According to the 4-Year Cycle Theory, this cycle should end in October-November 2025. So we basically have 8 months to see #Altseason ⌛️

Given the poor performance of $ETH & #ALTs that we have seen so far, do you believe this cycle can break the classic 4-year cycle and last another year (2026)? 🤔

The 18-year real estate cycle 🧐

2025 - 'Winners Curse'
2026 - Cycle Peak

What a strong recovery! $ZRO 💪

$ZRO is doing what $SUI did in August 2024 😏

Few.

$ZK 1D chart

Copy-pasted the 2020-2021 $ADA PA (post Covid crash)

Just for fun (or maybe not, who knows 🤭)

$W #Wormhole 1W chart update

$W is finally showing first signs of strength. Today’s pump is exactly what I was waiting for.

Good chance March 11 was the bottom.
Yes, I didn’t expect it to go that low but if that was needed to reset the market and clear the way to new highs, then I’m okay with that.

The BTC.D chart still gives me hope. My expectations are almost the same - New ATH for $W

$W 1D

Did you see that Volume?? 👀

Back in October 2024 I was very confident in a new #BTC ATH but not now.

According to the #BTC Puell Multiple indicator we had one last leg up on Price and as you can see we got it - #BTC went from $60k to $110k 📈

But the problem is we didn’t get a Higher High on the indicator 🤔

So now we have a Higher High on Price and a Lower High on Puell Multiple - that’s a BEARISH Divergence❗️

We had this Bearish Divergence only 2 times - Cycle Top in 2013 & Cycle Top in 2021

This is something to think about if you’re a #BTC bull

Here’s another one - #Bitcoin MVRV

That white Resistance Line 👌

IMO #BTC upside is limited here

Let's talk about $ETH 🧵

I don't understand #Ethereum's poor performance this cycle. ETFs are not willing to buy it. Staking ETF can be a game changer but we're running out of time (~ 160-280 days of the cycle left)

$ETH has a very strange market structure this cycle.

$ETH/USD hasn't been able to even break the 0.786 Fib (tried 3 times!)

Note that in 2022 $ETH was stronger than #BTC: it found the bottom in June and didn't make a lower low since then (unlike #BTC which broke that June's low in November on the FTX crash)

It's been almost a year since the #BTC halving, and $ETH/BTC keeps making new lows!

So what we have here:

- ETHUSD - weird market structure that actually looks corrective (no impulse)

- ETHBTC just keeps falling

- We're running out of time (this cycle has like 9 months left)

- QE ain’t coming soon
- Trade wars

- $ETH community has to come up with something new to take advantage of the new ramified L2 infrastructure

So what if $ETH is just in a bigger cycle than we all think? 🤔

Think about it : the cycle is coming to an end and $ETHBTC keeps making new lows. We don’t have the time for a proper ETH/BTC uptrend, what we can get this year is just a relief bounce 📈🤷‍♂️

Other big caps like $XRP $ADA $XLM had a great pump in Nov-Dec, but somehow we didn't get a new $ETH ATH 🤷‍♂️

What I'm trying to say is that $ETH could be the lame duck of the cycle. Crowded coin that just can't pump with so many people on board.

In 2021 this lame duck was $XRP - it also had a weird market structure during that bull, no impulse and didn't manage to break its previous cycle top.

$ETH vs $XRP | 1 Cycle behind

Instead of pumping to a new ATH it took almost 4 more years for $XRP to build the giant accumulation structure - Symmetric Triangle - and finally $XRP melted faces in Nov-Dec 2024 🚀

So what if $ETH cycle top is in and it's gonna print a giant Accumulation Structure (a Triangle or a Zigzag) and break out of it, say, in 2028? 🤔

In that case we would accumulate more energy for a breakout and, as the result, the targets would be much higher 🚀

#Ethereum Medium Term Perspective

This month $ETH hit the 300-Week MA. In its history, $ETH hit the 300-Week MA only 2 times: in June 2022 (bear market bottom) and this month - March 2025

Even if you're a bear, you can't deny that we hit a very important Support level and we're in for a good mid-term bounce 📈

🎯 My Target for the bounce is $2900-3200

Once my target is reached, we will re-evaluate.

$BNB 1W update

$BNB is holding up nicely! One of the few coins that didn’t violate the macro structure.

I’m still waiting for that third Higher High to complete the Rising Wedge

$CAT is a #BSC token that reacts well to $BNB pumps : in Feb $BNB pumped by 22% and $CAT moved by +63%

Now if BNB makes a new ATH like I still expect, CAT can easily break out of this multi-month Falling Wedge