The same exact pattern for #Bitcoin has played itself out in every cycle with the 20 Week EMA.

Recently, during the pullback to $38,500, price narrowly missed a retest of the moving average as support, a false retest.

But a closer look at the cycles shows…

In many ways, with the most recent #Bitcoin move to 52k, this cycle is doing things differently.

Now is officially the longest any early blue year rally has been sustained, barely toppling 2020's rally ending February 13th.

There has also never been a cycle…

Bitcoin Data Newsletter

With the recent move to 52k+ prices, some have claimed the #Bitcoin 4-year cycle is now out of the question.

Their evidence, the .618 cycle retrace.

This retrace has marked the mid-top for each cycle, a point that comes in the middle of the cycle and brings…

I wanted to take some time to answer popular questions:

Where do I think #Bitcoin will go next? Cycle timing and data have already suggested a move to lower prices since 49k. Price did correct from those levels, but has that has been much more shallow than…

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Simply put, the Weekly Ichimoku Cloud says that a break of the cloud top point at $52,800 marks the run to #Bitcoin ATHs and the cycle top.

A break of this point now would be almost an entire year earlier than usual, as most occur during the transition from…

Smart #Bitcoin investors are leaving in droves.

This began not with GBTC sales, or during the ETF launch, but months before that in October 2023 at prices like 28k.

The Fish, which are addresses that hold between 10 and 100 Bitcoin, have accurately risen…

Bitcoin Data Newsletter

So far, much of #Bitcoin's history has been told by one indicator: the 2-week volume oscillator.

There are 4 main events that take place per cycle with a negative cross of the 0 Line:

1. (green circle) = cycle bottom
2. (first blue circle) = first mid-cycle…

I do not think there is any pre-halving #Bitcoin rally.

The actual day of the halving is typically a non-event.

Taking a look at all previous halvings shows a lack of correlation.

- A small bounce took place leading up to November 28th, 2012. But the majority…

Bitcoin Data Newsletter | Friday Video Update

Not long ago I talked about downside targets for #Bitcoin in the low 30k's.

Where did they go? Nowhere.

They are still left wide open. Several observations still make this claim.

Like the Monthly LSMA, now priced at $34,423 and increasing.

No mid-top…

Does the Supertrend tell us that the new #Bitcoin price floor is $40,300?

It very well may, because the only price action that has ever reversed a trend to red is a parabola or cycle top, neither of which apply to now.

With exceptions to wicks below the…

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I have been an advocate for normal #Bitcoin cycle timing for as long as I could, but price looks to be on the verge of entering an early parabola.

Level 2 at $50,200 has been firmly broken, which by this model calls for a move to the next primary band:
…

#Bitcoin now nears new ATH's at 61k! Incredibly bullish.

And not at all expected according to our regular cycle timing which says we should be here closer to the end of this year.

Are we navigating a completely new landscape with ETFs buying away?

What…

The #Bitcoin Weekly RSI nears its final stage, the Cycle Top Zone.

When RSI enters this zone, the top has come in less than a year.

We're almost there, but not quite. It's important that the Weekly RSI closes inside.

All Time Highs have been a stiff resistance…

For the first time ever, the MVRV-Z has entered the mid-top zone outside of the .618 cycle retrace at 48k.

This is the last #Bitcoin mid-top indicator left to have fired, one that has been calling for a move to the red zone since the green zone in October…

#Bitcoin is nearing the first of the indicators to suggest a cycle top is in.

The golden ratio multiplier says that Bitcoin tops come at one level below the last.

This cycle, our cycle top band (level 5) is currently priced at $67,500.

This was one of…