Bitcoin is still below the Short-Term Holder (STH) realized price.

• As long as price stays under this level, the market usually remains in a downtrend.

Since the US-Iran war started 15 days ago

S&P 500: -3.85%
Nasdaq: -3%
Gold: -5.5%
Silver: -13.22%

Bitcoin: 7.75%
The crypto market added $240 billion.

If Bitcoin drops about $5,000 from the current price, more than $3.4B in long positions could get liquidated.

Large liquidations like this can push the price down even faster.

Bitcoin is around $71.8K with momentum slowly improving.

After bouncing from $66K–$68K, BTC is forming higher lows while traders watch $73K resistance.

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In past mid-term election years, Bitcoin has dropped more than 60%.

• In 2026, BTC is currently down about 33%.

• If the same pattern repeats, it suggests another major drop could still happen before the final bottom.

A whale holds a $42M short on Bitcoin.

The position shows about -$33.9M total PnL with rising risk.

With BTC near $71.7K, the large short is under increasing pressure.

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Over the last 5 weeks, Bitcoin is up 3.6%, while the S&P 500 is down 2.2%.

Along with Gold rising 3.7%, this suggests Bitcoin may be acting more like a hedge asset.

The altcoin market cap is falling while Bitcoin continues to dominate market momentum.

This usually means capital is rotating from altcoins into Bitcoin.

A whale just opened a $42M short position on Bitcoin with 40x leverage.

Over the last 2 months, this trader has already lost about $59M.

The electrical production cost of Bitcoin has dropped below $50,000.

This suggests the estimated bottom price floor may be moving lower.

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Bitcoin has liquidity around $74K–$75K (short liquidations) and below $70K (long liquidations).

Since BTC is showing some strength, price could move up to take the $74K–$75K liquidity first.

A good amount of sell liquidity is building between $75K–$80K for Bitcoin.

That usually means many sell orders are sitting in that range, so price could face strong resistance there and it may act as a local top if buying pressure slows down.

Spot demand for Bitcoin is strong, meaning real buyers are active.

Perp traders are getting aggressive, but as long as spot buying continues, price can keep moving higher.

A whale just bought $30.4M worth of Bitcoin.

In the last 2 weeks, this wallet has accumulated 1,960 BTC worth about $144M, showing strong confidence in Bitcoin.

The 4-year fractal pattern suggests strong momentum for Bitcoin.

The recent move up is putting heavy pressure on bearish traders. 🚀

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Over $1 billion in crypto shorts could get liquidated if Bitcoin rises $3,000 from the current price.

This shows many traders are betting against Bitcoin, and a strong move up could force them to close positions and push the price higher.