $4,967, its lowest level in over three weeks.