💸 Global Rate Hike Cycle

15 of 33 major central banks (45%) raised interest rates over the past six months, the largest share since 2023. The figure is nearing ~55%, recorded in 2018 and 2011.

By comparison, the share peaked at ~95% in 2022 after post-pandemic stimulus and a resulting surge in global inflation.

54 central banks have hiked rates so far this year. For the first time since September 2023, more central banks have hiked than cut rates over a rolling three-month period.

“Higher for longer” is back.

✅@futures

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⚡️ JUST IN: Trump says Yemen's Houthis are "behaving very badly," telling them, "I'll be there after the elections, and I will never forget."

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⚡️ JUST IN: Iran threatens to invade neighboring countries if US launches new attacks.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Trump says his patience has run out and he will teach Iran a harsh lesson.

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If you don’t start investing today, you will be poor forever.

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Forecasts and consensus for today’s CPI from BLS.

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You don’t scroll this feed. You linger in it.
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⚡️ JUST IN: September CPI inflation rises to 3.7%, above expectations of 3.6%.

Core CPI inflation rises to 2.6%, above expectations of 2.5%. This officially marks the third highest US inflation reading since September 2023. Rate hike expectations are rising.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Gold prices fall toward $4,100/oz as US CPI inflation rises to 3.7%.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Bank of America stock, $BAC, falls over -8% after the bank was fined $1.2 billion over money laundering violations and US CPI inflation pushes rate hike expectations higher.

The stock has now erased -$30 billion of market cap today.

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⚡️ JUST IN: October rate hike expectations surge to 43% after US CPI hits its third-highest level since September 2023.

October rate hike expectations are up 25 percentage points today. Another highly uncertain Fed decision is ahead.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Nasdaq 100 extends losses to -1.6% as US oil prices top $96/barrel and Treasury Yields rise on hot inflation data.

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Investors are allocated to Big Tech at the highest level since 2020.

The AI rally has lifted tech’s portfolio share to 37%.

🟢 45% expect an AI bubble in 2027

🟢 Chipmaker stocks are the most popular and overheated bet

🟢 37% would move into bonds at a 6% yield

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⚡️ JUST IN: Spot gold extends losses to nearly -$100/oz today, trading below $4,100/oz.

The US Dollar Index is at its highest level since April 2025.

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⚡️ JUST IN: The probability of a Fed rate hike in two weeks rose from 22.1% to 39.3% on October futures pricing.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Nasdaq 100 extends losses to over -2% on the day as US inflation rises.

S&P 500 has erased -$1 trillion today.

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⚡️ JUST IN: S&P 500 posts its worst day since July 29th, erasing -$800 billion in market cap.

Inflation is rising again in the US, now nearly double the Fed’s long-term target.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Anthropic posted Q3 2026 revenue of $16.8 billion, up nearly +50% from the prior quarter, per FT.

Anthropic also told investors it posted a profit and is preparing to launch its $2+ trillion IPO as soon as next month.

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⚡️ JUST IN: South Korea’s KOSPI falls another -7% as tech stocks drop sharply.

The KOSPI is now down -40% from its record high seen on June 19th.

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