Since the beginning of the month, the metal has surged more than 40% and is on track for the best annual performance since 1951.
On the monthly chart, it's clear that everything was pretty straightforward! You buy when the major inflows hit in 2022! Hold for 3 years, and now the MP indicator shows the bubble is still inflating—insiders are exiting and locking in profits!
The weekly chart points to where the price will head over the next few months! The lines are dynamic, so keep an eye on them yourself or set alerts for the Take Profit indicator.
In just 12 hours, it bounced back almost cent-for-cent from the exit line on the Take Profit indicator.
The big question! What does this mean for the cryptocurrency market? Nothing! You could speculate and daydream about it forever! We can't know the insiders' real personal decisions—whether they'll redirect profits and liquidity into crypto tokens or not! Maybe they'll just cash out and live comfortably without the idiotic rollercoaster of the pointless speculative crypto market!
Or perhaps they'll want one more ride, skimming the cream first from silver, then gold, and only afterward from Bitcoin and the rest of that ragtag bunch of illiquid, uninteresting altcoins! Time will tell!
But I think the first metals bubble has popped—lightly, at least!
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On the monthly chart, it's clear that everything was pretty straightforward! You buy when the major inflows hit in 2022! Hold for 3 years, and now the MP indicator shows the bubble is still inflating—insiders are exiting and locking in profits!
The weekly chart points to where the price will head over the next few months! The lines are dynamic, so keep an eye on them yourself or set alerts for the Take Profit indicator.
In just 12 hours, it bounced back almost cent-for-cent from the exit line on the Take Profit indicator.
The big question! What does this mean for the cryptocurrency market? Nothing! You could speculate and daydream about it forever! We can't know the insiders' real personal decisions—whether they'll redirect profits and liquidity into crypto tokens or not! Maybe they'll just cash out and live comfortably without the idiotic rollercoaster of the pointless speculative crypto market!
Or perhaps they'll want one more ride, skimming the cream first from silver, then gold, and only afterward from Bitcoin and the rest of that ragtag bunch of illiquid, uninteresting altcoins! Time will tell!
But I think the first metals bubble has popped—lightly, at least!
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I keep being amazed by people who, like a blind herd, believe everything they read on the internet! Every time a project kicks off its marketing phase disguised as a testnet, activities, ambassador programs, paid posts to influencers! The crowd starts discussing the project's fundamentals with a smug air, how this project will just blow the minds of all crypto adepts, how we'll all happily use this system, this technology!
Then comes the sweet airdrop distribution! And everyone instantly forgets about the fundamentals and dumps all their drops and influencer allocations into the order books via market sells))
Venture funds just unload bags of tokens!
And this repeats year after year!
Of course, then we come up with a million excuses that it's a bear market, that retail and weak hands are selling! =)
And they've shown you -90% down, just plain because when you count from the top down, you can't see more than 99.9%, but open the chart and look from the current levels or from October 10th levels and the listing high point)) There it'll all be -500% just to break even!
The meme sector is the most honest sector in this whole industry!
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Then comes the sweet airdrop distribution! And everyone instantly forgets about the fundamentals and dumps all their drops and influencer allocations into the order books via market sells))
Venture funds just unload bags of tokens!
And this repeats year after year!
Of course, then we come up with a million excuses that it's a bear market, that retail and weak hands are selling! =)
And they've shown you -90% down, just plain because when you count from the top down, you can't see more than 99.9%, but open the chart and look from the current levels or from October 10th levels and the listing high point)) There it'll all be -500% just to break even!
The meme sector is the most honest sector in this whole industry!
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In one year, a total of $154,640,000,000 was liquidated in crypto 🙂
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BTC continue draw weirdest price action ever =) Looks like market makers gave a soft for interns for 2 month
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29 million crypto coins now! Does it look like this shit should solve some problems with current financial system?
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YT time
▶️ $DOGE - https://youtu.be/IqTnWBgeaRg
▶️ $RESOLV - https://youtu.be/TCmLlxeULsE
▶️ $WIF - https://youtu.be/S2mjSX6j2mQ
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BlackRock advises to think not in terms of cycles, but in terms of structures. Read global outlook for 2026 from BlackRock! (but yes crypto bros believe in 4 years cycles)
➖ READ
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🤝5
Honestly, I just can't wrap my head around how the general mass psychology can operate in such a ridiculously stupid way! I mean, everyone gets it—even these metrics show it! When there's zero interest in searches for Bitcoin or Crypto on Google or YouTube, that's the perfect time for buying and accumulating! In theory, everyone should be scooping it up right now and riding the wave up? But how the hell does it end up that people understand all this, yet they start buying and frantically searching YouTube for crypto, altcoins, Bitcoin exactly at the peak highs when you should be selling!? Even on my tiny little channel, I see the clear pattern! Token hits the top gainers—boom, everyone's hunting for news on it, analytics, and views spike! Market turns green, and suddenly everyone's chasing videos, insider tips, breakdowns!
Right now, the market's at rock bottom, and absolutely no one's searching or watching a damn thing!
Is mass psychology really that goddamn primitive?
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Right now, the market's at rock bottom, and absolutely no one's searching or watching a damn thing!
Is mass psychology really that goddamn primitive?
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I'm not a BTC maxi, and I'm not against BTC at all! I just never understood the fanatics—whether it's the BTC cult or XRP. As I've said before, the human brain is wired to hunt for patterns, confirmations, and setups where none actually exist! That's how conspiracy theories are born!
Sure, on a global scale, conspiracies and certain ideas do turn out to be true! But with BTC and its 4-year cycle model, halvings, and all that jazz, it's such an oversimplified framework—tailor-made for people who aren't used to looking beyond the surface or thinking critically at all! Why bother thinking when they've told you there's this orange coin that should pump every 4 years, then the miners' rewards get slashed and the coin should pump again! Why? Nobody's ever explained it!
It's just that, back then, the halving model was the only marketing gimmick tied to the tech side that could draw in users! How else was a brand-new asset, fresh out of nowhere in the world, supposed to grab attention? So they cooked up this price-growth stimulus like that! But the market's matured now—demand has exploded, enough to soak up any supply out there.
To me, the halving is more of a news event that rallies all the market's forces into a tight timeframe, making it easier to reboot the whole thing.
As far as I'm concerned, the whole story about halvings driving BTC's cycles and growth is pure fiction! On the chart, they've just slapped on the Bitcoin halvings, and down at the bottom is the RUT (Russell 2000)—that's the index of 2,000 small-cap companies across all sorts of sectors!
How does it end up that the reactions on the charts are identical? Are people buying stocks in companies based on the halving of some made-up digital coin? Or is it way simpler: global investors, riding favorable market vibes in the moment, just pile into risk assets—and that includes both Bitcoin and those 2,000 small-cap companies
And for all you BTC diehards to chew on: The RUT index kicked off in the late '80s!
Thirty years before that orange coin even showed up!
Every asset—especially in crypto—needs some kind of hook, a legend, a mystery! Something to stir up the buzz! So let's not keep dragging in the halving as some magical force! Just like we shouldn't put blind faith in these so-called cycles!
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Sure, on a global scale, conspiracies and certain ideas do turn out to be true! But with BTC and its 4-year cycle model, halvings, and all that jazz, it's such an oversimplified framework—tailor-made for people who aren't used to looking beyond the surface or thinking critically at all! Why bother thinking when they've told you there's this orange coin that should pump every 4 years, then the miners' rewards get slashed and the coin should pump again! Why? Nobody's ever explained it!
It's just that, back then, the halving model was the only marketing gimmick tied to the tech side that could draw in users! How else was a brand-new asset, fresh out of nowhere in the world, supposed to grab attention? So they cooked up this price-growth stimulus like that! But the market's matured now—demand has exploded, enough to soak up any supply out there.
To me, the halving is more of a news event that rallies all the market's forces into a tight timeframe, making it easier to reboot the whole thing.
As far as I'm concerned, the whole story about halvings driving BTC's cycles and growth is pure fiction! On the chart, they've just slapped on the Bitcoin halvings, and down at the bottom is the RUT (Russell 2000)—that's the index of 2,000 small-cap companies across all sorts of sectors!
How does it end up that the reactions on the charts are identical? Are people buying stocks in companies based on the halving of some made-up digital coin? Or is it way simpler: global investors, riding favorable market vibes in the moment, just pile into risk assets—and that includes both Bitcoin and those 2,000 small-cap companies
And for all you BTC diehards to chew on: The RUT index kicked off in the late '80s!
Thirty years before that orange coin even showed up!
Every asset—especially in crypto—needs some kind of hook, a legend, a mystery! Something to stir up the buzz! So let's not keep dragging in the halving as some magical force! Just like we shouldn't put blind faith in these so-called cycles!
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Second time in a history $BTC 3 month in a row October/November/December red =)
2025 and 2018!
Wait but how about stupid cliche UPtober, Moonvember?!
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2025 and 2018!
Wait but how about stupid cliche UPtober, Moonvember?!
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Only 12% of 2025 Token Sales Are Still Profitable
In 2025, 533 public token sales took place. Only 63 tokens are still trading above their sale price. 🚀 #tothemoon with technology!
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In 2025, 533 public token sales took place. Only 63 tokens are still trading above their sale price. 🚀 #tothemoon with technology!
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YT time
▶️ $WCT - https://youtu.be/hRSgGi2uW_M
▶️ $BCH - https://youtu.be/nkPA174rm7I
▶️ $ENA - https://youtu.be/PFfQG7qLGyI
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So, what do we have as of December 31, 2025! There's a high chance that if Bitcoin doesn't miraculously surge to 95,000 today and close out the year with a green candle, all the lovers and fanatics of the 4-year cycle, the enthusiasts of useless patterns (beyond which they know absolutely nothing else), and Bitcoin fans in general will once again shit the bed!
How the hell does it happen that Bitcoin never fell below its previous all-time high, but it did in 2022, then hit a new ATH before the halving, then ETFs got approved—and now there's a strong possibility that all the fans will have to scramble for a new excuse, like, how the fuck did the old pattern fail again!
Of course, I'd be thrilled if Bitcoin just blasted off to 100k right now, but reality sometimes has other plans!
What does this chart tell us? That just because something worked 1-2 times doesn't mean it'll repeat forever! The market's always in flux, the world's in flux, which means the rules of the game aren't as straightforward as they seem to those OG investors who randomly struck it rich by sheer luck and now have no clue what's even going on!
Bottom line: We work with what's in front of us right now, without fanatical attachment to totally random patterns!
In the future, I think the crypto market will speed up—no more cycles! There weren't really any to begin with, and now it'll just be faster! Meaning, we could see, for example, 2 years of growth followed by 2 years of decline, then 1 year up, 1.5 years down! Macro factors, geopolitics, and politics are starting to weave way too tightly into blockchain! And this isn't just about Bitcoin—it's the whole crypto market!
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How the hell does it happen that Bitcoin never fell below its previous all-time high, but it did in 2022, then hit a new ATH before the halving, then ETFs got approved—and now there's a strong possibility that all the fans will have to scramble for a new excuse, like, how the fuck did the old pattern fail again!
Of course, I'd be thrilled if Bitcoin just blasted off to 100k right now, but reality sometimes has other plans!
What does this chart tell us? That just because something worked 1-2 times doesn't mean it'll repeat forever! The market's always in flux, the world's in flux, which means the rules of the game aren't as straightforward as they seem to those OG investors who randomly struck it rich by sheer luck and now have no clue what's even going on!
Bottom line: We work with what's in front of us right now, without fanatical attachment to totally random patterns!
In the future, I think the crypto market will speed up—no more cycles! There weren't really any to begin with, and now it'll just be faster! Meaning, we could see, for example, 2 years of growth followed by 2 years of decline, then 1 year up, 1.5 years down! Macro factors, geopolitics, and politics are starting to weave way too tightly into blockchain! And this isn't just about Bitcoin—it's the whole crypto market!
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5👍10
Ethereum holders are either believers in the technology, staking enthusiasts, insiders, or just folks who buy ETH for the long haul!
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5🔥1
Oh, it looks like 2026 could be an excellent year for regulating the crypto market! If before, crypto exchanges always denied taking money for token listings—from 150k to half a million! Now they're straight-up launching discounted sales of listing spots! If you've got a shitcoin and a budget, go ahead—give it a shot!
Sounds like I'm anti-crypto? Nah, of course not! I'm just against listing an endless flood of tokens that are straight-up blatant scams, only for those same exchanges to send a notification 5-6 months later: "Sorry, but based on our project vetting approach, the next 10-100 tokens are getting delisted!" =)
Regulation won't kill the market—it'll just make it more mature! And hey, you can still trade shitcoins in bots or just swap 'em on exchangers!
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Sounds like I'm anti-crypto? Nah, of course not! I'm just against listing an endless flood of tokens that are straight-up blatant scams, only for those same exchanges to send a notification 5-6 months later: "Sorry, but based on our project vetting approach, the next 10-100 tokens are getting delisted!" =)
Regulation won't kill the market—it'll just make it more mature! And hey, you can still trade shitcoins in bots or just swap 'em on exchangers!
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The token unlock system has wrecked altcoins more than Pumpfun
In January, we'll kick off the year with 5.2B USD in value unlocks =)
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In January, we'll kick off the year with 5.2B USD in value unlocks =)
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Friends, the year was a tough one! But the crypto market—and markets in general—will always keep on ticking! The key is to look after your health, your family, and your loved ones! Instead of a big reflective post, I just want to wish us all strength and calm. Happy New Year 2026! Thanks to everyone who's joined the C4L community!
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Another issue in the crypto space is when certain things get slapped with the "web3" or "crypto" prefix and are presented as something unique, new, and fresh—when in reality, it's just a basic model straight off AliExpress! The main trick is to add some engraving when ordering the default factory model! It's sad, and it's starting to make me ashamed of the crypto sphere as a whole! It's turning into this fake-ass world of "fake it till you make it." But here, even the "make it" part will never actually arrive.)
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