⚠️ Key Events This Week
Focus is on inflation data and the Fed rate decision, with added geopolitical risk from rising tensions around Iran. Oil will be the main channel for market-moving headlines.
🟡 Tuesday
● February Pending Home Sales
Shows housing demand under current mortgage rates. Housing is rate-sensitive and reflects consumer financial conditions.
🔴 Wednesday
● February PPI Inflation
● Fed Rate Decision & Statement
PPI signals potential consumer inflation trends. The Fed decision will shape rate and liquidity expectations across markets.
🟡 Thursday
● Philly Fed Manufacturing Index
Timely read on manufacturing activity and business sentiment.
● January New Home Sales
Reveals builder and buyer response to borrowing costs.
Main focus: Wednesday’s PPI and Fed decision, plus Iran-related developments.
Crypto flash
Focus is on inflation data and the Fed rate decision, with added geopolitical risk from rising tensions around Iran. Oil will be the main channel for market-moving headlines.
🟡 Tuesday
● February Pending Home Sales
Shows housing demand under current mortgage rates. Housing is rate-sensitive and reflects consumer financial conditions.
🔴 Wednesday
● February PPI Inflation
● Fed Rate Decision & Statement
PPI signals potential consumer inflation trends. The Fed decision will shape rate and liquidity expectations across markets.
🟡 Thursday
● Philly Fed Manufacturing Index
Timely read on manufacturing activity and business sentiment.
● January New Home Sales
Reveals builder and buyer response to borrowing costs.
Main focus: Wednesday’s PPI and Fed decision, plus Iran-related developments.
Crypto flash
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🚀 Pentagon Demonstrates AI System for Planning Strikes
The U.S. Department of Defense showed Project Maven, an AI system developed with Palantir that helps plan military strikes.
A military operator designates a target, after which the system analyzes available options and suggests the most effective way to eliminate it.
The mission is then sent into the command system where the strike can be tracked in real time.
The idea is to speed up battlefield decisions and move advanced AI directly into combat operations.
The future of warfare is starting to look very different.
✅
Crypto flash
The U.S. Department of Defense showed Project Maven, an AI system developed with Palantir that helps plan military strikes.
A military operator designates a target, after which the system analyzes available options and suggests the most effective way to eliminate it.
The mission is then sent into the command system where the strike can be tracked in real time.
The idea is to speed up battlefield decisions and move advanced AI directly into combat operations.
The future of warfare is starting to look very different.
✅
Crypto flash
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Decide that you're a pro trader, not a gambler.
And every day, think and act like the professional that you are.
✅
Crypto flash
And every day, think and act like the professional that you are.
✅
Crypto flash
💵 Bullish Bets on the US Dollar Surge
Demand for bullish dollar options is jumping.
The 1-month risk reversal on the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index reached +92 bps, the highest level since Nov 2022, showing strong demand for bets on dollar strength.
In January the metric was −90 bps, marking a sharp sentiment reversal in just a few months.
Traders are now paying the largest premium for bullish USD options in over 3 years, while the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index trades near a 3-month high.
✅
Crypto flash
Demand for bullish dollar options is jumping.
The 1-month risk reversal on the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index reached +92 bps, the highest level since Nov 2022, showing strong demand for bets on dollar strength.
In January the metric was −90 bps, marking a sharp sentiment reversal in just a few months.
Traders are now paying the largest premium for bullish USD options in over 3 years, while the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index trades near a 3-month high.
✅
Crypto flash
⚡️ JUST IN: Trump says the US has been informed by "most of our NATO allies" that they "don't want to get involved" in the war with Iran.
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Crypto flash
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Crypto flash
Normie: "You shouldn't work so much, you should have fun instead"
Making money and winning in the market is one of the most fun games you can play though.
You should try it.
✅
Crypto flash
Making money and winning in the market is one of the most fun games you can play though.
You should try it.
✅
Crypto flash
🪙 Investors rush out of gold
The largest gold ETFs saw a record $5.52B outflow in a single week.
This comes just one week after roughly $4B of inflows, one of the strongest weekly numbers in at least 5 years.
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Crypto flash
The largest gold ETFs saw a record $5.52B outflow in a single week.
This comes just one week after roughly $4B of inflows, one of the strongest weekly numbers in at least 5 years.
✅
Crypto flash
🇺🇸 US PPI came in at 3.4% vs 2.9% expected.
🇺🇸 US Core PPI came in at 3.9% vs 3.7% expected.
Producer prices are rising faster than forecast, which points to upstream inflation pressure.
Markets may start pricing a more cautious Fed again.
✅
Crypto flash
🇺🇸 US Core PPI came in at 3.9% vs 3.7% expected.
Producer prices are rising faster than forecast, which points to upstream inflation pressure.
Markets may start pricing a more cautious Fed again.
✅
Crypto flash
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Fed Chair Powell getting ready to keep interest rates unchanged at today's FOMC meeting despite World War 3 popping off in the Middle East.
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Crypto flash
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Crypto flash
The Federal Reserve keeps interest rates at 3.50%–3.75%.
All eyes are now on Powell’s speech in 30 minutes.
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Crypto flash
All eyes are now on Powell’s speech in 30 minutes.
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Crypto flash
Powell: Inflation could go higher in the near-term
Powell: No rate cuts until Fed sees inflation progress
This is hawkish language.
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Crypto flash
Powell: No rate cuts until Fed sees inflation progress
This is hawkish language.
✅
Crypto flash
One ridiculously simple trick to hold trades longer without micromanaging:
Manage the trade on a higher timeframe than the one you entered.
Enter the trade on your execution timeframe, and don’t ever go back there again until the trade is fully closed.
All the noise you’re reacting to lives on that lower timeframe.
Zoom out. Manage the trade where the structure matters.
✅
Crypto flash
Manage the trade on a higher timeframe than the one you entered.
Enter the trade on your execution timeframe, and don’t ever go back there again until the trade is fully closed.
All the noise you’re reacting to lives on that lower timeframe.
Zoom out. Manage the trade where the structure matters.
✅
Crypto flash
Gold prices extend losses to -5% on the day and silver falls over -10% as rate cuts are priced out due to rising inflation and soaring energy prices.
Gold is now down nearly -$1,000/oz from its record high.
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Crypto flash
Gold is now down nearly -$1,000/oz from its record high.
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Crypto flash
⚡️ JUST IN: The US Pentagon has asked the White House to approve a more than $200 billion request to Congress to fund the war in Iran, per the Washington Post.
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Crypto flash
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Crypto flash
⚡️ JUST IN: France, Germany, the UK, Italy, the Netherlands, and Japan say they are ready to join efforts to ensure safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz.
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Crypto flash
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Crypto flash
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🧠 Why most traders quit
CME floor trader Lewis Borsellino explains why trading is different from any normal job.
You can work all week, do everything right, and still get paid nothing. That pressure is what most people can’t handle.
It’s not about being smart. It’s about handling losses and still showing up.
✅
Crypto flash
CME floor trader Lewis Borsellino explains why trading is different from any normal job.
You can work all week, do everything right, and still get paid nothing. That pressure is what most people can’t handle.
It’s not about being smart. It’s about handling losses and still showing up.
✅
Crypto flash