Doesn't get much simpler than this.

#Bitcoin early and late Bull Market in green, Bear Market ends in red.

The one exception to this on the Kivanc Supertrend was the 2020 black swan.

The only thing that can…

With the first early top in for #Bitcoin on July 13th, 2023 (yellow dot), I think too many people are looking back and expecting a 2019 carbon copy.

What I'm looking at is 2015, where Bitcoin bottomed out in August, just like it did now, and continued in…

The amount of #Bitcoin held by short-term holders has now been reduced to a fine powder.

The lowest amount we have seen since January 2011.

These are people that hold their coins around 155 days at most.

In other words, there are more strong Bitcoin holders…

Ok #Bitcoin black swan predictors, it seems like it's now or never!

Alongside volatility, trend strength is ridiculously low on the ADX.

Per cycle you get 1 bear market move, and 2 bull moves inside this launch zone.

Better hurry black swan bears... this…

#Bitcoin needs to visit 21k - 23k before continuing higher.

Could it all just be as simple as 1, 2, 3 for #Bitcoin?

Maybe so...

People are split on whether or not #Bitcoin needs to visit lower prices before continuing.

On the Log Regression Curves that called the last cycle top, price remains just below layer 4.

Sometimes price is able to bottom just below a regression…

Altcoin Data Newsletter Premium

October is historically a very bullish #Bitcoin month. 🎃

What will it be? You decide 👇

Right on queue! The #Bitcoin RPV ratio is leaping out of the green buy zone on the second visit.

In every cycle, this marked the local bottom after the first big move.

Uptober is looking coded in 🎃👻

Which #Bitcoin cycle top target do you think is most likely from the First Cycle Gains Projection?

The Death Cross is in for #Bitcoin

This is the end...

Actually, it's completely meaningless.…

So when #Bitcoin UTXOs in loss break the trend, and go parabolic, do you just wait for more loss??

The drop to 25k was the highest loss spike seen since the 2020 black swan.

Loss can't go much higher.

In all examples, exactly…