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Bitcoin is bouncing from a key support level.

• Buyers are stepping in here, which is pushing the price back up. 📈

Bitcoin is trying to break out right now.

• But we still need strong candle closes above resistance to confirm the trend is really shifting upward.

The Fear & Greed Index for Bitcoin is still in Extreme Fear.

• This usually means investors are very cautious, even though some see it as a dip-buying opportunity.

• On-chain data suggests Bitcoin may not have hit the final bottom yet.

• MVRV is around 1.2, while past cycle bottoms usually happened below 1.0.

Bitcoin took about 11 months to rise from $70K to $125K.

• But it only took 5 months to drop back to $70K, showing how fast corrections can happen in crypto.

Bitcoin is still below the Short-Term Holder (STH) realized price.

• As long as price stays under this level, the market usually remains in a downtrend.

Since the US-Iran war started 15 days ago

S&P 500: -3.85%
Nasdaq: -3%
Gold: -5.5%
Silver: -13.22%

Bitcoin: 7.75%
The crypto market added $240 billion.

If Bitcoin drops about $5,000 from the current price, more than $3.4B in long positions could get liquidated.

Large liquidations like this can push the price down even faster.

Bitcoin is around $71.8K with momentum slowly improving.

After bouncing from $66K–$68K, BTC is forming higher lows while traders watch $73K resistance.

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In past mid-term election years, Bitcoin has dropped more than 60%.

• In 2026, BTC is currently down about 33%.

• If the same pattern repeats, it suggests another major drop could still happen before the final bottom.

A whale holds a $42M short on Bitcoin.

The position shows about -$33.9M total PnL with rising risk.

With BTC near $71.7K, the large short is under increasing pressure.

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Over the last 5 weeks, Bitcoin is up 3.6%, while the S&P 500 is down 2.2%.

Along with Gold rising 3.7%, this suggests Bitcoin may be acting more like a hedge asset.

The altcoin market cap is falling while Bitcoin continues to dominate market momentum.

This usually means capital is rotating from altcoins into Bitcoin.

A whale just opened a $42M short position on Bitcoin with 40x leverage.

Over the last 2 months, this trader has already lost about $59M.

The electrical production cost of Bitcoin has dropped below $50,000.

This suggests the estimated bottom price floor may be moving lower.

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