Forwarded from Crypto4light Chat (Creator)
people have a habbits when they analyze btc by historical narratives like we never drop lower than previous ath) but we did it) so all model with all this halving 4 year cycle etc only up is can be broke and changed.
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BTC at current moment -16.7% down the worst November in last 6 years 🙂
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$SOL leads all L1 and L2 networks combined in trading volume of tokenized stocks, maintaining over 95% of the market for four consecutive months (July–October 2025). so why do we need so many useless l1 and l2?
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Top 10 hacks and exploits by funds lost this autumn! Nice))) Welcome to defi!
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The Strategy now includes the option to offload Bitcoin holdings. The narrative is shifting fast—from vows to "buy relentlessly, HODL forever, and never sell"—to a more pragmatic stance: "We're open to liquidating BTC if it safeguards our equity positions." Expect sales if Bitcoin's market cap eclipses the company's valuation, which could crush the stock price.
This is obvious even to a 5-year-old! Has anyone ever wondered why hoard something forever without ever cashing in on the profits or pocketing the price gains to stack even more? But people just eat up this fairy tale about some lone hero supposedly fighting the system)) But he's actually suckering in the gullible folks into an even shittier setup—one that's run by the same assholes who built the original system, and now they've got their hooks in both! Meanwhile, this dude's playing messiah, but he'll go bankrupt soon enough—it's just a matter of time! And the real issue here isn't Bitcoin itself! That asset's gonna be fine; like any other, it'll stick around with us for the long haul, pumping and dumping, pumping and dumping! It's the companies that'll keep filing for bankruptcy.
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This is obvious even to a 5-year-old! Has anyone ever wondered why hoard something forever without ever cashing in on the profits or pocketing the price gains to stack even more? But people just eat up this fairy tale about some lone hero supposedly fighting the system)) But he's actually suckering in the gullible folks into an even shittier setup—one that's run by the same assholes who built the original system, and now they've got their hooks in both! Meanwhile, this dude's playing messiah, but he'll go bankrupt soon enough—it's just a matter of time! And the real issue here isn't Bitcoin itself! That asset's gonna be fine; like any other, it'll stick around with us for the long haul, pumping and dumping, pumping and dumping! It's the companies that'll keep filing for bankruptcy.
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The Fed has announced the end of the QT program starting December 1.
QT (Quantitative Tightening) is the opposite of quantitative easing (QE). During QE, the Fed buys bonds and injects liquidity into the economy to support it. Under QT, the Fed stops new purchases and lets its balance sheet shrink naturally to curb inflation. Okay its to complicated)) Let's see in simple words for us who are in fancy virtual coins))
📉 QT makes loans more expensive, dampens risk appetite, and slows economic growth. So less gamblers who want put money in crypto casino
📈 QE, on the other hand, boosts markets and stimulates economic activity. Casino more fun + i think people will start get free 2000$ from Trump so they can gamble more and loose everything again!
In short: Starting December 1, the Fed will stop trimming its balance sheet, meaning it will cease "draining" money from the U.S. financial system. For us, this is just as significant a signal as the rate cut itself, indicating that the phase of monetary policy tightening has come to an end.
Outcomes of ending QT for us:
🚀 Liquidity in the system will increase, and market conditions will soften. (maybe))
🚀 Risk assets will benefit: stocks, gold, crypto—anything sensitive to money availability could rally or sustain growth.
🚀 Bond yields will stabilize and stop climbing higher.
🚀 The dollar will weaken (targets for DXY showed 2 years ago and nothing changed)
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QT (Quantitative Tightening) is the opposite of quantitative easing (QE). During QE, the Fed buys bonds and injects liquidity into the economy to support it. Under QT, the Fed stops new purchases and lets its balance sheet shrink naturally to curb inflation. Okay its to complicated)) Let's see in simple words for us who are in fancy virtual coins))
📉 QT makes loans more expensive, dampens risk appetite, and slows economic growth. So less gamblers who want put money in crypto casino
📈 QE, on the other hand, boosts markets and stimulates economic activity. Casino more fun + i think people will start get free 2000$ from Trump so they can gamble more and loose everything again!
In short: Starting December 1, the Fed will stop trimming its balance sheet, meaning it will cease "draining" money from the U.S. financial system. For us, this is just as significant a signal as the rate cut itself, indicating that the phase of monetary policy tightening has come to an end.
Outcomes of ending QT for us:
🚀 Liquidity in the system will increase, and market conditions will soften. (maybe))
🚀 Risk assets will benefit: stocks, gold, crypto—anything sensitive to money availability could rally or sustain growth.
🚀 Bond yields will stabilize and stop climbing higher.
🚀 The dollar will weaken (targets for DXY showed 2 years ago and nothing changed)
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$KAS middle term targets - Boost 📈 idea
I think Kaspa can bounce at least in middle term to yearly open 2025 + the same level its a first big liquidity pool!
On left side you can see pure 3 drives pattern! So congrats everyone who out in 2024 Because when on weekly tf after 11000% gains any asset form this pattern its so rare can move higher! Usually its a bearish sign!
We already sweep sell side liquidity and close first main M fvg! But like usual we have a most possible 2 scenarios!
- Negative we can drop to next m fvg and only after that bounce to yearly open
- Positive hold the line now close W fvg and after small retest going to yearly 2025 open next year!
MP indicator W - money inflow marked
Direction indicator - only now after 3 years we can see signals of accumulation
No rush and just add alerts to this indicators on W and chill)
#Kaspa
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I think Kaspa can bounce at least in middle term to yearly open 2025 + the same level its a first big liquidity pool!
On left side you can see pure 3 drives pattern! So congrats everyone who out in 2024 Because when on weekly tf after 11000% gains any asset form this pattern its so rare can move higher! Usually its a bearish sign!
We already sweep sell side liquidity and close first main M fvg! But like usual we have a most possible 2 scenarios!
- Negative we can drop to next m fvg and only after that bounce to yearly open
- Positive hold the line now close W fvg and after small retest going to yearly 2025 open next year!
MP indicator W - money inflow marked
Direction indicator - only now after 3 years we can see signals of accumulation
No rush and just add alerts to this indicators on W and chill)
#Kaspa
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How to work with a fresh charts!? Considering the structure and liquidity zones, determine where the price is currently located and where it is most likely to head next. Once the direction is clear, look at the points of interest (POI — point of interest), where a reaction can be expected. Within the point of interest, wait for confirmation before entering a position.
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Brilliant, isn’t it?
You inflate one bubble, cash out by selling your shares, then when the first bubble starts looking risky, you take that money and inflate a second bubble that’s supposedly going to ‘hedge’ or protect the first one.
Later they’ll come up with something else, but everyone understands that once the balloons pop, BlackRock will quietly scoop up all the confetti from this party at a discount.
But the idea isn’t bad. Saylor is doing an excellent job with marketing.
You inflate one bubble, cash out by selling your shares, then when the first bubble starts looking risky, you take that money and inflate a second bubble that’s supposedly going to ‘hedge’ or protect the first one.
Later they’ll come up with something else, but everyone understands that once the balloons pop, BlackRock will quietly scoop up all the confetti from this party at a discount.
But the idea isn’t bad. Saylor is doing an excellent job with marketing.
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Something happening behind the "breaking" news)
On December 1, 2025, the Fed "injected" $13.5 billion into the banking system.👀
Why is this important? This is the second-largest such "injection" in the last 5+ years (the first was during COVID). It even exceeds the peaks from the dot-com bubble era in the 2000s. The Fed usually does this quietly, without press conferences, because it's "technical support"—banks just need a temporary boost =)
This looks like covert policy easing—the Fed is quietly making money cheaper to avoid a crisis. Similar injections often precede periods of dollar liquidity shortages (when cash is scarce, and everything gets more expensive).
It's like "emergency aid" to the economy to avoid bank stress.
For us like small crypto retails its can be good, simply more money in the system (liquidity rises), people look for places to invest aka gamble chase easy money) flock to high-yield stuff like BTC, ETH, or altcoins.
More dollars in banks = easier loans = lower rates = more investments into crypto. Such injections often "fueled" bull runs in the past (crypto soared after COVID). Right now, after ending Quantitative Tightening (QT) on December 1, the Fed stops "sucking" money out of the market—this is like a green light for risk.
But be carefull volatility for BTC. For alts, this is a chance for a "run-up," as they're more sensitive to liquidity.
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On December 1, 2025, the Fed "injected" $13.5 billion into the banking system.
Why is this important? This is the second-largest such "injection" in the last 5+ years (the first was during COVID). It even exceeds the peaks from the dot-com bubble era in the 2000s. The Fed usually does this quietly, without press conferences, because it's "technical support"—banks just need a temporary boost =)
This looks like covert policy easing—the Fed is quietly making money cheaper to avoid a crisis. Similar injections often precede periods of dollar liquidity shortages (when cash is scarce, and everything gets more expensive).
It's like "emergency aid" to the economy to avoid bank stress.
For us like small crypto retails its can be good, simply more money in the system (liquidity rises), people look for places to invest aka gamble chase easy money) flock to high-yield stuff like BTC, ETH, or altcoins.
More dollars in banks = easier loans = lower rates = more investments into crypto. Such injections often "fueled" bull runs in the past (crypto soared after COVID). Right now, after ending Quantitative Tightening (QT) on December 1, the Fed stops "sucking" money out of the market—this is like a green light for risk.
But be carefull volatility for BTC. For alts, this is a chance for a "run-up," as they're more sensitive to liquidity.
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Others crypto cap chart! I think max what altcoins can reach this cycle around 600 billion capitalisation. 📈 CLICK
On the weekly chart, the main accumulation zone is marked by the lower block! It will also serve as the primary zone if the market is gearing up for another drop across the broad altcoin market! I believe that in this cycle, it's not just a handover among investors, but also a market cleanse from projects that won't survive this cycle!
In the long term, I think this will ultimately benefit the market as a whole!
The key bearish anchor for further downside is the sell-side liquidity zone from August 2024! As we can see, during the market pullback on October 10, this liquidity zone wasn't swept!
I hope new liquidity will still emerge in the market, as The Fed officially ends the quantitative tightening (QT) program on December 1, 2025.
– The regulator will no longer reduce the balance sheet and withdraw liquidity from the market.
That said, to continue the bullish trend, we first need to break above the POC, test the main order block, and the annual opening of 2025—only then can we move to sweep the weak high, followed by acceleration toward the marked zone.
I hope max pain can be just with test buy line W take profit indicator!
Bullish sign is a money inflow like in 2022 on W by mp indicator!
📣 Add alerts and track updates
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On the weekly chart, the main accumulation zone is marked by the lower block! It will also serve as the primary zone if the market is gearing up for another drop across the broad altcoin market! I believe that in this cycle, it's not just a handover among investors, but also a market cleanse from projects that won't survive this cycle!
In the long term, I think this will ultimately benefit the market as a whole!
The key bearish anchor for further downside is the sell-side liquidity zone from August 2024! As we can see, during the market pullback on October 10, this liquidity zone wasn't swept!
I hope new liquidity will still emerge in the market, as The Fed officially ends the quantitative tightening (QT) program on December 1, 2025.
– The regulator will no longer reduce the balance sheet and withdraw liquidity from the market.
That said, to continue the bullish trend, we first need to break above the POC, test the main order block, and the annual opening of 2025—only then can we move to sweep the weak high, followed by acceleration toward the marked zone.
I hope max pain can be just with test buy line W take profit indicator!
Bullish sign is a money inflow like in 2022 on W by mp indicator!
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Yt time
▶️ Others. D - https://youtu.be/VBYJG4_Q_JU
▶️ Others Cap - https://youtu.be/uxIhVXn8UcY
▶️ Plasma - https://youtu.be/XydQgSbkKus
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GOLD and SP500 technical analysis! Where is a TOP?
▶️ https://youtu.be/66-9kCoyPxE
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Alert for ZEN 12h tf added 17 nov! Today reached target
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Yt time
▶️ $DOT - https://youtu.be/o5SJf6bj08Q
▶️ $SOL - https://youtu.be/HZOZYD5XbPM
▶️ $APT - https://youtu.be/gyz_rjNZSUs
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