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🧠 Why most traders quit

CME floor trader Lewis Borsellino explains why trading is different from any normal job.

You can work all week, do everything right, and still get paid nothing. That pressure is what most people can’t handle.

It’s not about being smart. It’s about handling losses and still showing up.



Crypto flash
What often destroys weeks and months of progress and hard-earned profits is chasing some quick profits in an unstructured way.



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⚡️Energy markets break apart as global prices diverge

US crude is now trading at a $20+ discount to Brent, one of the widest gaps on record, while physical oil in Oman is priced above $150 per barrel.

At the same time, European natural gas jumped another +30% in a day, pushing the region deeper into an energy squeeze as the US ramps up production and taps reserves.

❗️ US vs Oman oil spread near $70 per barrel
❗️ European gas surging sharply again
❗️ Market now pricing 2 rate hikes in 2026 for Europe
❗️ US rate cuts largely priced out as Core PPI hits highest since Feb 2023

Energy is pulling macro in opposite directions across regions, and policy expectations are shifting fast.

That kind of divergence usually doesn’t stay quiet for long.



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😮‍💨 The Economist: Trump’s Iran conflict is backfiring

The Economist released a new cover story titled “Operation Blind Fury”, arguing that Trump’s military move against Iran is weakening his position.

The longer the conflict drags on, the more it erodes his key political advantages and puts additional pressure on the White House.

War is starting to cost more politically than it gains.



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Books That Are Better Than Any College Degree.



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⚡️JUST IN: The Trump Administration has made "detailed preparations" for deploying US ground forces into Iran, per CBS News.



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Trump yesterday 10 min before the US stock market close: “I don’t want to do a ceasefire with Iran”

10 min after close: “We are considering winding down the war”

Classic.



Crypto flash
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“If you don’t read the newspaper, you’re uninformed. If you do read it, you’re misinformed.”

- Denzel Washington



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⚡️JUST IN: U.S. and Iran are discussing terms for potential peace talks, per Axios.



Crypto flash
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Mark Douglas: the key to successful trading.


💧 Sponsored by @rainbetcom - rainbet.com



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🗣️ Trump over the last 36 hours:

Friday, 3:40 PM ET: "I don't want to do a ceasefire with Iran."

Friday, 5:15 PM ET: The US is "considering winding down" the war with Iran.

Today, 2:00 PM ET: Axios reports Trump is planning "peace talks."

⚡️ Now: "If Iran doesn’t open the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours the US will obliterate Iran's power plants."


💧 Sponsored by @rainbetcom - rainbet.com



Crypto flash
The traders who survive long enough to become consistently profitable all share one trait.

Not a better system.

Not a better mentor.

They stopped caring about being right.

And started caring about being consistent.



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⚠️ Key Week Ahead: Growth, Inflation & Iran Tensions

Oil is the main channel, especially after Trump’s 48-hour ultimatum on the Strait of Hormuz.

🔴 Tuesday: March S&P Global Services PMI – reflects service sector strength; impacts growth outlook.

🔴 Wednesday: US Crude Oil Inventories – signals oil supply/demand, moves prices & inflation views.

🟡 Thursday: Initial Jobless Claims – quick labor market pulse; rising = cooling, stable = strength.

🟡 Friday: March MI Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations – sentiment shapes spending, inflation views guide Fed policy.

Focus: Tuesday’s PMI and Iran-driven oil moves.

#Oil #Inflation #Fed

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⚡️ BREAKING: 🇺🇸 Trump says Iran and US had productive conversations.



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⚡️ JUST IN: Iran says there are no talks with Washington and claims Trump backed off after warnings Iran would target regional power plants



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⚡️ JUST IN: Trump says a deal with Iran could be “5 days or sooner,” says he is not sure what Iranian media is referring to, and confirms talks took place last night



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⚡️ JUST IN: Iran’s foreign ministry says it had no talks with the United States and its Strait of Hormuz stance and war conditions are unchanged

...



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📈 The real path of a trader looks like this

At the start, everything feels easy. A few wins and it feels like you’ve cracked the market.

Then losses come in, confidence drops, and you realize how little you actually understand.

This is the Dunning–Kruger effect.

A curve where beginners overestimate their skill, then go through a deep phase of doubt before real competence starts to build.

Most never make it past that drop.



Crypto flash
When people are worried about the future, they buy gold.

When people are worried about the present, they sell gold.



Crypto flash