⚠️ Key Events This Week
Holiday week, but inflation drives. Core PCE anchors; FOMC minutes and Fed communication shape moves.
About 15% of S&P 500 report earnings, and 10 Fed speakers, so positioning risk stays elevated.
• Monday
- Presidents’ Day, U.S. markets closed
Liquidity thins; flows may build ahead of midweek releases.
🔴 Wednesday
- December Durable Goods Orders
- FOMC Meeting Minutes
Minutes show inflation risk and rate timing; tone shifts feed rate pricing.
• Thursday
- Initial Jobless Claims
Claims track labor conditions; sustained changes matter more than a single print.
🔴 Friday
- December Core PCE Inflation data
- Q4 GDP
- Services / Manufacturing PMI
Core PCE anchors rate expectations; GDP momentum; PMI shows activity/prices.
Main focus: Wednesday minutes and Friday Core PCE data.
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Crypto flash
Holiday week, but inflation drives. Core PCE anchors; FOMC minutes and Fed communication shape moves.
About 15% of S&P 500 report earnings, and 10 Fed speakers, so positioning risk stays elevated.
• Monday
- Presidents’ Day, U.S. markets closed
Liquidity thins; flows may build ahead of midweek releases.
🔴 Wednesday
- December Durable Goods Orders
- FOMC Meeting Minutes
Minutes show inflation risk and rate timing; tone shifts feed rate pricing.
• Thursday
- Initial Jobless Claims
Claims track labor conditions; sustained changes matter more than a single print.
🔴 Friday
- December Core PCE Inflation data
- Q4 GDP
- Services / Manufacturing PMI
Core PCE anchors rate expectations; GDP momentum; PMI shows activity/prices.
Main focus: Wednesday minutes and Friday Core PCE data.
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✅ @trading
Crypto flash
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🇺🇸 US Oil Output Turns Negative Year Over Year
US oil production has slipped into annual decline for the first time in 5 years.
At the same time, oil is one of the most heavily shorted assets in over a decade.
Supply tightening while positioning leans hard one way.
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Crypto flash
US oil production has slipped into annual decline for the first time in 5 years.
At the same time, oil is one of the most heavily shorted assets in over a decade.
Supply tightening while positioning leans hard one way.
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✅ @trading
Crypto flash
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The official White House account congratulated Americans on Presidents’ Day with a graphic featuring Donald Trump and the quote: “I was the hunted, and now I’m the hunter.”
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Crypto flash
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Crypto flash
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🎯 The problem with perfect entries
Perfectionism around entries is one of the most expensive traits in trading.
Many traders obsess over the exact level. The clean wick touch. The perfect fill. It looks like discipline. In reality, it creates hesitation and missed trades.
Markets are probabilistic. When you draw a single line and expect price to react perfectly from it, you are forcing rigidity onto something fluid.
A good trade is not about how pretty the entry looks. It is about context, confirmation, and controlled risk.
Two shifts help a lot:
📊 Move from exact lines to zones
📊 Move from touch-based entries to confirmation-based entries
Instead of shorting the first touch of a level, wait for a pullback and a break of structure. Instead of buying the exact low, wait for strength to confirm.
Yes, you might enter slightly worse. But you gain clarity and consistency.
Perfection sounds precise. In practice, it often blocks execution.
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✅ @trading
Crypto flash
Perfectionism around entries is one of the most expensive traits in trading.
Many traders obsess over the exact level. The clean wick touch. The perfect fill. It looks like discipline. In reality, it creates hesitation and missed trades.
Markets are probabilistic. When you draw a single line and expect price to react perfectly from it, you are forcing rigidity onto something fluid.
A good trade is not about how pretty the entry looks. It is about context, confirmation, and controlled risk.
Two shifts help a lot:
📊 Move from exact lines to zones
📊 Move from touch-based entries to confirmation-based entries
Instead of shorting the first touch of a level, wait for a pullback and a break of structure. Instead of buying the exact low, wait for strength to confirm.
Yes, you might enter slightly worse. But you gain clarity and consistency.
Perfection sounds precise. In practice, it often blocks execution.
💧 Sponsored by @rainbetcom - rainbet.com
✅ @trading
Crypto flash
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50% profit on $1,000 is $500
5% profit on $100,000 is $5,000
Chase bigger capital not bigger returns
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Crypto flash
5% profit on $100,000 is $5,000
Chase bigger capital not bigger returns
💧 Sponsored by @rainbetcom - rainbet.com
✅ @trading
Crypto flash
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If you spent $10 million per day for the past 2,000 years since Jesus was born, you would have spent about $7.4 trillion by now.
The US national debt is $38.7 trillion.
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Crypto flash
The US national debt is $38.7 trillion.
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✅ @trading
Crypto flash
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WARNING: The biggest stock market crash in history is imminent warns Robert Kiyosaki, Rich Dad Poor Dad Author.
And the man who has predicted 50 of the last 2 stock market collapses.
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Crypto flash
And the man who has predicted 50 of the last 2 stock market collapses.
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Crypto flash
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📈 Behavioural Slippage: the return you never capture
“Behavioural Slippage” is the gap between what your system identifies and what you earn. It stems from real-time sub-optimal decisions: missed trades, hesitation, early exits—things backtests miss.
Without recording every idea, precise measurement is nearly impossible. Yet the gap exists and is usually larger than expected.
One manager who tracked all ideas and outcomes saw nearly 40% difference in returns over 3 years. He was profitable, yet much potential gain never materialized.
The solution starts with acceptance: the gap exists and may be bigger than comfortable.
Then identify its sources and treat reduction as an ongoing project. Track behavior. Review decisions. Narrow the edge–execution gap.
The system may be good enough; execution is the real variable.
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Crypto flash
“Behavioural Slippage” is the gap between what your system identifies and what you earn. It stems from real-time sub-optimal decisions: missed trades, hesitation, early exits—things backtests miss.
Without recording every idea, precise measurement is nearly impossible. Yet the gap exists and is usually larger than expected.
One manager who tracked all ideas and outcomes saw nearly 40% difference in returns over 3 years. He was profitable, yet much potential gain never materialized.
The solution starts with acceptance: the gap exists and may be bigger than comfortable.
Then identify its sources and treat reduction as an ongoing project. Track behavior. Review decisions. Narrow the edge–execution gap.
The system may be good enough; execution is the real variable.
💧 Sponsored by @rainbetcom - rainbet.com
✅ @trading
Crypto flash
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It's a beautiful game trading is.
You don't gotta be smart.
Doesn't matter male or female.
Black or white or yellow.
No college required.
No connections in high places.
You just gotta be consistent.
Develop the skills and you can provide a life for yourself and your family that seems like a dream.
But it's very real.
And within your grasp.
So grab that shit.
💧 Sponsored by @rainbetcom - rainbet.com
✅ @trading
Crypto flash
You don't gotta be smart.
Doesn't matter male or female.
Black or white or yellow.
No college required.
No connections in high places.
You just gotta be consistent.
Develop the skills and you can provide a life for yourself and your family that seems like a dream.
But it's very real.
And within your grasp.
So grab that shit.
💧 Sponsored by @rainbetcom - rainbet.com
✅ @trading
Crypto flash
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🥇 Massive December gold call spreads raise eyebrows
A large investor has been accumulating December $15,000/$20,000 gold call spreads on COMEX.
For this trade to expire in the money, gold would need to triple from current levels by late 2025. The position can also benefit earlier from a sharp rally or a spike in volatility.
The buying began after gold hit a record $5,600 in late January. Even after prices dropped below $5,000, accumulation continued. Open interest has climbed to around 11,000 contracts.
This is not a hedge. It looks like a bet on a violent upside move.
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Crypto flash
A large investor has been accumulating December $15,000/$20,000 gold call spreads on COMEX.
For this trade to expire in the money, gold would need to triple from current levels by late 2025. The position can also benefit earlier from a sharp rally or a spike in volatility.
The buying began after gold hit a record $5,600 in late January. Even after prices dropped below $5,000, accumulation continued. Open interest has climbed to around 11,000 contracts.
This is not a hedge. It looks like a bet on a violent upside move.
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✅ @trading
Crypto flash
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📊 Concentration at the top rarely ends smoothly
When a handful of mega-cap stocks drive most of index returns, the surface looks strong. Underneath, fragility builds.
Extreme concentration has never been a hallmark of durable bull markets.
US equities versus the rest of the world also remain near historical dominance extremes. That imbalance has not meaningfully unwound.
At peaks, investors always find new reasons why this time is different. The story changes. The pattern does not.
When positioning becomes one-sided, rotation does not need a big catalyst.
The more interesting question is where capital flows next.
Areas still relatively under-owned and capital-starved:
✔️ Emerging markets
✔️ Metals and mining
✔️ Energy
✔️ Commodities
Regime shifts feel uncomfortable in real time. That is usually where opportunity hides.
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✅ @trading
Crypto flash
When a handful of mega-cap stocks drive most of index returns, the surface looks strong. Underneath, fragility builds.
Extreme concentration has never been a hallmark of durable bull markets.
US equities versus the rest of the world also remain near historical dominance extremes. That imbalance has not meaningfully unwound.
At peaks, investors always find new reasons why this time is different. The story changes. The pattern does not.
When positioning becomes one-sided, rotation does not need a big catalyst.
The more interesting question is where capital flows next.
Areas still relatively under-owned and capital-starved:
✔️ Emerging markets
✔️ Metals and mining
✔️ Energy
✔️ Commodities
Regime shifts feel uncomfortable in real time. That is usually where opportunity hides.
💧 Sponsored by @rainbetcom - rainbet.com
✅ @trading
Crypto flash
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⚠️ US reportedly preparing large-scale campaign against Iran
Tensions around Iran remain elevated. Axios reports that the US is preparing a potential military campaign that could last weeks and resemble a full-scale war, possibly in coordination with Israel.
According to the report, the operation would exceed recent regional conflicts in scope. Diplomatic prospects are described as unlikely, with sources saying the window for a deal is effectively closed.
Over the past 48 hours, the US has moved significant air assets to the Middle East:
🔴 48 F-16 fighters
🔴 12 F-22 fighters
🔴 18 F-35 fighters
🔴 6 E-3G Sentry AWACS aircraft
🔴 Around 40 aerial refueling tankers
🔴 1 RC-135V Rivet Joint reconnaissance aircraft
This comes on top of deployments made over the past month.
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Crypto flash
Tensions around Iran remain elevated. Axios reports that the US is preparing a potential military campaign that could last weeks and resemble a full-scale war, possibly in coordination with Israel.
According to the report, the operation would exceed recent regional conflicts in scope. Diplomatic prospects are described as unlikely, with sources saying the window for a deal is effectively closed.
Over the past 48 hours, the US has moved significant air assets to the Middle East:
🔴 48 F-16 fighters
🔴 12 F-22 fighters
🔴 18 F-35 fighters
🔴 6 E-3G Sentry AWACS aircraft
🔴 Around 40 aerial refueling tankers
🔴 1 RC-135V Rivet Joint reconnaissance aircraft
This comes on top of deployments made over the past month.
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✅ @trading
Crypto flash
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The simplest bet for this decade is energy.
AI, chips, data centers, robots, electric vehicles, self-driving cars...
None of them work without power. They all need electricity. A lot of it.
Energy is the biggest bottleneck right now.
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Crypto flash
AI, chips, data centers, robots, electric vehicles, self-driving cars...
None of them work without power. They all need electricity. A lot of it.
Energy is the biggest bottleneck right now.
💧 Sponsored by @rainbetcom - rainbet.com
✅ @trading
Crypto flash
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The hardest thing to teach developing traders is that losing money on a good trade is a better outcome than making money on a bad one.
Most people never get past this.
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Crypto flash
Most people never get past this.
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✅ @trading
Crypto flash
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Trade Gold, Earn Gold! 🥇
Celebrate the Lunar New Year by trading XAUUSD on ZitaPlus and compete for 10 grams of gold-value funds. 🐉
🏆 5g – Max % Profit Champion
📊 5g – Max Volume Leader
Open a trading account!
#ZitaPlus #Gold #XAUUSD #ChineseNewYear
Crypto flash
Celebrate the Lunar New Year by trading XAUUSD on ZitaPlus and compete for 10 grams of gold-value funds. 🐉
🏆 5g – Max % Profit Champion
📊 5g – Max Volume Leader
Open a trading account!
#ZitaPlus #Gold #XAUUSD #ChineseNewYear
Crypto flash
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Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway reduced its Amazon $AMZN stake by 77% in Q4 2025, selling shares worth ~$1.8B.
He also trimmed his Apple $AAPL position, while adding to Chevron $CVX, and starting a New York Times $NYT position.
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Crypto flash
He also trimmed his Apple $AAPL position, while adding to Chevron $CVX, and starting a New York Times $NYT position.
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✅ @trading
Crypto flash
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🇺🇸 US jobless claims come in below expectations
Initial jobless claims:
🔴 Actual: 206K
🟡 Forecast: 223K
🟡 Previous: 229K
Claims fell sharply and came in well below expectations, signaling continued strength in the US labor market.
A resilient jobs backdrop reduces pressure on the Fed to ease policy soon. That is moderately negative for risk assets and crypto in the near term.
Strong labor means higher-for-longer stays on the table.
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Crypto flash
Initial jobless claims:
🔴 Actual: 206K
🟡 Forecast: 223K
🟡 Previous: 229K
Claims fell sharply and came in well below expectations, signaling continued strength in the US labor market.
A resilient jobs backdrop reduces pressure on the Fed to ease policy soon. That is moderately negative for risk assets and crypto in the near term.
Strong labor means higher-for-longer stays on the table.
💧 Sponsored by @rainbetcom - rainbet.com
✅ @trading
Crypto flash
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JUST IN: Trump sets 10-day deadline on Iran
Trump says the US will “find out about Iran in about 10 days,” pointing to a decision window around March 1.
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Crypto flash
Trump says the US will “find out about Iran in about 10 days,” pointing to a decision window around March 1.
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✅ @trading
Crypto flash
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🚨 UK blocks use of bases for potential Iran strike
The UK is reportedly preventing Trump from using British bases for potential strikes on Iran, according to The Times.
Tensions between London and Washington are rising.
🟡 The block is linked to concerns over international law
🟡 Trump has withdrawn support for Keir Starmer’s Chagos Islands deal
🟡 The White House is still preparing detailed strike plans
🟡 Potential operations were expected to involve Diego Garcia and RAF Fairford
🟡 Both bases host US heavy bomber assets in Europe
Oil prices have climbed to a 6-month high amid the escalation.
Geopolitics is back in the driver’s seat.
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Crypto flash
The UK is reportedly preventing Trump from using British bases for potential strikes on Iran, according to The Times.
Tensions between London and Washington are rising.
🟡 The block is linked to concerns over international law
🟡 Trump has withdrawn support for Keir Starmer’s Chagos Islands deal
🟡 The White House is still preparing detailed strike plans
🟡 Potential operations were expected to involve Diego Garcia and RAF Fairford
🟡 Both bases host US heavy bomber assets in Europe
Oil prices have climbed to a 6-month high amid the escalation.
Geopolitics is back in the driver’s seat.
💧 Sponsored by @rainbetcom - rainbet.com
✅ @trading
Crypto flash
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Brutal self-check:
If someone followed your daily habits exactly for 5 years…
Would they become successful?
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Crypto flash
If someone followed your daily habits exactly for 5 years…
Would they become successful?
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✅ @trading
Crypto flash
🍾5
Trump has ordered the Secretary of War and other federal agencies to release government files about alien and extraterrestrial life.
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Crypto flash
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Crypto flash