This is just journaling message for me as reminder to my future self, coin that I have predicted 10x so far:

2017 cycle:
AION

2020 cycle:
YFI
YGG
MC (beamx)
Trubit
Agld (loot)
GenesysGo (NFT, more than 50x in usd term because sol also goes up, biggest win)

2023 cycle:
Sol
Nos
Glq
Enqai
Ligma

Only 30% deployed so far, meaning I believe only 30% chance we continue to go up only from here

Plan:
Will deploy up to 50% when we reach 50k
And will deploy the rest (100%) IF we reach 44k region

Based on this metric, recession will happened on 2027, not today

Also reminder that THIS MAY BE OUR LAST BULL MARKET (for U.S stocks and crypto) because starting in 2026 or 2027 (coincide with the recession indicator), we may only see sideways movement only..and true bullrun will be back in.. 2040 !!! 🫡

Also coincide with the concept called "secular" bull and bear

So make sure to make the most out of this upcoming bull market, gl hf maxis manlets army marine bros etc 🫡

With all of the above being said, I still believe (65% conviction) we will make lower price for SPX and BTC in the upcoming weeks(s)..just be ready to deploy fiat/stablecoin (DCA in every red day) when that happen

May be we will attack the 60k region first, will see how things develop from there to determine next move IF we do attack the 60k

Likely scenario:
60k first then 50k, if 60k happens first I will assess if I should DCA more when we reach 60k, but for now the data suggesting most likely will pullback to 50k if we reach 60k

Best scenario:
50k first..if this happens I will absolutely DCA at 50k and will assess situation again wheter to go all in or not because most likely we will go to 40k region first before 60k

Right now only 35% deployed
NFA DYOR, may profit always be with us

The recession index forecast predicted the 2020 covid crash

Right now we are similar to 2005-2006 period

Sure there is an uptick and now 2024 we have a chance to have recession..but its pretty low chance, similar to 2006

For eth, the plan is to buy at 2k or at 2.8k, whichever comes first..right now we wait patiently

Update:
With the recent PA, I will DCA again starting below 48k (btc)..the move to the downside is so fast, and SPY still has more room for correction, so high probability there will be larger correction waiting for crypto market

There will probably be a relief bounce first since I feel market is offside, but not V shaped, more like slow upside and its just a deadcat bounce before the real nuke begins..will update along the way when more data revealed

I watched this everyday on my first bear market in 2018, good for weekend watch lol

https://youtu.be/GAWt-bnObxk?si=--wRHtA2MRDhwBNg