$BTC — Macro Update, Last week’s close shifted the bigger picture.
BTC dropped below the 1W 50EMA and failed to reclaim $108k, so the macro trend is now neutral to bearish.
On the positive side:
BTC is sitting right on the Yearly Open + major support at $90k, a level where strong bounces often start.
If we bounce here, the first target is $100k, which lines up with the local downtrend.
Reclaim $100k → momentum returns.
Break that downtrend → likely push into $108k–$110k, which is a strong take-profit zone.
For the macro bullish trend to fully come back, BTC must:
- Reclaim the 1W 50EMA, and
- Reclaim $108k
Lose $90k on the daily, and $70k becomes the next major level — but that won’t happen quickly.
BTC.D is weakening, which keeps the door open for altcoin longs. Playing around the Monday range, I am looking longs.
TLDR (in simple words):
We’re at support, bounce is likely, momentum returns above $100k, macro bullishness returns above $108k.
BTC dropped below the 1W 50EMA and failed to reclaim $108k, so the macro trend is now neutral to bearish.
On the positive side:
BTC is sitting right on the Yearly Open + major support at $90k, a level where strong bounces often start.
If we bounce here, the first target is $100k, which lines up with the local downtrend.
Reclaim $100k → momentum returns.
Break that downtrend → likely push into $108k–$110k, which is a strong take-profit zone.
For the macro bullish trend to fully come back, BTC must:
- Reclaim the 1W 50EMA, and
- Reclaim $108k
Lose $90k on the daily, and $70k becomes the next major level — but that won’t happen quickly.
BTC.D is weakening, which keeps the door open for altcoin longs. Playing around the Monday range, I am looking longs.
TLDR (in simple words):
We’re at support, bounce is likely, momentum returns above $100k, macro bullishness returns above $108k.
Unlike many on this platform, I don’t chase clout and I don’t delete posts.
If I’m wrong, I take it on the chin — that’s part of trading.
The last setups I shared were the BTC and altcoin longs around $101k.
They didn’t play out, I took the loss, and I stayed flat during the entire move from $101k down to $89k.
No forced trades, no revenge trades — just discipline.
But I’m starting to see opportunities again, especially in ETH and select altcoins.
Slowly getting interested in re-entering the market as the structure begins to stabilise.
If I’m wrong, I take it on the chin — that’s part of trading.
The last setups I shared were the BTC and altcoin longs around $101k.
They didn’t play out, I took the loss, and I stayed flat during the entire move from $101k down to $89k.
No forced trades, no revenge trades — just discipline.
But I’m starting to see opportunities again, especially in ETH and select altcoins.
Slowly getting interested in re-entering the market as the structure begins to stabilise.
$BTC, This chart is actually very clean and tells a straightforward story if you break it down into structure + key zones + triggers.
We’re sitting inside HTF demand (84–88k) after a weak low + reclaim, but the market still needs a 4H trendline break before anything meaningful happens.
• Break the diagonal → 93.7k → 98.9k → 103k–105k
• Reject again → sweep lows → 84k → possibly 78k
• The real bullish trigger remains a clean 1D reclaim of 98.9k and eventually 109k.
Weekend breakout zone around $83.5k is a key zone for the Monday range to develop around and maintain the weekend bullish momentum.
1. Market Structure:
BTC is still moving inside a clear downtrend, defined by the marked diagonal
Every LTF rally has been getting rejected at this trendline, and every breakdown has been making lower lows + lower highs.
So for now, this remains macro corrective structure until proven otherwise.
2. Key HTF Support Zone (84k–88k):
BTC is sitting right inside the major HTF demand:
This zone created the previous expansion move
Wicks below have been getting absorbed. This is a zone where you expect buyers.
If BTC loses this zone cleanly → expect fast move into 78k region.
3. Immediate LTF Trigger (4H Trendline Break)
The diagonal downtrend is the main LTF trigger.
- Break + reclaim above it → opens up the upside zones
- Reject again → revisit 84k and possibly sweep lower
This is the only structure that actually matters for the next few days.
4. Upside Targets (If Trendline Breaks)
If BTC breaks the diagonal and flips it, the next key levels are:
1. 93.7k – First resistance
- Clean inefficiency
- Previous range midpoint + Yearly Open
Expect reaction here.
2. 98.9k – Big resistance
First meaningful 1D S/R
- Reject → back to mid-range or Yearly Open
- Break → extension to 103–105k
3. 109–112k – Macro key level
If we reach here, we likely form a distribution-type swing before continuation or rejection
Downside Scenarios
If BTC fails to break the trendline: Sweep the low again and retest the lower part of demand (84k–83k)
If still weak → 78k is the inevitable next magnet
For now, we play the structure and take setups as marked.
Nothing crazy — just levels and reactions based on the PA
#BTC #BTCUSDT
We’re sitting inside HTF demand (84–88k) after a weak low + reclaim, but the market still needs a 4H trendline break before anything meaningful happens.
• Break the diagonal → 93.7k → 98.9k → 103k–105k
• Reject again → sweep lows → 84k → possibly 78k
• The real bullish trigger remains a clean 1D reclaim of 98.9k and eventually 109k.
Weekend breakout zone around $83.5k is a key zone for the Monday range to develop around and maintain the weekend bullish momentum.
1. Market Structure:
BTC is still moving inside a clear downtrend, defined by the marked diagonal
Every LTF rally has been getting rejected at this trendline, and every breakdown has been making lower lows + lower highs.
So for now, this remains macro corrective structure until proven otherwise.
2. Key HTF Support Zone (84k–88k):
BTC is sitting right inside the major HTF demand:
This zone created the previous expansion move
Wicks below have been getting absorbed. This is a zone where you expect buyers.
If BTC loses this zone cleanly → expect fast move into 78k region.
3. Immediate LTF Trigger (4H Trendline Break)
The diagonal downtrend is the main LTF trigger.
- Break + reclaim above it → opens up the upside zones
- Reject again → revisit 84k and possibly sweep lower
This is the only structure that actually matters for the next few days.
4. Upside Targets (If Trendline Breaks)
If BTC breaks the diagonal and flips it, the next key levels are:
1. 93.7k – First resistance
- Clean inefficiency
- Previous range midpoint + Yearly Open
Expect reaction here.
2. 98.9k – Big resistance
First meaningful 1D S/R
- Reject → back to mid-range or Yearly Open
- Break → extension to 103–105k
3. 109–112k – Macro key level
If we reach here, we likely form a distribution-type swing before continuation or rejection
Downside Scenarios
If BTC fails to break the trendline: Sweep the low again and retest the lower part of demand (84k–83k)
If still weak → 78k is the inevitable next magnet
For now, we play the structure and take setups as marked.
Nothing crazy — just levels and reactions based on the PA
#BTC #BTCUSDT
$ASTER, Conditional long with simple trigger.
• Give me a break of the BOS and flip of the 4h OB cluster, and I'll look for a long toward $1.25-1.3
#ASTER #ASTERUSDT
• Give me a break of the BOS and flip of the 4h OB cluster, and I'll look for a long toward $1.25-1.3
#ASTER #ASTERUSDT
Plan for the week
The growth impulse has already been absorbed and this is a very bearish signal!
In the next 2-3 days, I expect the market to fall into the zone of $88,000-86,000, after which I expect the formation of a reversal structure
Dominance above the resistance zone does not go away and it’s very good
Along with the fall of bitcoin, the domination also falls, which means that altcoins will stay afloat
The growth impulse has already been absorbed and this is a very bearish signal!
In the next 2-3 days, I expect the market to fall into the zone of $88,000-86,000, after which I expect the formation of a reversal structure
Dominance above the resistance zone does not go away and it’s very good
Along with the fall of bitcoin, the domination also falls, which means that altcoins will stay afloat
$SUI
Price is reacting exactly where it should.
• After the sharp selloff, we’re now back above a key HTF support zone, which previously acted as a major pivot. The deviation below this level has been reclaimed, and price is starting to stabilize.
From a structure perspective:
• The grey box is the key demand/decision zone
• Holding above it keeps the reclaim valid
• Losing it again would negate the move and open downside
As long as price holds and builds above this base, I’m expecting a grind higher toward the box above around $2.35, with scope for further expansion if momentum follows.
Many charts have similar structures printing HTF PO3 Accumulative structures.
#SUI #SUIUSDT
Price is reacting exactly where it should.
• After the sharp selloff, we’re now back above a key HTF support zone, which previously acted as a major pivot. The deviation below this level has been reclaimed, and price is starting to stabilize.
From a structure perspective:
• The grey box is the key demand/decision zone
• Holding above it keeps the reclaim valid
• Losing it again would negate the move and open downside
As long as price holds and builds above this base, I’m expecting a grind higher toward the box above around $2.35, with scope for further expansion if momentum follows.
Many charts have similar structures printing HTF PO3 Accumulative structures.
#SUI #SUIUSDT
$LDO
Interesting price action developing on this ETH beta.
• We saw a clean deviation below the daily range, followed by a strong reclaim. The current pullback is now retesting that reclaimed level, and so far it’s holding well.
This is the kind of PA that often precedes a larger move.
Over the next few days, I’ll be watching for a break and flip of the trend.
If that confirms, it opens the door for a swing long, using the reclaim as structural support.
Let's observe.
#LDO #LDOUSDT
Interesting price action developing on this ETH beta.
• We saw a clean deviation below the daily range, followed by a strong reclaim. The current pullback is now retesting that reclaimed level, and so far it’s holding well.
This is the kind of PA that often precedes a larger move.
Over the next few days, I’ll be watching for a break and flip of the trend.
If that confirms, it opens the door for a swing long, using the reclaim as structural support.
Let's observe.
#LDO #LDOUSDT
❤1
$ASTER remains weak below the trend, and the downtrend is still in control.
For a real bottom to form, you want to see price consolidate around a strong low (as represented by the red box), followed by an impulsive move that breaks the diagonal downtrend (see squiggle) and flips the local bearish structure.
Until that happens, there is no confirmation of a trend change.
Till then, this scam will likely continue lower.
#ASTER #ASTERUSDT
For a real bottom to form, you want to see price consolidate around a strong low (as represented by the red box), followed by an impulsive move that breaks the diagonal downtrend (see squiggle) and flips the local bearish structure.
Until that happens, there is no confirmation of a trend change.
Till then, this scam will likely continue lower.
#ASTER #ASTERUSDT
$BTC won’t bottom in a single day or a single week.
It takes time.
A real macro bottom forms through a period of steady accumulation, where price consolidates around a strong low — usually in or below the discount zone — while HTF indicators like RSI and Fisher stay near oversold levels.
As shown by the squiggle and red boxes, what you want to see is
2–3 months of tight consolidation at a major macro support zone.
That’s what a healthy bottom looks like.
Whether that happens around the high $60Ks or the low $50Ks is still unknown.
But it will all be visible on the chart.
If you preserve your capital, you will have more than enough time to position when the structure confirms.
Patience is part of the strategy.
#BTC #BTCUSDT
It takes time.
A real macro bottom forms through a period of steady accumulation, where price consolidates around a strong low — usually in or below the discount zone — while HTF indicators like RSI and Fisher stay near oversold levels.
As shown by the squiggle and red boxes, what you want to see is
2–3 months of tight consolidation at a major macro support zone.
That’s what a healthy bottom looks like.
Whether that happens around the high $60Ks or the low $50Ks is still unknown.
But it will all be visible on the chart.
If you preserve your capital, you will have more than enough time to position when the structure confirms.
Patience is part of the strategy.
#BTC #BTCUSDT
$ETH Simply look at the chart to understand the macro levels.
Focus on the highs and lows of the previous bear cycle.
• Based on the current top, ETH is trading inside a massive monthly range between $900 and $4,900.
We’ve already swept the highs around $4,900 and got rejected.
The lows of this range sit near $900, where major liquidity and demand remain untested since the 2022 bottom.
• Right now, ETH is at a critical level for this cycle — the 0.75 Fib pocket around $1,750.
If a bottom (or at least a temporary bottom) has to form, it should be around this zone.
If not, this level gives way and price rolls over to test demand at the previous bear cycle lows near $1,000–$900.
No need to overtrade.
No need to overcomplicate.
That’s how accounts get burned.
#ETH #ETHUSDT
Focus on the highs and lows of the previous bear cycle.
• Based on the current top, ETH is trading inside a massive monthly range between $900 and $4,900.
We’ve already swept the highs around $4,900 and got rejected.
The lows of this range sit near $900, where major liquidity and demand remain untested since the 2022 bottom.
• Right now, ETH is at a critical level for this cycle — the 0.75 Fib pocket around $1,750.
If a bottom (or at least a temporary bottom) has to form, it should be around this zone.
If not, this level gives way and price rolls over to test demand at the previous bear cycle lows near $1,000–$900.
No need to overtrade.
No need to overcomplicate.
That’s how accounts get burned.
#ETH #ETHUSDT
As boring as it is, this fast and aggressive crypto bear market is likely closer to a bottom than a top.
For $BTC and high-quality crypto, this is the phase where you should be planning buys, not chasing trades — using a structured DCA strategy over the coming weeks and months.
There is no way to time an exact bottom, other than pure luck.
As (and if) price moves lower, you’ll see targets continuously shift lower as well.
Easier said than done — but simple spot buying with a DCA approach in $BTC and strong alts will outperform gambling on leverage for most participants.
For $BTC and high-quality crypto, this is the phase where you should be planning buys, not chasing trades — using a structured DCA strategy over the coming weeks and months.
There is no way to time an exact bottom, other than pure luck.
As (and if) price moves lower, you’ll see targets continuously shift lower as well.
Easier said than done — but simple spot buying with a DCA approach in $BTC and strong alts will outperform gambling on leverage for most participants.