CryptoBullet
$SOL had a great monthly close. It held the Key Horizontal level As I said, we will spend several months above that level before the inevitable breakdown Target/Rejection Zone: $190-230
Update
So, $SOL reached my $190-230 Target/Rejection Zone and thatβs exactly where $SOL got rejected π¨ππ
Currently $SOL is testing the Key Horizontal Support again and I think $SOL will bounce one more time
In 2026 that Key Horizontal will be broken π
So, $SOL reached my $190-230 Target/Rejection Zone and thatβs exactly where $SOL got rejected π¨ππ
Currently $SOL is testing the Key Horizontal Support again and I think $SOL will bounce one more time
In 2026 that Key Horizontal will be broken π
CryptoBullet
$ETH 1D chart One more dip to $2700-2800 π Thatβs where Iβm planing to go long π― Bounce Target: $3600-3800 (combination of MA200 & key Fib levels)
2022 $ETH Fractal fits perfectly here π
CryptoBullet
2022 $ETH Fractal fits perfectly here π
$ETH is mimicking the 2022 price action π§
Bearish Invalidation: if $ETH breaks the Support
If that happens, $ETH could fall to $2200-2400 before bouncing back to the 200-Day MA
Bullish Invalidation: if $ETH breaks above the 200-Day MA
In that case I will flip bullish again
Bearish Invalidation: if $ETH breaks the Support
If that happens, $ETH could fall to $2200-2400 before bouncing back to the 200-Day MA
Bullish Invalidation: if $ETH breaks above the 200-Day MA
In that case I will flip bullish again
CryptoBullet
$BCH looks surprisingly strong on the weekly π§ $ZEC has already broken its 2021 Top, so maybe $BCH will follow suit
$BCH looks very bullish here π
CryptoBullet
#BTC Looks like a series of Higher Lows π€ And we only have 3 days to close the yearly candle green
Nice breakout attempt lol π
Nasty rejection
Nasty rejection
'If 2025 closes red, does that mean the 4-year cycle is dead? Yearly chart pattern is 3 green 1 red candle'
No, it will just confirm that we're in a Bear Market.
The #BTC yearly candle is going to close as a Doji candle at the top - a classic reversal signal. Next year will be deep in the red π©Έ
The yearly chart pattern is 3 green 1 red, that's right, and closing 2025 red would break that pattern, but what's more important is that $BTC made a new ATH (Cycle Top) THIS year. So closing the post halving year red is not a problem in this case.
π The 4-year cycle is not about the colour of the yearly candles, it's about when we create the Top & the Bottom
No, it will just confirm that we're in a Bear Market.
The #BTC yearly candle is going to close as a Doji candle at the top - a classic reversal signal. Next year will be deep in the red π©Έ
The yearly chart pattern is 3 green 1 red, that's right, and closing 2025 red would break that pattern, but what's more important is that $BTC made a new ATH (Cycle Top) THIS year. So closing the post halving year red is not a problem in this case.
π The 4-year cycle is not about the colour of the yearly candles, it's about when we create the Top & the Bottom
2025 was supposed to be the best year of the 4-year cycle
Instead, a lot of people got absolutely destroyed
but DJT and his friends made a lot of money : )
Instead, a lot of people got absolutely destroyed
but DJT and his friends made a lot of money : )
IMO the worst year for crypto was 2022 because of Luna/UST & FTX
But 2025 was the second-worst year for crypto π―
But 2025 was the second-worst year for crypto π―
My 2026 Bear Market Bottom Targets:
#BTC $40k +/-5k
$ETH $1000-1300
$SOL $30-40
$BNB $400-500
Happy 2026! π π§¨
#BTC $40k +/-5k
$ETH $1000-1300
$SOL $30-40
$BNB $400-500
Happy 2026! π π§¨
#BTC 2025 candle looks very bad
If you think that wasnβt the Cycle Top and in 2026 $BTC will somehow go to a new ATH, youβre an idiot
If you think that wasnβt the Cycle Top and in 2026 $BTC will somehow go to a new ATH, youβre an idiot
CryptoBullet
#BITCOIN MACRO CHART UPDATE Weβve already spent several MONTHS in my Purple Topping Zone πͺ π Bull Market Top: $100-130k - DONE! β
π 4-Year cycle has come to an end. If youβre still holding $BTC, in my opinion itβs time to take profits and prepare for aβ¦
#BITCOIN MACRO CHART | New Cycle
October 2026 - $BTC Bear Market Bottom around $40k π
Next Cycle Top in September 2029 between $172-203k π
October 2026 - $BTC Bear Market Bottom around $40k π
Next Cycle Top in September 2029 between $172-203k π
Let me explain my $40k +/-5k #BTC Bear Market Bottom Target
One of the Key indicators that I pay attention to during bear markets is #BTC Realized Price
[ Realized Price is value of all coins in circulation at the price they last moved, in other words an approximation of what the entire market paid for their coins ]
Every Bear Market #Bitcoin tests the Realized Price level and breaks below it π
In 2011 #BTC went -66% below the Realized Price
In 2015 #BTC went -48% below the Realized Price
In 2018 #BTC went -35% below the Realized Price
In 2022 #BTC went -33% below the Realized Price
One of the Key indicators that I pay attention to during bear markets is #BTC Realized Price
[ Realized Price is value of all coins in circulation at the price they last moved, in other words an approximation of what the entire market paid for their coins ]
Every Bear Market #Bitcoin tests the Realized Price level and breaks below it π
In 2011 #BTC went -66% below the Realized Price
In 2015 #BTC went -48% below the Realized Price
In 2018 #BTC went -35% below the Realized Price
In 2022 #BTC went -33% below the Realized Price
CryptoBullet
Let me explain my $40k +/-5k #BTC Bear Market Bottom Target One of the Key indicators that I pay attention to during bear markets is #BTC Realized Price [ Realized Price is value of all coins in circulation at the price they last moved, in other wordsβ¦
In 2026 weβll also see #BTC going below the Realized Price (currently sitting at $56k)
Keep in mind that in Bear Markets the Realized Price usually slowly declines, so the levels might slightly change.
If weβre gonna repeat the 2022 Bear Market, -33% below the Realized Price would be $37.4k. As I mentioned, the Realized Price will likely decline this year, so by Q3-Q4 in can be at $53-54k and -33% would be around $35k. Thatβs the lowest I could see #BTC go this year.
As we can see, over the years BTC Volatility has decreased and the distance between the market Price and Realized Price has narrowed: from -66% in 2011 to -33% in 2022
So I believe in 2026 we will have something between -24% & -31% below the Realized Price which means $40-43k
Thatβs basically how I came up with my $35-45k Bear Market Bottom Target using this on-chain indicator
Keep in mind that in Bear Markets the Realized Price usually slowly declines, so the levels might slightly change.
If weβre gonna repeat the 2022 Bear Market, -33% below the Realized Price would be $37.4k. As I mentioned, the Realized Price will likely decline this year, so by Q3-Q4 in can be at $53-54k and -33% would be around $35k. Thatβs the lowest I could see #BTC go this year.
As we can see, over the years BTC Volatility has decreased and the distance between the market Price and Realized Price has narrowed: from -66% in 2011 to -33% in 2022
So I believe in 2026 we will have something between -24% & -31% below the Realized Price which means $40-43k
Thatβs basically how I came up with my $35-45k Bear Market Bottom Target using this on-chain indicator