Stanley Druckenmiller on how great traders think about risk

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wtf

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⚡️ JUST IN: 🇺🇸🇮🇷 US House Speaker says the Iran war is expected to enter a new phase soon.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Iran threatens to stop all oil exports through the Strait of Hormuz and Persian Gulf if the economic war continues.

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You don't have a technical problem.

You have a reaction to loss problem.

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Since the beginning of August, demand for gold call options has surged, according to Goldman data.

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The UAE is fencing off oil depots and refineries.

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Palantir released a new surveillance system combining satellites, radars, and all cameras to track people and their movements in real time.

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Everyone must choose one of two pains: The pain of discipline or the pain of regret.

Either way, you’ll go through pain.

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The US economic symposium in Jackson Hole will take place this week, August 27–28, with Fed chief Warsh speaking Friday, August 28, in a traditionally progressive, clear yet unclear speech about everything but nothing.

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The dollar and yen are dominating the majors at the start of a challenging week.

The current USD backdrop makes cross-pair trading more rewarding, primarily favoring the yen and, to some extent, the pound (as we noted this morning) against commodity currencies and the franc.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Trump says Joint Military Exercises with South Korea send a "totally inappropriate and hostile" signal to North Korea.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Trump says US Navy cleared all mines from Strait of Hormuz, warning new Iranian mines will be immediately destroyed.

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The market is pricing in a repeat of last year’s divergence between the yield spread and gold.

Despite the usual patterns, gold is once again rising as the spread widens, after this relationship had stabilized throughout 2026.

What is driving this pricing? Fiscal policy.

Any spikes in fiscal uncertainty can disrupt the usual correlations and allow gold to temporarily ignore moves in the yield spread.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Canada imposes tariffs of up to 50% on $20 billion of US goods.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Iranian TV puts a $10 million bounty on Barron Trump's life.

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One system.

One trade a day.

Accept the outcome, win or lose.

Do it 90 days without breaking once.

Welcome to profitability.

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The return of lingerie model shows revived Victoria's Secret shares, up 300% over the past 12 months.

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🤩 Taiwan’s Newest Billionaire

85-year-old King Slide owner Lin Tsung-chi has become Taiwan’s richest person and a major beneficiary of the AI boom.

King Slide makes drawer slides now used in AI servers. Its shares are up 280% this year, while its founder’s fortune rose to $20.2 billion after the company captured 80% of the global market.

King Slide’s margin is 87%, versus about 75% for Nvidia and 68% for TSMC.

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💰 Sumerian Solution to US Debt

The New York Times proposed a radical solution to the US debt problem: revive the ancient Sumerian principle of “amargi”, which called for wiping out public debt and restarting the system.

Similar resets were used around 2400 BC when debt threatened the economy. The authors argue that if growth, higher taxes and inflation cannot solve the problem, it may be time to change the rules and forgive $40 trillion in government debt.

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