Bitcoin Fear and Greed is now at Fear, up from Extreme Fear in December 2025.

Extreme Fear does not always mean it's the time to buy. We've spent years in greed, and now it represents a change of trend.

The cycle has completed just like others. Moves to…

Some people might choose to take all of their Bitcoin/crypto holdings and throw them directly into precious metals.

But this is just trading one overheated asset for another.

Monthly RSI for gold is nearly maxed out, alongside other metals like silver and…

There are some dense liquidity pockets that line up close with the Bear Bands.

Next areas of interest:

First Low: 69 - 74k

Cycle Bottom: 27 - 32k

Here's this year's Bitcoin bear market lined up with others (2014, 2018, and 2022).

The common thought is that the bear market drawdown is decreasing each cycle, and that's been the trend so far. -86%, -84%, -77%.

Bitcoin is even ahead now of where it has…

Precious metals are the new meme coins.

They are absolutely terrible investments right now.

The time to buy them was when they were boring for 10 years from 2013 - 2024, when no one wanted them. Not at the pinnacle of an unprecedented parabola! The only…

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A near pinpoint touch of the first heavy liquidity level at 74.5k.

The next is just below that at 69k, and the First Low Bear Band support is at 62k.

Bearish sentiment has seen a huge uptick. Here's what I've noticed:

- Bear market experts appearing at…

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Just like during the last bull market, people are developing their plans on exactly how the bear market will go.

I was heavily ridiculed for selling my crypto positions in August 2025, and after the move below 80k, now most people are on board with an impending…

The current Bitcoin bear market is now lined up with cycle 3's bear market (2022) at a 42% decline.

A 1 for 1 copy would be 28k.

Again though... expect the unexpected!

I think soon, people will be calling for another cycle bottom as they did at 80k, except this time it will seem more plausible.

Metrics like Weekly RSI are at cycle bottom levels, and once people see a bounce, they'll be all in again.

It is clear that long…

Well, that couldn't have gone better!

First Low Band of the Bear Bands achieved (63k) in the expected time frame (January - March 2026).

The heavy liquidity just above was also completely cleared (69 - 74k).

Next points of interest are the second low band…

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60k finally turned short-term MVRV bearish for the first time since the last bear market.

February 2026 = January 2022 and February 2018.

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Logarithmic MVRV...

No cycle bottom yet here!

Now things get confusing.

Plenty of people are screaming for lower prices, and some isolated indicators like Weekly RSI are at cycle bottom levels.

So you should be buying, right?

The whole picture says no. Psychology can be helpful, but also misleading.…

The last big move was a precise hit of level 2 on the Magic Bands at 65k.

And, in the exact time frame you'd expect. Dates for previous level 2 in bear markets:

February 26th, 2014
February 3rd, 2018
January 23rd, 2022
February 7th, 2026

The cycle bottom…

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"The Halving Cycles Theory can't keep being right because it's too obvious!"

The same words were said during the entire cycle 4 bull run.

As price continues to decline, targets change, and time frames change.

"I'm buying at 30 - 40k at the end of the year"…

Strap in, but don't get too excited! The bear market has a ways to go...

Volatility is shriveling up again after the move to 60k, another standard trait of the bear market.

Time and price wise, I think we're about 30% through the bear market. That's a pretty…