It was 152 weeks from Bitcoin's November 2022 cycle bottom to the October 2025 cycle top.

Exactly the same as the previous two cycles, and two weeks off the first cycle using the Halving Cycles Theory bottom in December 2010.

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Bitcoin KST cycle top is locked in with the 4th bearish crossover of the cycle.

And if there were any doubts, the metric is doing its signature "plummet off the screen" that we see after every 4th cross.

Other 4th cross dates:
- February 2014
- February…

The standard bear market warning signs are all here, but we're in the early parts of it, where it's popular to deny them.

3 week Donchain Channel support has been lost for the first time this cycle.

You've likely seen other metrics as well, such as the…

The cycle top of the Monthly Fisher Transform is complete with the 3rd crossover of the cycle, lining up perfectly within the Halving Cycles Theory time frame.

Picture perfect phase 4 (cycle top) in October 2025 for Bitcoin on 3-week Sotchastic RSI.

The metric is also returning to the stochastic floor, which only appears at the end of the cycle.

November 2025 was the first bearish retest on Money Flow Index of the cycle.

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To expect any further cycle top price action here from Bitcoin would just be plain greedy.

On the Aroon Oscillator, like most other cycle top data that has triggered, we've reached cycle top levels three times this cycle: March 2024, January 2025, and October…

For people who are watching traditional Bitcoin cycle top metrics and wondering... "Why haven't any of them triggered if the cycle top is in?"

Diminishing pressure is likely the answer.

As returns diminish, so do metric values.

In 2021, data like MVRV…

The Magic Bands did a fantastic job this cycle, with Bitcoin topping out twice at level 3. Unfortuntely because BLX no longer updates, the model needed to be recreated on a new symbol.

So introducing... *Magic Bands V2*!

This one has some slight differences…

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3 important levels for Bitcoin during the bear market:

1. 62k
2. 43k
3. 27k

Typically, the first low band is reached early in the bear market year, the second low mid to late, and the cycle bottom at the year's end.

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Sorry, but to say that the bottom is in here or the cycle is "just getting started" is disingenuous.

16.5k to 124k was a very good run for Bitcoin at this level of maturity.

Markets in general are overheated. There's rampant gambling (prediction markets…

Bitcoin kicking off the new year with a Pi Cycle Death Cross.

The further we get, the less the signal lags.

2026 is set to be the year of the bear market according to the Halving Cycles Theory. It shouldn't be depressing though! This is what creates the…

Don't forget... it was "bottom was in" at every low in the 2022 bear market.

Smart investors (1 year + holders) couldn't be less interested in current BTC prices. These extremely low levels of long-term holders have only been seen at other cycle tops.

When…

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Not a business cycle

The Bitcoin cycle is overheated and due for a bear market.

For any of you who have held Bitcoin or especially Altcoins through a bear market, you know that's not a place where you want to be.

Think of risk/reward when you look at this Monthly Bollinger…

Bitcoin had perfect phases this cycle for the Price Oscillator Pivot, and now it's returned below the 0 line to start the 3 bear market pivots.

The first of the three is currently under formation.

Our data position lines up with these dates in other cycles:…