Crypto flash
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Every successful investment strategy really comes down to two things:

1. Let your winners run
2. Cut your losers short

It’s simple to say but very hard to do.


πŸ’§ Sponsored by @rainbetcom - rainbet.com

βœ… @trading

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Always take profit before the screenshot


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"Money has no utility to me. Time has utility to me."

~ Warren Buffett


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The ability to do nothing is something.

Take notes


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βœ… @trading

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After 2–3 years of trading, you’ll figure it out.

The hardest part of the trading skill is doing nothing.


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βœ… @trading

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These are the quants you’re competing against in China.


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βœ… @trading

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You don’t need perfect conditions to move forward.

You need consistency and intent.

Everything else is optional.

What’s your excuse?


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βœ… @trading

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trading is a j-curve business


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βœ… @trading

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Your biggest trading flex isn’t a green day.
It’s taking consecutive small losses without revenge trading.
That’s elite execution.


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βœ… @trading

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⚠️ Key Events This Week

Holiday week, but inflation drives. Core PCE anchors; FOMC minutes and Fed communication shape moves.

About 15% of S&P 500 report earnings, and 10 Fed speakers, so positioning risk stays elevated.

β€’ Monday
- Presidents’ Day, U.S. markets closed
Liquidity thins; flows may build ahead of midweek releases.

πŸ”΄ Wednesday
- December Durable Goods Orders
- FOMC Meeting Minutes
Minutes show inflation risk and rate timing; tone shifts feed rate pricing.

β€’ Thursday
- Initial Jobless Claims
Claims track labor conditions; sustained changes matter more than a single print.

πŸ”΄ Friday
- December Core PCE Inflation data
- Q4 GDP
- Services / Manufacturing PMI
Core PCE anchors rate expectations; GDP momentum; PMI shows activity/prices.

Main focus: Wednesday minutes and Friday Core PCE data.

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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US Oil Output Turns Negative Year Over Year

US oil production has slipped into annual decline for the first time in 5 years.

At the same time, oil is one of the most heavily shorted assets in over a decade.

Supply tightening while positioning leans hard one way.


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The official White House account congratulated Americans on Presidents’ Day with a graphic featuring Donald Trump and the quote: β€œI was the hunted, and now I’m the hunter.”


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🎯 The problem with perfect entries

Perfectionism around entries is one of the most expensive traits in trading.

Many traders obsess over the exact level. The clean wick touch. The perfect fill. It looks like discipline. In reality, it creates hesitation and missed trades.

Markets are probabilistic. When you draw a single line and expect price to react perfectly from it, you are forcing rigidity onto something fluid.

A good trade is not about how pretty the entry looks. It is about context, confirmation, and controlled risk.

Two shifts help a lot:

πŸ“Š Move from exact lines to zones
πŸ“Š Move from touch-based entries to confirmation-based entries

Instead of shorting the first touch of a level, wait for a pullback and a break of structure. Instead of buying the exact low, wait for strength to confirm.

Yes, you might enter slightly worse. But you gain clarity and consistency.

Perfection sounds precise. In practice, it often blocks execution.


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50% profit on $1,000 is $500
5% profit on $100,000 is $5,000

Chase bigger capital not bigger returns


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If you spent $10 million per day for the past 2,000 years since Jesus was born, you would have spent about $7.4 trillion by now.

The US national debt is $38.7 trillion.


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WARNING: The biggest stock market crash in history is imminent warns Robert Kiyosaki, Rich Dad Poor Dad Author.

And the man who has predicted 50 of the last 2 stock market collapses.

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πŸ“ˆ Behavioural Slippage: the return you never capture

β€œBehavioural Slippage” is the gap between what your system identifies and what you earn. It stems from real-time sub-optimal decisions: missed trades, hesitation, early exitsβ€”things backtests miss.

Without recording every idea, precise measurement is nearly impossible. Yet the gap exists and is usually larger than expected.

One manager who tracked all ideas and outcomes saw nearly 40% difference in returns over 3 years. He was profitable, yet much potential gain never materialized.

The solution starts with acceptance: the gap exists and may be bigger than comfortable.

Then identify its sources and treat reduction as an ongoing project. Track behavior. Review decisions. Narrow the edge–execution gap.

The system may be good enough; execution is the real variable.

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βœ… @trading

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It's a beautiful game trading is.

You don't gotta be smart.
Doesn't matter male or female.
Black or white or yellow.
No college required.
No connections in high places.

You just gotta be consistent.

Develop the skills and you can provide a life for yourself and your family that seems like a dream.

But it's very real.

And within your grasp.

So grab that shit.


πŸ’§ Sponsored by @rainbetcom - rainbet.com

βœ… @trading

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πŸ₯‡ Massive December gold call spreads raise eyebrows

A large investor has been accumulating December $15,000/$20,000 gold call spreads on COMEX.

For this trade to expire in the money, gold would need to triple from current levels by late 2025. The position can also benefit earlier from a sharp rally or a spike in volatility.

The buying began after gold hit a record $5,600 in late January. Even after prices dropped below $5,000, accumulation continued. Open interest has climbed to around 11,000 contracts.

This is not a hedge. It looks like a bet on a violent upside move.


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βœ… @trading

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πŸ“Š Concentration at the top rarely ends smoothly

When a handful of mega-cap stocks drive most of index returns, the surface looks strong. Underneath, fragility builds.

Extreme concentration has never been a hallmark of durable bull markets.

US equities versus the rest of the world also remain near historical dominance extremes. That imbalance has not meaningfully unwound.

At peaks, investors always find new reasons why this time is different. The story changes. The pattern does not.

When positioning becomes one-sided, rotation does not need a big catalyst.

The more interesting question is where capital flows next.

Areas still relatively under-owned and capital-starved:

βœ”οΈ Emerging markets
βœ”οΈ Metals and mining
βœ”οΈ Energy
βœ”οΈ Commodities

Regime shifts feel uncomfortable in real time. That is usually where opportunity hides.


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βœ… @trading

Crypto flash
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⚠️ US reportedly preparing large-scale campaign against Iran

Tensions around Iran remain elevated. Axios reports that the US is preparing a potential military campaign that could last weeks and resemble a full-scale war, possibly in coordination with Israel.

According to the report, the operation would exceed recent regional conflicts in scope. Diplomatic prospects are described as unlikely, with sources saying the window for a deal is effectively closed.

Over the past 48 hours, the US has moved significant air assets to the Middle East:

πŸ”΄ 48 F-16 fighters
πŸ”΄ 12 F-22 fighters
πŸ”΄ 18 F-35 fighters
πŸ”΄ 6 E-3G Sentry AWACS aircraft
πŸ”΄ Around 40 aerial refueling tankers
πŸ”΄ 1 RC-135V Rivet Joint reconnaissance aircraft

This comes on top of deployments made over the past month.

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βœ… @trading

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