⚡️ JUST IN: US launches strikes on Iran.

✅@futures

Crypto flash

The curse of discipline is that everyday looks the same.

The curse of indiscipline is that every year looks the same.

✅@futures

Crypto flash

ElevenLabs plans an IPO in 2028 after hiring a new CFO and targeting public markets.

Revenue is estimated at $600 million after this year's $500 million February raise at $11 billion valuation, led by Sequoia with Nvidia's venture arm and BlackRock.

✅@futures

Crypto flash

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The US dollar’s share of official global currency reserves fell to 57%, its lowest level in at least 30 years.

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⚡️ JUST IN: The US Treasury will buy back up to $6B of longer-dated debt Thursday, above its announced $4B minimum per operation.

✅@futures

Crypto flash

China’s share of U.S. Treasury bonds returned to its 2001 level.

In August, Bank of China increased gold purchases despite higher prices. The country’s reserve rose by 650,000 ounces last month, the biggest increase since 2023. Purchases have continued for 22 months.

✅@futures

Crypto flash

LAPTOP, a meme tied to Biden’s son, fell 95% within 30 minutes of launch.

It briefly reached a $100bn valuation, with people buying there.

After TRUMP, celebrity-launched memes are an IQ test.

✅@futures

Crypto flash

He turned $200K into $2K on the LAPTOP meme.

He withdrew $200K from Binance to enter the BASE launch in its first seconds. 15 minutes later, his LAPTOP tokens were worth $2K.

✅@futures

Crypto flash

⚡️ JUST IN: Trump says every US adult citizen would get a $5,000 dividend if Republicans win the midterms, costing roughly $1.2T.

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⚡️ JUST IN: US core producer prices rose 0.2% in August, below the 0.3% forecast.

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Crypto flash

Jacob Coxon, a former research employee at OpenAI and Anthropic, is leaving the AI industry over fears the AI race will create systems that destroy humanity.

“People building AI genuinely believe it could destroy us all by the end of the decade,” Coxon said.

✅@futures

Crypto flash

The market’s favorite currency is your impulsiveness.

✅@futures

Crypto flash

🇺🇸 US Bonds Lose Safe-Haven Bid

The classic rule of buying US Treasuries during war has stopped working. The US Treasury announced a tripling of long-term bond buybacks to $6 billion, and yields rose on the news.

The 10-year Treasury yield moved above 4.85% for the first time since November 2023, up 15 basis points from before the announcement. Yields are now up 100 basis points since the ongoing war with Iran began.

The 10-year yield will exceed 5% as early as next week, bringing an unpleasant surprise for US consumers, homebuyers and borrowers.

✅@futures

Crypto flash

⚡️ JUST IN: US core consumer prices rose 0.3% in August, above the 0.2% forecast.

✅@futures

Crypto flash

🇳🇬 Medicaid Fraud Funds Nigerian Palace

Nigerian chief Nathan Ogबatyue reportedly obtained over $36 million through US Medicaid fraud. He allegedly bought California property and built a palace in Abatete, Nigeria, with gold statues of himself and his wife.

His company, California Home Health Agency, received $4 million in 2022, $17 million in 2023, and $13 million in 2024. In March, Mehmet Oz said one in three US hospices was in Los Angeles, with most allegedly fictitious.

Journalist Christopher Rufo cited suspicious payments and possible fraud indicators. Ogбатюэ refused to comment, calling him a “racist.”

✅@futures

Crypto flash

Another Anthropic employee warned that AI could threaten humanity, with Evan Hubinger estimating over 10% odds of human extinction within the next ten years.

✅@futures

Crypto flash

You can copy someone's entries.

You cannot copy their tolerance for the drawdown that comes with them.

✅@futures

Crypto flash

Oil at -3% entered the historic intervention zone of Trump and IEA states.

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Crypto flash

10-year U.S. Treasury yields are near the psychological 5% mark.

Societe Generale warns that 5.5% is the threshold at which stocks begin facing pressure.

✅@futures

Crypto flash

🇺🇸 Fed Decision Nears

Next week, the Fed's rate decision will determine whether the bullish trend continues into the midterms. The market is cooling and waiting for Wednesday.

Polymarket gives an 80% chance of a hike. Goldman Sachs shifted from a hold to a hike forecast. The hike is already almost fully priced in.

What happens to risk assets if Trump's appointee, Warsh, does not hike 1.5 months before the midterms? Next week should be interesting.

✅@futures

Crypto flash