The Money Flow Index shows just how similar the bear markets are.

The current position is the rebound from the first low, as usual around July.

Two more important points to go, which we already know from the Halving Cycles Theory: the Second Low and the…

With some Bitcoin miner talk going around, I thought it'd be a great time to share some thoughts.

Yes, the hash rate and mining difficulty have fallen in a big way, but the amount of decline is similar to some other extremes like July 2021 or December 2018.…

An update on this bear market's compared to others...

Where other Bear Markets have lined up from June to September (the unification zone), this cycle has stayed well above so far. Not bad!

A full catch-up would require a move to 35k by September. That…

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August and September are right around the corner, two notorious months for being poor performers, and the bear market is no exception.

At least a 30% correction is standard, which would take Bitcoin to the low-to-mid 40ks.

An addtional 30% correction is…

Just before hitting the high long-term holder area, the metric stopped out and has now bounced back above the mid-line. A first of its kind for a bear market.

So, long-term holder buying has not reached cycle bottom levels, and momentum has slowed down tremendously.

I've gathered up 3 hyper accurate moving averages for the cycle bottom to create a cycle bottom tracker.

Some may say that the bottom is in, but that would mean not a single one of these moving averages was touched this cycle.

Thier positions vary from…

The duality of data...

More and more data is reaching cycle bottom levels; like the Monthly Trend Strength Index.

Others, like the Williams Fractals, say we've only made the first of 3 lows for the bear market.

So which is right?

My observation is that…

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It looks like the second pivot on the Price Oscillator will be coming soon enough, which marks about 4 months out from the cycle bottom.

That'd be December this year if the second pivot completes soon.

So far, price is holding up nicely. Where other bear…

I think no matter which direction you're hoping for next for Bitcoin, everyone would appreciate getting out of the 64k range.

Luckily, the past two bear market ranges have both lasted about 68 days, which will be here in less than a week.

Hopefully some…

Last week, I made the decision to buy into a set of stocks to back the expansion of AI, including big name companies, semiconductors, memory, nuclear, and more.

This is completely separate from my planned purchase into crypto this cycle. I have not bought…

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Yikes, we were so close to reaching high long-term holder levels in July, but now the metric has erased almost all that progress and found itself back at "reaching cycle top level" territory.

In other words, short term holders have surged back during the…

SOPR still says this is not good enough for the cycle bottom. The pattern looks spot on for mid-to-late bear market activity.

Many people are waiting for the exact 1 year mark from the cycle top to buy in October, but again, the Halving Cycles Theory bottom…