Let me explain my $40k +/-5k #BTC Bear Market Bottom Target
One of the Key indicators that I pay attention to during bear markets is #BTC Realized Price
[ Realized Price is value of all coins in circulation at the price they last moved, in other words an approximation of what the entire market paid for their coins ]
Every Bear Market #Bitcoin tests the Realized Price level and breaks below it 📉
In 2011 #BTC went -66% below the Realized Price
In 2015 #BTC went -48% below the Realized Price
In 2018 #BTC went -35% below the Realized Price
In 2022 #BTC went -33% below the Realized Price
One of the Key indicators that I pay attention to during bear markets is #BTC Realized Price
[ Realized Price is value of all coins in circulation at the price they last moved, in other words an approximation of what the entire market paid for their coins ]
Every Bear Market #Bitcoin tests the Realized Price level and breaks below it 📉
In 2011 #BTC went -66% below the Realized Price
In 2015 #BTC went -48% below the Realized Price
In 2018 #BTC went -35% below the Realized Price
In 2022 #BTC went -33% below the Realized Price
CryptoBullet
Let me explain my $40k +/-5k #BTC Bear Market Bottom Target One of the Key indicators that I pay attention to during bear markets is #BTC Realized Price [ Realized Price is value of all coins in circulation at the price they last moved, in other words…
In 2026 we’ll also see #BTC going below the Realized Price (currently sitting at $56k)
Keep in mind that in Bear Markets the Realized Price usually slowly declines, so the levels might slightly change.
If we’re gonna repeat the 2022 Bear Market, -33% below the Realized Price would be $37.4k. As I mentioned, the Realized Price will likely decline this year, so by Q3-Q4 in can be at $53-54k and -33% would be around $35k. That’s the lowest I could see #BTC go this year.
As we can see, over the years BTC Volatility has decreased and the distance between the market Price and Realized Price has narrowed: from -66% in 2011 to -33% in 2022
So I believe in 2026 we will have something between -24% & -31% below the Realized Price which means $40-43k
That’s basically how I came up with my $35-45k Bear Market Bottom Target using this on-chain indicator
Keep in mind that in Bear Markets the Realized Price usually slowly declines, so the levels might slightly change.
If we’re gonna repeat the 2022 Bear Market, -33% below the Realized Price would be $37.4k. As I mentioned, the Realized Price will likely decline this year, so by Q3-Q4 in can be at $53-54k and -33% would be around $35k. That’s the lowest I could see #BTC go this year.
As we can see, over the years BTC Volatility has decreased and the distance between the market Price and Realized Price has narrowed: from -66% in 2011 to -33% in 2022
So I believe in 2026 we will have something between -24% & -31% below the Realized Price which means $40-43k
That’s basically how I came up with my $35-45k Bear Market Bottom Target using this on-chain indicator
We all want to see $BTC.D collapse and reach the Support in 2026, but what if that doesn't happen?
Well, in that case we could see something like this:
👉 52-54% in Q1 (Relief Rally for $Alts), then $BTC.D will go up again and hit the Resistance line one more time. After that - #Altseason (2027-2028)
Well, in that case we could see something like this:
👉 52-54% in Q1 (Relief Rally for $Alts), then $BTC.D will go up again and hit the Resistance line one more time. After that - #Altseason (2027-2028)
CryptoBullet
$SUI vs $TON 🧐 In June 2023 $TON had a crazy flash crash followed by a 50-day decline until it reached the 0.5-0.618 Fib Zone (and then fully recovered) That's exactly what we see on $SUI (and a bunch of other Alts) right now. Next phase is recovery 🎯 Target:…
$SUI vs $TON update
So far so good!
Pulled back into the Support Zone as expected and bounced! 📈
+40% gain so far (+34% over the last 7 days!)
🎯 $2.8-3.5 Target remains
So far so good!
Pulled back into the Support Zone as expected and bounced! 📈
+40% gain so far (+34% over the last 7 days!)
🎯 $2.8-3.5 Target remains
CryptoBullet
$SD still holding the Double Bottom Support Finally there's a bullish divergence on RSI Regardless of market conditions, the protocol generates fees which are being used for buybacks
$SD is holding strong, ready to move higher
Buyback completed yesterday ☑️
Buyback completed yesterday ☑️
CryptoBullet
$SOL 3D chart $SOL reached its critical Support Zone Imo we’re not gonna break it just yet. Expecting one more bounce/lower high 🎯 Bounce Target - $170-190 Next year the support will break 📉
$SOL 3D chart update
Bouncing off the Support as expected 📈😎
Bouncing off the Support as expected 📈😎
There's no chance this year is gonna be as bullish as some delusional bulls think. $150-200-250k $BTC & $ETH price discovery, don't expect that in 2026.
This is a reset year before the biggest bull run we've ever had — 2027-2029 🚀
This is a reset year before the biggest bull run we've ever had — 2027-2029 🚀
CryptoBullet
There's no chance this year is gonna be as bullish as some delusional bulls think. $150-200-250k $BTC & $ETH price discovery, don't expect that in 2026. This is a reset year before the biggest bull run we've ever had — 2027-2029 🚀
A reset year doesn't necessarily have to be super bearish for #Alts like the 2018 or 2022 bear market years because #OTHERSBTC looks like this on the monthly ☝️
CryptoBullet
❗️ The entire core dev team behind Zcash $ZEC resigned. All at once.
Bullish for $XMR 🤷♂️😁
Take a look at the $XMR #Monero monthly chart
Trying to break through the $460 ceiling for the 3rd time in the last 8 years! 👀
Looks very bullish to me.
$2k for 1 $XMR 👌
Trying to break through the $460 ceiling for the 3rd time in the last 8 years! 👀
Looks very bullish to me.
$2k for 1 $XMR 👌
CryptoBullet
$SUI is finally bouncing! The most oversold RSI on the 3D & 1D since 2023 👀 This one is due for a very good bounce. 🎯 Target 1 - $1.9-2.2
$SUI 3D update
$SUI did exactly what I expected: pulled back to $1.4 and then pumped into the Major S/R horizontal - $1.9 Target hit ✅
Now I’m expecting higher prices after a small correction. Still think we could see $2.8 $SUI soon
$SUI did exactly what I expected: pulled back to $1.4 and then pumped into the Major S/R horizontal - $1.9 Target hit ✅
Now I’m expecting higher prices after a small correction. Still think we could see $2.8 $SUI soon
CryptoBullet
It's time to pay attention to $XMR again Looks like it wants to go much higher 🧐 🎯 $770 (1.618 Fib)
$XMR is rallying as expected 📈😎
Approaching my $770 target
Approaching my $770 target
$LTC chart looks almost identical to the $XMR chart 👀
Peaked in the same week in 2017 and 2021. Made a slight higher high in 2021 and made a macro higher low in 2022. $LTC has shown the same relative strength since 2022 Bear Market Bottom
We all know that $LTC pump is coming sooner or later.
We just don't know the catalyst and the narrative yet
🚀 🤫
Peaked in the same week in 2017 and 2021. Made a slight higher high in 2021 and made a macro higher low in 2022. $LTC has shown the same relative strength since 2022 Bear Market Bottom
We all know that $LTC pump is coming sooner or later.
We just don't know the catalyst and the narrative yet
🚀 🤫