In hindsight, this Bitcoin cycle will probably be just as simple as any other.

It's the unprecedented amount of waiting, uncertainty surrounding Altcoins, and the typical greed of "what if Bitcoin never goes through a bear market again" that creates the…

Bitcoin Data Newsletter | Friday Video Update

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Yesterday, I made the decision to sell all of my Bitcoin and Altcoins as I feel data has grown exhausted, which has shifted my perspective from bullish to bearish.

I sold my Bitcoin at $112,596.64
I sold my Ethereum at $4,500.82

I have been holding both…

It looks like the Halving Cycles Theory has been right after all, completing its first successful cycle after creation.

The Bitcoin cycle top occurring on October 6th, 2025, was within parameters, falling in the 3-month window for the cycle top of October…

The "First Cycle Top" on the Fibonacci Halvings would have been off by about 2 months (depending on where you place it), but the cycle top mark was nearly dead at just 2 weeks post the October cycle top.

I distinctly remember before the last bear market…

Here's an early look at what we might expect for Bitcoin cycle low prices from the Golden Ratio Multiplier...

Level 1 sits at $38,800 and has been very consistent for cycle bottoms.

As price declines, this number will drop some.

I also think GRM did an…

Extreme Fear showing on Bitcoin fear and greed, but that does not mean it's time to rush and buy.

This shows a change in trend, from bullish to bearish.

There was a large-scale bearish divergence in August 2025, which has also appeared at every other cycle…

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It's time to give one last update to this cycle's "Calendar of The Masses." I've been tracking what I've observed as the common think at important local highs and lows.

If you were here, then you'd remember!

Thought at the October 2025 high, "This is just…

Bitcoin Data Newsletter | Friday Video Update

It was 152 weeks from Bitcoin's November 2022 cycle bottom to the October 2025 cycle top.

Exactly the same as the previous two cycles, and two weeks off the first cycle using the Halving Cycles Theory bottom in December 2010.

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Bitcoin KST cycle top is locked in with the 4th bearish crossover of the cycle.

And if there were any doubts, the metric is doing its signature "plummet off the screen" that we see after every 4th cross.

Other 4th cross dates:
- February 2014
- February…

The standard bear market warning signs are all here, but we're in the early parts of it, where it's popular to deny them.

3 week Donchain Channel support has been lost for the first time this cycle.

You've likely seen other metrics as well, such as the…

The cycle top of the Monthly Fisher Transform is complete with the 3rd crossover of the cycle, lining up perfectly within the Halving Cycles Theory time frame.

Picture perfect phase 4 (cycle top) in October 2025 for Bitcoin on 3-week Sotchastic RSI.

The metric is also returning to the stochastic floor, which only appears at the end of the cycle.

November 2025 was the first bearish retest on Money Flow Index of the cycle.

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To expect any further cycle top price action here from Bitcoin would just be plain greedy.

On the Aroon Oscillator, like most other cycle top data that has triggered, we've reached cycle top levels three times this cycle: March 2024, January 2025, and October…