🚫🛢 The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has warned that it will respond firmly to any military vessels attempting to transit the Strait of Hormuz. More details on

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⚠️ Talks between Iran and the U.S. have ended in Islamabad, with significant disagreements still dividing both delegations — Tasnim reports. mt в max

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📰 Iranian authorities confirm that talks will proceed despite existing disagreements, a source reveals. For more on the developing geopolitical landscape in Iran, head to Markettwits.

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⚠️ After 14 hours of negotiations, Vance confirmed no deal with Iran has been reached. "No agreement has been made, and I believe this outcome is more consequential for Iran than for the US. We’ve clearly communicated our red lines," he stated. While both sides found alignment on multiple issues, 2-3 critical points remain unresolved. The impasse now puts at risk the two-week ceasefire established last week. Central unresolved issues include the Strait of Hormuz and Iran’s nuclear program.

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🇭🇺 Polling stations are now open across Hungary for the parliamentary elections and will stay open until 7:00 PM local time. Analysts say a victory for Orbán's opponent could lead to Hungary aligning more closely with Brussels.

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🇹🇼 Taipei and Beijing to strengthen cinematic and cultural ties as Chinese President Xi Jinping and Taiwanese opposition leader Cheng Li-wun agree to support film projects highlighting the shared heritage between China and Taiwan. The initiative aims to increase cross-strait film screenings and collaboration in storytelling. Further insights available at .

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🔧 Saudi Arabia Restarts Oil Flow Through East-West Pipeline

The Saudi Ministry of Energy confirmed the resumption of operations on the East-West pipeline following recent sabotage attacks. The critical infrastructure is back online, running at full capacity of around seven million barrels per day. Work continues at the Khurais field to restore production to pre-incident levels.



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⚠️ Ukraine and Russia are again blaming each other for breaking the "Easter ceasefire," mirroring a similar dispute that took place last year during the same holiday period.

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🛢🇷🇺 Hungarian Prime Minister Orban, responding to a query from RIA Novosti, said he expects Ukraine to restart the Druzhba oil pipeline (#TRNFP) immediately after Hungary’s upcoming elections.

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🇺🇸 The S&P 500's current earnings growth rate for Q1 2026 is at 12.6% — the sixth straight quarter of double-digit year-over-year growth. With most companies in the index beating earnings estimates, the final figure could climb to 19% by the end of the quarter, per FactSet, marking the strongest performance since Q4 2021. U.S. earnings season begins next week.

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✴️ Arthur Hayes is still actively buying HYPE, as reported by Lookonchain. Once his purchase is complete, he's expected to announce the token could surge 100x. For more details, check out .

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🔮 Michael Selig, chairman of the CFTC, emphasized that prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi are vital tools for cutting through misinformation—proving more accurate than traditional public opinion polls during the 2024 elections. In December 2025, Kalshi published a study showing that user-driven forecasts on its platform outperformed Wall Street analysts’ predictions, particularly in gauging inflation trends. mt at max

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🗓 Today, April 13, 2026, marks a pivotal day on the global stage. At 17:00 MSK, the U.S. initiates a naval blockade of Iran. The temporary ceasefire announced by Russia for Easter has officially ended.

In financial markets, the U.S. corporate earnings season kicks off officially. OPEC releases its monthly oil market report at 14:00 MSK, offering insights into supply and demand dynamics. Russia’s February trade balance data comes out at 16:00 MSK, followed by U.S. existing home sales figures for March at 17:00 MSK.

On the corporate front, AFLT reports operating results, while Goldman Sachs delivers its quarterly update at 14:30 MSK.

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🛢 Indonesian President Prabowo Subianto will hold discussions with Russian President Putin today regarding oil supplies.

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🇺🇸 Meta is reportedly creating an AI-powered version of Mark Zuckerberg to interact with employees, according to the Financial Times. The initiative is meant to streamline internal communication and improve engagement across the company. Read more here.

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⚠️ Some analysts suggest the U.S. is fine-tuning strategies for a potential "maritime blockade" against China, learning from past actions involving Venezuela, Cuba, and more recently, Iran.

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🚫🇮🇷 In a decisive move, former President Trump declared a U.S. blockade on all vessels entering or leaving Iranian ports, set to take effect April 13 at 10:00 AM Eastern Time.

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🛢 President Trump revealed that multiple ships are heading to the U.S. to pick up American oil. For more information, visit .

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🛢 Oil traders are sounding the alarm: a prolonged conflict could deepen fuel shortages, following failed talks between the U.S. and Iran and Trump's threats to close the Strait of Hormuz, according to the FT. Meanwhile, WSJ reports that executives from three major U.S. oil firms have warned the Trump administration about the serious risks posed by a sustained blockade of the Strait, which could intensify the global energy crisis.

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⚠️ A recent "Platforma" survey has identified an "inflation anxiety indicator" among Russians, revealing that around 82% expect utility and food prices to rise faster than their incomes in the coming year. Full survey results are available here. For deeper analysis, visit .

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📉 Things were looking up as spot BTC ETF inflows started to recover—then Trump took to Truth Social, and the momentum quickly faded. BTC plunged nearly $3,000 over the weekend. By Monday’s close, we’re likely looking at an ETF outflow. BTC has been stuck in a sideways trend for more than two months.

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