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๐Ÿ’ญ Whatโ€™s wrong with this cycle?? | Big Picture

#Bitcoin bottomed out in November 2022. Itโ€™s been โ€˜up onlyโ€™ for #BTC since then.

#OTHERSBTC has been going โ€˜down onlyโ€™ all this time.

This is why this cycle has been so bad for #Altcoin holders ๐Ÿ“‰๐Ÿคฎ

But what exactly went wrong and when? ๐Ÿค”
Letโ€™s take a deep dive into the market structure โฌ‡๏ธ

In 2015-2017 & 2019-2021 #OTHERSBTC and $BTC were rising in sync, but this time itโ€™s truly different.

In the early stages of the Bull Cycle things looked very similar to the previous cycle.
Take a look at two time periods: December 2018-August 2019 & November 2022-June 2023

$BTC bottoms out first, #OTHERSBTC makes a Lower Low in 6 months while $BTC rallies and switches the trend from Bear to Bull.

So in that period of time we have a Divergence between $BTC & #OTHERSBTC. We had that in 2019 and we had that in 2023.

August 2019 was the absolute bottom for #Alts against $BTC and we had a steady uptrend for the following 30 months!

This cycle we were on track to repeat the same pattern: #BTC bottomed out first, then it rallied and switched the trend from Bear to Bull while #Alts printed a Lower Low. June 2023 was supposed to be the ultimate bottom for #ALT/BTC pairs! We had a decent run up from June to January 2024, but then something broke โŒ

โ“Do you know what happened in January 2024? F*cking #Bitcoin ETFs got approved. Itโ€™s been โ€˜down onlyโ€™ for #Alts since then ๐Ÿ“‰๐Ÿ˜ตโ€๐Ÿ’ซ

So now we have this giant Divergence between the price of #Bitcoin (sitting at the all-time high) and #OTHERSBTC (sitting at the 4-year low) ๐Ÿ’โ€โ™‚๏ธ

I believe that eventually this Divergence will play out just like the one in Dec2018-Aug2019, but on a much bigger scale. It will be a MULTI-YEAR Uptrend for #OTHERSBTC ๐Ÿ“ˆ (probably next cycle | if talking about cycles is even appropriate now lol)


So thatโ€™s why I was wrong on #Alts in general. The prior cycleโ€™s playbook just didnโ€™t fit this time ๐Ÿคทโ€โ™‚๏ธ
Some #Alts like $SOL did exactly what I expected (made a new ATH), but thatโ€™s because coins like #Solana had a very strong narrative and they moved up with #BTC in sync. The rest are just waiting for a #BTC.D Meltdown and a steady #OTHERSBTC uptrend ๐Ÿ“ˆ
What the f*ck is this $ZEC monthly candle ๐Ÿ˜ฒ

Holy smokes! 5x in 1 month is insane!

Erased 4 years of downtrend and took out the 2021 High ๐Ÿ”ฅ

A sneak peek of what's coming to other #Alts
It's just a matter of time
I don't know what will be the catalyst, but $LTC will pump like $ZEC
$RUT (Russell2000 / US Small Cap 2000 Index) has broken out of a Giant Cup & Handle ๐Ÿ‘€๐Ÿ‘€

Whenever $RUT breaks out into price discovery, #Altcoins literally explode to the upside ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿš€

$RUT breakout in November 2016 - #TOTAL2 +120,000%
$RUT breakout in November 2020 - #TOTAL2 +915%
$RUT breakout in October 2025 - #TOTAL2 ???%

This is our last chance guys! $Alts are ready to go, we just need a major catalyst
December 2017 = #BTC Cycle Top
November 2021 = #BTC Cycle Top
October 2025 = #BTC Cycle Top??

Each cycle shifts by 1 Month ๐Ÿค”
Reality Check | #Bitcoin

We would need something extraordinary to break that Resistance line on the MVRV Z-Score

I mean something that can teleport #BTC ($2.2T asset) to $300k in a month or two. Ask yourself, how likely is that?
This #BTC weekly chart with a MASSIVE Bearish Divergence on the RSI is a true horror today

Happy Halloween! ๐Ÿ‘ป
Vitalik talks about ZKsync $ZK

Probably nothing, right?
$TAO 1M chart

Thatโ€™s a very strong Bullish Engulfing candle ๐Ÿ‘€
$SUI is ready for a good bounce on the daily ๐Ÿ‘€๐Ÿ“ˆ

Thereโ€™s a nice Bullish Divergence on the RSI
$BCH looks surprisingly strong on the weekly ๐Ÿง

$ZEC has already broken its 2021 Top, so maybe $BCH will follow suit
$ZK 1W chart

October 10 crash fully engulfed in 1 candle ๐Ÿ’ช

And look at the Volume! Biggest Volume EVER ๐Ÿ”ฅ

What happened over the weekend is a big wake-up call. I guess no one doubts ZKsync now

We still need to break that Resistance line, but it's only a matter of time
#Bitcoin 1M chart

Itโ€™s so over for #BTC that I donโ€™t even know what can save it ๐Ÿคทโ€โ™‚๏ธ

This does look like a Cycle Top. Very similar to the 2021 one.

- Bearish Divergence on RSI
- Bearish Divergence on Stoch RSI
- Similar Red monthly candle at the top
- Same 35 Months from the cycle bottom to top


โš ๏ธ Beware of the Bear
#BTC is puking but look at $ICP ๐Ÿ‘€

October 10 Crash fully engulfed!

Repeating the same pattern as in 2023 & 2024 but on a bigger scale ๐Ÿ‘Œ

I won't be surprised if $ICP pumps like $ZEC or $DASH