To expect any further cycle top price action here from Bitcoin would just be plain greedy.

On the Aroon Oscillator, like most other cycle top data that has triggered, we've reached cycle top levels three times this cycle: March 2024, January 2025, and October…

For people who are watching traditional Bitcoin cycle top metrics and wondering... "Why haven't any of them triggered if the cycle top is in?"

Diminishing pressure is likely the answer.

As returns diminish, so do metric values.

In 2021, data like MVRV…

The Magic Bands did a fantastic job this cycle, with Bitcoin topping out twice at level 3. Unfortuntely because BLX no longer updates, the model needed to be recreated on a new symbol.

So introducing... *Magic Bands V2*!

This one has some slight differences…

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3 important levels for Bitcoin during the bear market:

1. 62k
2. 43k
3. 27k

Typically, the first low band is reached early in the bear market year, the second low mid to late, and the cycle bottom at the year's end.

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Sorry, but to say that the bottom is in here or the cycle is "just getting started" is disingenuous.

16.5k to 124k was a very good run for Bitcoin at this level of maturity.

Markets in general are overheated. There's rampant gambling (prediction markets…

Bitcoin kicking off the new year with a Pi Cycle Death Cross.

The further we get, the less the signal lags.

2026 is set to be the year of the bear market according to the Halving Cycles Theory. It shouldn't be depressing though! This is what creates the…

Don't forget... it was "bottom was in" at every low in the 2022 bear market.

Smart investors (1 year + holders) couldn't be less interested in current BTC prices. These extremely low levels of long-term holders have only been seen at other cycle tops.

When…

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Not a business cycle

The Bitcoin cycle is overheated and due for a bear market.

For any of you who have held Bitcoin or especially Altcoins through a bear market, you know that's not a place where you want to be.

Think of risk/reward when you look at this Monthly Bollinger…

Bitcoin had perfect phases this cycle for the Price Oscillator Pivot, and now it's returned below the 0 line to start the 3 bear market pivots.

The first of the three is currently under formation.

Our data position lines up with these dates in other cycles:…

Exhibit A of why a 30% correction is not the bear market low.

NUPL has a long way to go before reaching the .382 Fibonacci retrace cycle bottom.

People will say whatever they can to contradict the "obvious" 4-year cycle. It always manages to hide in plain…

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The overly bullish psychology at this low is even more apparent when Bitcoin is recovering.

At every other low this cycle, you had to go against the grain and the crowd to suggest that there would be new highs.

Now it's the opposite, the popular thought…

Bitcoin data is clear, 80k was not a "bear market bottom."

The same traps that were set up in the last bear market for FOMO investors are being put out in this one with different labels.

If you're waiting on the downfall of the Halving Cycles Theory, good luck to you!

Here's HCT reinforced with Fibonacci zones. All major moves this cycle came in their expected time frames.

Here are the time windows for the upcoming cycle:

Cycle Bottom:…

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If you look at popular Bitcoin cycle top metrics, you'd probably be wondering how a cycle top could be in when "none" of these metrics have triggered.

Take 22 day RSI for example. Laser accuracy for cycle tops with a descending trend line, yet not a single…

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