Forecasts and consensus for today’s CPI from BLS.

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⚡️ JUST IN: September CPI inflation rises to 3.7%, above expectations of 3.6%.

Core CPI inflation rises to 2.6%, above expectations of 2.5%. This officially marks the third highest US inflation reading since September 2023. Rate hike expectations are rising.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Gold prices fall toward $4,100/oz as US CPI inflation rises to 3.7%.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Bank of America stock, $BAC, falls over -8% after the bank was fined $1.2 billion over money laundering violations and US CPI inflation pushes rate hike expectations higher.

The stock has now erased -$30 billion of market cap today.

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⚡️ JUST IN: October rate hike expectations surge to 43% after US CPI hits its third-highest level since September 2023.

October rate hike expectations are up 25 percentage points today. Another highly uncertain Fed decision is ahead.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Nasdaq 100 extends losses to -1.6% as US oil prices top $96/barrel and Treasury Yields rise on hot inflation data.

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Investors are allocated to Big Tech at the highest level since 2020.

The AI rally has lifted tech’s portfolio share to 37%.

🟢 45% expect an AI bubble in 2027

🟢 Chipmaker stocks are the most popular and overheated bet

🟢 37% would move into bonds at a 6% yield

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⚡️ JUST IN: Spot gold extends losses to nearly -$100/oz today, trading below $4,100/oz.

The US Dollar Index is at its highest level since April 2025.

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⚡️ JUST IN: The probability of a Fed rate hike in two weeks rose from 22.1% to 39.3% on October futures pricing.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Nasdaq 100 extends losses to over -2% on the day as US inflation rises.

S&P 500 has erased -$1 trillion today.

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⚡️ JUST IN: S&P 500 posts its worst day since July 29th, erasing -$800 billion in market cap.

Inflation is rising again in the US, now nearly double the Fed’s long-term target.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Anthropic posted Q3 2026 revenue of $16.8 billion, up nearly +50% from the prior quarter, per FT.

Anthropic also told investors it posted a profit and is preparing to launch its $2+ trillion IPO as soon as next month.

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⚡️ JUST IN: South Korea’s KOSPI falls another -7% as tech stocks drop sharply.

The KOSPI is now down -40% from its record high seen on June 19th.

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⚡️ JUST IN: South Korea's stock market extends losses to over -8%, triggering a level 1 circuit breaker.

Trading has been halted for 20 minutes amid intense selling pressure. A level 2 circuit breaker would be triggered by a -15% drop.

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