Well well well, #BTC Longs on Bitfinex are at the highest level since April 2025 😏
Dead Cat Bounce is coming 🔜 📈
Dead Cat Bounce is coming 🔜 📈
CryptoBullet
#BTC #OTHERSBTC & Fed’s Balance Sheet
#BTC Cycle Top is in. #OTHERSBTC ( #Alts against #BTC) has bottomed out. How is that even possible?
Well, actually, it’s nothing new. We had the same situation back in September 2019 👈
That's when #BTC was consolidating -30% below the Top after an intense 7-month rally off the bear market bottom and #OTEHRSBTC was sitting at the cycle low.
That's exactly what we have right now, but on a bigger scale:
- #BTC was going up for much longer (35 months instead of 7 months in 2018-2019)
- #OTEHRSBTC has been going down for 4 years straight! (more than twice as long as the previous OTHERS/BTC bear market)
And one more thing - the Fed just ended QT on Dec 1, 2025 (yesterday) 📍
When did we have that in the previous cycle? Yep, in September 2019!
So we're in a pretty similar environment right now.
Back then #BTC had a -63% pullback while #OTHERSBTC rose by +65% (and kept going up until #BTC went parabolic from $11k to $40k)
Conclusion: #BTC has topped out like in 2019, but this time it's the Cycle Top. On October 10 $OTHERSBTC likely reached the Cycle Bottom, no more serious bleeding for #Alts against #BTC.
👉 Next Year I'm expecting a nasty #BTC correction (Bear Market);
👉 In the next 2-3 months I’m expecting a good Bounce on #OTHERSBTC (liquidity rotation/mini Altseason) during the #BTC Dead Cat Bounce;
👉 In 2019-2020 #OTHERSBTC was going up (Relief Rally) while #BTCUSD was going down, so maybe we'll have the same throughout 2026.
💡 Crazy Parabolic Phase on #Alts (the big Altseason) will only happen in the next cycle (2027-2029)
Well, actually, it’s nothing new. We had the same situation back in September 2019 👈
That's when #BTC was consolidating -30% below the Top after an intense 7-month rally off the bear market bottom and #OTEHRSBTC was sitting at the cycle low.
That's exactly what we have right now, but on a bigger scale:
- #BTC was going up for much longer (35 months instead of 7 months in 2018-2019)
- #OTEHRSBTC has been going down for 4 years straight! (more than twice as long as the previous OTHERS/BTC bear market)
And one more thing - the Fed just ended QT on Dec 1, 2025 (yesterday) 📍
When did we have that in the previous cycle? Yep, in September 2019!
So we're in a pretty similar environment right now.
Back then #BTC had a -63% pullback while #OTHERSBTC rose by +65% (and kept going up until #BTC went parabolic from $11k to $40k)
Conclusion: #BTC has topped out like in 2019, but this time it's the Cycle Top. On October 10 $OTHERSBTC likely reached the Cycle Bottom, no more serious bleeding for #Alts against #BTC.
👉 Next Year I'm expecting a nasty #BTC correction (Bear Market);
👉 In the next 2-3 months I’m expecting a good Bounce on #OTHERSBTC (liquidity rotation/mini Altseason) during the #BTC Dead Cat Bounce;
👉 In 2019-2020 #OTHERSBTC was going up (Relief Rally) while #BTCUSD was going down, so maybe we'll have the same throughout 2026.
💡 Crazy Parabolic Phase on #Alts (the big Altseason) will only happen in the next cycle (2027-2029)
#OTHERSBTC 1M chart | TA Picture
This picture is insanely bullish for #Altcoins
Despite the October 10 Crash, #OTHERSBTC held the Support line!
+ There's a Bullish Divergence on the MACD Histogram & MACD is printing a bullish cross 👀
👉 Selling #Alts here at the bottom of the 4-year Bear Market is a mistake.
As long as the Support holds, we’re in for a 2-3 Year Macro Uptrend on #Alts against #BTC 📈
This picture is insanely bullish for #Altcoins
Despite the October 10 Crash, #OTHERSBTC held the Support line!
+ There's a Bullish Divergence on the MACD Histogram & MACD is printing a bullish cross 👀
👉 Selling #Alts here at the bottom of the 4-year Bear Market is a mistake.
As long as the Support holds, we’re in for a 2-3 Year Macro Uptrend on #Alts against #BTC 📈
CryptoBullet
$BCH looks surprisingly strong on the weekly 🧐 $ZEC has already broken its 2021 Top, so maybe $BCH will follow suit
$BCH update
Still looks strong 👀
Still looks strong 👀
CryptoBullet
$RUT (Russell2000 / US Small Cap 2000 Index) has broken out of a Giant Cup & Handle 👀👀 Whenever $RUT breaks out into price discovery, #Altcoins literally explode to the upside 🔥🚀 $RUT breakout in November 2016 - #TOTAL2 +120,000% $RUT breakout in November…
$RUT Russell 2000 is breaking out again 👀👀
This is another reason why I'm still holding my $Alts
This is another reason why I'm still holding my $Alts
CryptoBullet
Even though I think $SOL is cooked, I still expect a good bounce (Dead Cat Bounce) in the medium term 📈 Imo $SOL will spend several months above Key Support before the inevitable breakdown 📉 It will be one giant Distribution above the $110 level
2026 will be absolutely amazing for #Solana $SOL 📉😁
#BTC 1M chart
Why I’m expecting a decent Dead Cat Bounce BEFORE going below $80k 📉
👉 EMA21 is a key Support level
When #BTC tops out and prints its first wave of a Bear Market, it usually finds Support at the EMA21 on the monthly timeframe and bounces back up 📈 (Lower High)
After that Dead Cat Bounce the EMA21 eventually breaks and #BTC accelerates to the downside 📉📉
Why I’m expecting a decent Dead Cat Bounce BEFORE going below $80k 📉
👉 EMA21 is a key Support level
When #BTC tops out and prints its first wave of a Bear Market, it usually finds Support at the EMA21 on the monthly timeframe and bounces back up 📈 (Lower High)
After that Dead Cat Bounce the EMA21 eventually breaks and #BTC accelerates to the downside 📉📉
The more I look at the weekly #BTC chart, the more it reminds me of the Top in Q1-Q2 2021
It’s literally the same topping structure 👌
It’s literally the same topping structure 👌
CryptoBullet
$RUT Russell 2000 is breaking out again 👀👀 This is another reason why I'm still holding my $Alts
$RUT Russell 2000 update
New ATH. Entering price discovery 👀
New ATH. Entering price discovery 👀
#TOTAL 2021-2022 vs 2025-2026
We’re literally mimicking the 2021-2022 Distribution Pattern
📉🎯 H1 2026 Target - $1.96T
We’re literally mimicking the 2021-2022 Distribution Pattern
📉🎯 H1 2026 Target - $1.96T
$OTHERS 1M chart
If we look at the big picture, this cycle has been nothing but noise within a giant Accumulation structure
Currently we’re sitting at the EMA50 Support and if we lose it next year (which I think is likely) we’ll drop to $110-140B and finish wave C
That would be the macro Higher Low 👌
In 2027-2028 we’ll definitely break out of this multi-year Accumulation 📈
If we look at the big picture, this cycle has been nothing but noise within a giant Accumulation structure
Currently we’re sitting at the EMA50 Support and if we lose it next year (which I think is likely) we’ll drop to $110-140B and finish wave C
That would be the macro Higher Low 👌
In 2027-2028 we’ll definitely break out of this multi-year Accumulation 📈
I was a big $AXL supporter/holder and I hope Axelar has a bright future, but this seems bad for the token since the project lost all of their core developers to Circle. Good for Circle and Axelar devs, bad for $AXL community.
Maybe the CommonPrefix team will cook but I'm not so bullish on Axelar anymore.
👉 We'll see more of this in the future. For example, what stops someone from buying Aave Labs and the Aave IP, leaving the $AAVE token and community in the dust?
Tokens ≠ Equity ❗️🤷♂️
Maybe the CommonPrefix team will cook but I'm not so bullish on Axelar anymore.
👉 We'll see more of this in the future. For example, what stops someone from buying Aave Labs and the Aave IP, leaving the $AAVE token and community in the dust?
Tokens ≠ Equity ❗️🤷♂️