Strongest short signal appears on AR and BOME 👀
Will short any green move
NFA DYOR

Green move appear, best place to go short

Closing short, looking to buy spot for long term bag, good spot to accumulate

Will the price drop further?yes probably
But its always good move to buy after such flush down move happens
I always use Jeff Bezos regret minimization framework
So which event will I have more regret?
a. Not buying and watch it flies from this point (bottom)
b. Buying and it goes down more (not bottom)
Obviously a will make more regret for me
And even if b happens, I still have dry powder to add lower
NFA DYOR, may profit always be with us

Possible scenarios:

Likely scenario:
Btc to 62k first then correction to 52k then up only, or
Btc directly to 52k from here then up only

Less likely scenario:
We continue chopping until bottom for btc will be at around 40k
We continue to go up only from here to ath

Based on this information, I manage the deployment of capital for all possible scenario..now only around 20% deployed, will add much more at 52k, and full max long at 40k

For other lowcap coins, I am just holding since its a very small part of my portofolio, moon or bust lol

Current plan:
Adding more alt when btc reach 53k region (65% of portofolio will be deployed when this happens)
Going all in 100% IF btc reach 44k (big IF)

There is good chance next week we will have sweet entry for long

Gonna be a big week, preparing to deploy stable soon..will also share low cap play that have potential to do 10x

This is just journaling message for me as reminder to my future self, coin that I have predicted 10x so far:

2017 cycle:
AION

2020 cycle:
YFI
YGG
MC (beamx)
Trubit
Agld (loot)
GenesysGo (NFT, more than 50x in usd term because sol also goes up, biggest win)

2023 cycle:
Sol
Nos
Glq
Enqai
Ligma

Only 30% deployed so far, meaning I believe only 30% chance we continue to go up only from here

Plan:
Will deploy up to 50% when we reach 50k
And will deploy the rest (100%) IF we reach 44k region

Based on this metric, recession will happened on 2027, not today

Also reminder that THIS MAY BE OUR LAST BULL MARKET (for U.S stocks and crypto) because starting in 2026 or 2027 (coincide with the recession indicator), we may only see sideways movement only..and true bullrun will be back in.. 2040 !!! 🫡

Also coincide with the concept called "secular" bull and bear

So make sure to make the most out of this upcoming bull market, gl hf maxis manlets army marine bros etc 🫡

With all of the above being said, I still believe (65% conviction) we will make lower price for SPX and BTC in the upcoming weeks(s)..just be ready to deploy fiat/stablecoin (DCA in every red day) when that happen

May be we will attack the 60k region first, will see how things develop from there to determine next move IF we do attack the 60k

Likely scenario:
60k first then 50k, if 60k happens first I will assess if I should DCA more when we reach 60k, but for now the data suggesting most likely will pullback to 50k if we reach 60k

Best scenario:
50k first..if this happens I will absolutely DCA at 50k and will assess situation again wheter to go all in or not because most likely we will go to 40k region first before 60k

Right now only 35% deployed
NFA DYOR, may profit always be with us