It looks like the Halving Cycles Theory has been right after all, completing its first successful cycle after creation.

The Bitcoin cycle top occurring on October 6th, 2025, was within parameters, falling in the 3-month window for the cycle top of October…

The "First Cycle Top" on the Fibonacci Halvings would have been off by about 2 months (depending on where you place it), but the cycle top mark was nearly dead at just 2 weeks post the October cycle top.

I distinctly remember before the last bear market…

Here's an early look at what we might expect for Bitcoin cycle low prices from the Golden Ratio Multiplier...

Level 1 sits at $38,800 and has been very consistent for cycle bottoms.

As price declines, this number will drop some.

I also think GRM did an…

Extreme Fear showing on Bitcoin fear and greed, but that does not mean it's time to rush and buy.

This shows a change in trend, from bullish to bearish.

There was a large-scale bearish divergence in August 2025, which has also appeared at every other cycle…

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It's time to give one last update to this cycle's "Calendar of The Masses." I've been tracking what I've observed as the common think at important local highs and lows.

If you were here, then you'd remember!

Thought at the October 2025 high, "This is just…

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It was 152 weeks from Bitcoin's November 2022 cycle bottom to the October 2025 cycle top.

Exactly the same as the previous two cycles, and two weeks off the first cycle using the Halving Cycles Theory bottom in December 2010.

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Bitcoin KST cycle top is locked in with the 4th bearish crossover of the cycle.

And if there were any doubts, the metric is doing its signature "plummet off the screen" that we see after every 4th cross.

Other 4th cross dates:
- February 2014
- February…

The standard bear market warning signs are all here, but we're in the early parts of it, where it's popular to deny them.

3 week Donchain Channel support has been lost for the first time this cycle.

You've likely seen other metrics as well, such as the…

The cycle top of the Monthly Fisher Transform is complete with the 3rd crossover of the cycle, lining up perfectly within the Halving Cycles Theory time frame.

Picture perfect phase 4 (cycle top) in October 2025 for Bitcoin on 3-week Sotchastic RSI.

The metric is also returning to the stochastic floor, which only appears at the end of the cycle.

November 2025 was the first bearish retest on Money Flow Index of the cycle.

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To expect any further cycle top price action here from Bitcoin would just be plain greedy.

On the Aroon Oscillator, like most other cycle top data that has triggered, we've reached cycle top levels three times this cycle: March 2024, January 2025, and October…

For people who are watching traditional Bitcoin cycle top metrics and wondering... "Why haven't any of them triggered if the cycle top is in?"

Diminishing pressure is likely the answer.

As returns diminish, so do metric values.

In 2021, data like MVRV…

The Magic Bands did a fantastic job this cycle, with Bitcoin topping out twice at level 3. Unfortuntely because BLX no longer updates, the model needed to be recreated on a new symbol.

So introducing... *Magic Bands V2*!

This one has some slight differences…

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3 important levels for Bitcoin during the bear market:

1. 62k
2. 43k
3. 27k

Typically, the first low band is reached early in the bear market year, the second low mid to late, and the cycle bottom at the year's end.

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