While everyone is debating whether the AI trade is over, institutions just poured a record $4.7 billion into semiconductor ETFs in a single week.

Do you understand how crazy this is?

✅@futures

Crypto flash

US issues Iran a general license for oil trade through August 21

The US has authorized the production, delivery, and sale of Iranian-origin oil, petrochemical, and petroleum products until August 21. This marks the official return of Iranian oil to global markets for the first time since 2018.

✅@futures

Crypto flash

SpaceX shares fell nearly 50% from their record highs on June 16, losing 10.5% today and cutting market cap by over $250 billion.

✅@futures

Crypto flash

⚡️ JUST IN: Iran rejects Trump administration claims of new nuclear commitments.

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Crypto flash

Your biggest winning streak and your biggest losing streak can come from the exact same strategy.

Think about it.

✅@futures

Crypto flash

💱 Global Rate Cut Cycle Ends as Central Banks Balance Hikes and Cuts

In May, 26 central banks hiked rates and 26 cut rates among 52 worldwide, ending two years of more cuts than hikes each month.

The last balance was in early 2021 before three years of restrictive policy. The gap peaked mid-2022, with 28 more hikes than cuts.

Last week, the European Central Bank raised rates by 25 basis points to 2.25%, its first hike since September 2023. On Tuesday, the Bank of Japan raised rates by 25 basis points to 1.0%, the highest since 1995.

These moves signal the start of a global tightening cycle.

✅@futures

Crypto flash

⚡️ JUST IN: The Pentagon is requesting $80B from Congress to fund the US war on Iran, nearly triple the $29B estimated last month.

✅@futures

Crypto flash

⚡️ JUST IN: Trump says Iran agreed to permanent nuclear inspections, while the US will keep the Strait of Hormuz open and lift the naval blockade.

✅@futures

Crypto flash

Negative correlation between US stocks and government bond yields is rapidly increasing, indicating rising sensitivity of stocks to rate hike expectations.

Traders are actively betting on a Fed rate hike this year, according to BBG.

✅@futures

Crypto flash

⚡️ JUST IN: The US Senate votes to halt the Iran war unless Trump gets approval from Congress.

✅@futures

Crypto flash

$1 trillion erased from the stock market today as the dollar index $DXY hits a 13-month high.

✅@futures

Crypto flash

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Crypto flash

You don’t need to catch every move.

You need to wait for your setup.

Most losses come from trying to force a trade that was never there.

✅@futures

Crypto flash

⚡️ JUST IN: Gulf states are negotiating a new security pact with Iran, moving away from the US umbrella, according to the Qatari PM.

A separate Israeli report claims Qatar has quietly expanded economic and military cooperation with Iran since 2018, and a formal regional security framework excluding Washington would mark a major shift in the Gulf's stance.

✅@futures

Crypto flash

US Dollar Index (DXY) continues strengthening against global currencies after months of consolidation at a long-term support level.

Dollar strength usually signals "risk-off" sentiment in risky assets like stocks and crypto.

✅@futures

Crypto flash

Michael Saylor is on track to become the first CEO ever to experience a 99% stock collapse twice in one career.

✅@futures

Crypto flash

⚡️ JUST IN: Trump says Iran informed the US that no tolls or charges are being imposed on ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz.

He adds he will release Iranian funds to US farmers and ranchers and that food, urgently needed in Iran, will be bought exclusively from the United States.

✅@futures

Crypto flash

Elon Musk is no longer a trillionaire after SpaceX shares fell.

✅@futures

Crypto flash

💵 US Treasuries in Structural Bear Market

US Treasuries have posted an average annual inflation-adjusted return of -3% over the last 10 years, the worst since the 1980s.

The S&P 500 returned +12% annually in real terms over the same period, the widest stock-bond gap since the 1960s.

Sustained negative real Treasury returns happened only in the 1910s, 1940s, and 1970s-80s, all with inflation sometimes above 10%.

Current deficit spending and inflation remain out of control.

✅@futures

Crypto flash

Never enter a “let’s see what happens” trade.

Every trade taken should come from conviction.

Not about the trade outcome, but the pre-planned process leading to you taking the trade.

✅@futures

Crypto flash

🏦 JPMorgan Chase DEI Director Fired Over Trash Bin Theft

JPMorgan Chase's director of diversity, equity, and inclusion lost her job after a video surfaced showing her stealing a public trash bin during a New York Knicks victory parade.

The footage shows 40-year-old Angie Baez dumping trash from a limited-edition blue and orange bin onto a Manhattan sidewalk before taking the container with her. Witnesses later spotted her on the subway carrying the stolen bin.

JPMorgan Chase quickly responded, conducting an internal investigation and confirming that Baez is no longer employed by the company.

✅@futures

Crypto flash