$W 1D

Did you see that Volume?? 👀

Back in October 2024 I was very confident in a new #BTC ATH but not now.

According to the #BTC Puell Multiple indicator we had one last leg up on Price and as you can see we got it - #BTC went from $60k to $110k 📈

But the problem is we didn’t get a Higher High on the indicator 🤔

So now we have a Higher High on Price and a Lower High on Puell Multiple - that’s a BEARISH Divergence❗️

We had this Bearish Divergence only 2 times - Cycle Top in 2013 & Cycle Top in 2021

This is something to think about if you’re a #BTC bull

Here’s another one - #Bitcoin MVRV

That white Resistance Line 👌

IMO #BTC upside is limited here

Let's talk about $ETH 🧵

I don't understand #Ethereum's poor performance this cycle. ETFs are not willing to buy it. Staking ETF can be a game changer but we're running out of time (~ 160-280 days of the cycle left)

$ETH has a very strange market structure this cycle.

$ETH/USD hasn't been able to even break the 0.786 Fib (tried 3 times!)

Note that in 2022 $ETH was stronger than #BTC: it found the bottom in June and didn't make a lower low since then (unlike #BTC which broke that June's low in November on the FTX crash)

It's been almost a year since the #BTC halving, and $ETH/BTC keeps making new lows!

So what we have here:

- ETHUSD - weird market structure that actually looks corrective (no impulse)

- ETHBTC just keeps falling

- We're running out of time (this cycle has like 9 months left)

- QE ain’t coming soon
- Trade wars

- $ETH community has to come up with something new to take advantage of the new ramified L2 infrastructure

So what if $ETH is just in a bigger cycle than we all think? 🤔

Think about it : the cycle is coming to an end and $ETHBTC keeps making new lows. We don’t have the time for a proper ETH/BTC uptrend, what we can get this year is just a relief bounce 📈🤷‍♂️

Other big caps like $XRP $ADA $XLM had a great pump in Nov-Dec, but somehow we didn't get a new $ETH ATH 🤷‍♂️

What I'm trying to say is that $ETH could be the lame duck of the cycle. Crowded coin that just can't pump with so many people on board.

In 2021 this lame duck was $XRP - it also had a weird market structure during that bull, no impulse and didn't manage to break its previous cycle top.

$ETH vs $XRP | 1 Cycle behind

Instead of pumping to a new ATH it took almost 4 more years for $XRP to build the giant accumulation structure - Symmetric Triangle - and finally $XRP melted faces in Nov-Dec 2024 🚀

So what if $ETH cycle top is in and it's gonna print a giant Accumulation Structure (a Triangle or a Zigzag) and break out of it, say, in 2028? 🤔

In that case we would accumulate more energy for a breakout and, as the result, the targets would be much higher 🚀

#Ethereum Medium Term Perspective

This month $ETH hit the 300-Week MA. In its history, $ETH hit the 300-Week MA only 2 times: in June 2022 (bear market bottom) and this month - March 2025

Even if you're a bear, you can't deny that we hit a very important Support level and we're in for a good mid-term bounce 📈

🎯 My Target for the bounce is $2900-3200

Once my target is reached, we will re-evaluate.

$BNB 1W update

$BNB is holding up nicely! One of the few coins that didn’t violate the macro structure.

I’m still waiting for that third Higher High to complete the Rising Wedge

$CAT is a #BSC token that reacts well to $BNB pumps : in Feb $BNB pumped by 22% and $CAT moved by +63%

Now if BNB makes a new ATH like I still expect, CAT can easily break out of this multi-month Falling Wedge

$SUI 1D linear chart update

$SUI reclaims the yearly EMA 💪

$WAL listing coming tomorrow which will be big for $SUI ecosystem 🔥

Holding tight!

$WAL IS NOW LIVE AND TRADING!

#Walrus beat #Arweave from the start! What an epic airdrop & listing 🔥

This why $SUI is the best crypto project of the cycle 🥇

$GOLD #XAU update

In August 2022 I was very bullish on GOLD. Look where we are now 😎

Ngl Gold has gone up much higher than I expected back then

As we're approaching the 2.618 Fib, I think we’re topping out and a mid-term correction is coming

$ADA Macro update

Nice correction 👌
I believe one last pump is coming

Target 2 remains

The WORST Q1 in #Ethereum history 🤮

Q2 has to be green 🤞