☄️ Oil shift is already underway

CNBC reports that Venezuelan oil sales to the US will continue indefinitely, with sanctions being eased. This follows comments from Donald Trump, who said Venezuela sent 30 to 50 million barrels of crude to the US within the last 12 hours.

The shipments are expected to be sold at market prices, implying more than $2B in value. At the same time, restrictions on Venezuelan exports are being gradually reduced.

The next step discussed by the market is increased involvement from large US oil companies, which could unlock higher production over time. Venezuela’s output is still far below historical levels due to years of underinvestment.

If this path continues, Venezuelan crude flows shift structurally toward the US, reshaping global energy trade.

The US effectively gains direct influence over an OPEC producer.

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Success is not linear.

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If you're not working on yourself, you’re not improving your trading either.

How you act in your everyday life will reflect on the charts as well.

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🏦 Largest Fed funds futures trade in history

A bond trader just placed the biggest Fed funds futures trade ever recorded. The block trade totaled 200,000 contracts in the January contract, confirmed as a record by CME.

This is not a small speculative bet. The position carries around $8 million of PnL for every 1 basis point move in Fed expectations, which makes it one of the most aggressive rate positions seen in years.

Moves like this do not happen randomly. Someone is expressing a very strong view on rates, or quietly exiting one.

Either way, the rates market is waking up.

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Tucker Carlson says the US is drifting toward empire and war

Tucker Carlson argued that Washington is preparing for a major conflict with China and North Korea. As signals, he pointed to US actions around Venezuela and Greenland, plus a sharp rise in military spending.

Carlson noted that Donald Trump proposed boosting US defense spending to $1.5 trillion in 2027, up from the previously discussed $1 trillion.

He also claimed the US is pulling out of 66 international organizations, including 31 UN bodies.

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US Supreme Court may rule on Trump tariffs on Friday

The Supreme Court of the United States named Friday as an opinion release day, raising the chance of a ruling on Donald Trump’s global tariffs.

The setup suggests a possible ruling on the legality of Trump’s tariffs, given the accelerated process and the cautious tone from most justices.

During the Nov 5 hearing, judges expressed skepticism about the president’s authority to impose tariffs under the 1977 emergency powers law.

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Alphabet, $GOOGL, officially surpasses Apple to become the second largest public company in the world, worth $3.96 trillion.

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An educated trader knows what to trade.

An experienced trader knows when to trade it.

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🇺🇸 10 US Defense Stocks Likely To Benefit From Trump's $1.5 Trillion Military Budget Proposal:

• $LMT | Lockheed Martin - Aerospace & Missiles
• $NOC | Northrop Grumman - Stealth & Autonomous Systems
• $RTX | RTX (Raytheon) - Missiles & Radar
• $GD | General Dynamics - Ships & Combat Vehicles
• $LHX | L3Harris Technologies - Electronic Warfare & Comms
• $PLTR | Palantir Technologies - AI & Data Analytics
• $KTOS | Kratos Defense - Drones & Hypersonics
• $AVAV | AeroVironment - Unmanned Aerial Systems
• $ONDS | Ondas Holdings - Wireless Networks for Drones
• $HII | Huntington Ingalls - Naval Shipbuilding

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United States considering lump-sum payments up to $100,000.00 per resident of Greenland to buy their country.

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Jim Cramer said that investors should avoid buying stocks right now.

In financial and trading circles, Cramer is known for how often his calls seem to play out in the opposite direction.

That reputation gave rise to the well known “Inverse Cramer” meme.

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Crypto flash

🇺🇸 The US Supreme Court is rumored to rule on Trump’s tariffs on Wednesday, January 14.

Still, it is worth paying close attention to today’s US session close. Lately, many major headlines have been dropping right after the session ends.

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GM

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when you realize everyone is sacrificing their lives for a currency that is printed out of thin air

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If you're 40, don't waste time wishing you could be 20 again.

Instead, imagine you're 90 and just woke up back at 40, with 50 more years ahead of you.

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"The Dollar isn't backed by anything"

The Dollar

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You don’t experience reality.

You experience your interpretation of reality.

Change the interpretation, change the life.

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How to be a disciplined person

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What do you need to succeed as an Intraday Trader?

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“Big opportunities in life have to be seized.”

~ Warren Buffett

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