Update:
With the recent PA, I will DCA again starting below 48k (btc)..the move to the downside is so fast, and SPY still has more room for correction, so high probability there will be larger correction waiting for crypto market

There will probably be a relief bounce first since I feel market is offside, but not V shaped, more like slow upside and its just a deadcat bounce before the real nuke begins..will update along the way when more data revealed

I watched this everyday on my first bear market in 2018, good for weekend watch lol

https://youtu.be/GAWt-bnObxk?si=--wRHtA2MRDhwBNg

November very high chance we up, october still 50:50 waiting for more data

If btc close above 56k on daily candle, maximum time tomorrow close, then there is a chance that bottom already in 👀 if not, well will assess more data

But since I prefer buying lower, in the next week probably will deploy another 15% IF btc drop to 48-52k..so in total there will be 50% deployed IF such scenario happen

Reason: I deploy based on my conviction percentage, so if btc drop to these level in the next week, there is 50% chance that bottom already in

Now lets see if today btc can close the daily candle above 56k 👀

If today daily close below 56k, then high chance we go below 52k, today daily close is very important

56k breached but dont get too excited too soon, its the daily close that is important, although things so far looking veryyy good 👀

For stock, I am begin accumulating WB (weibo), chinese stock is severely undervalued, might go for 3x (multibagger), or go bust lol

Okay so daily close yesterday above 56k..whats next?now I increase the probability of bottom already in to 50%, that means I will deploy another 15% of crypto portofolio on every red candle (projected bottom price now around 53k, yes we may visit 53k again but this time I am convinced that will be the last bottom)

My personal plan is just to DCA down to 53k because I dont know if we will revisit those low again, but that will be the low for the upcoming days imo..but everyone strategy may be different, you can wait to lumpsump if you truly believe 53k will come in the upcoming days

Every dip got eaten..still in bull mode..for now
Will update when I see reversal signal (if any, lol)

CPI soon, red day is always for DCA 🫡

While I expect next coming days will be bullish, keep in mind that I still have 50% conviction that bottom will be at 44k
Still saving 50% of my portofolio just in case we get there
If price goes up, I am good because I already have 50% in the market
If price goes down, I am good because I still have 50% dry powder
I adjust the percentage based on my conviction, right now 50:50
This is my strategy, and everyone strategy is different, use what is best to you

60k either today or tomorrow and then dump to 52k, thats how we see the market now
But the plan remain the same, not shorting and will only deploy the remaining 50% at 44k
All of this is subject to change as more new price data revealed

60k breached 👀

Now its 50:50 chance more pump or become dump from here..my guess is pump first, then dump..happy with 50% already in, only adding more below 55k (IF we got there again, big IF)

If we close today daily candle below 58k, could be trouble for btc, but only for today daily candle