Altcoin pain is real — and familiar.
We’re seeing our third wave of altcoin capitulation in just 2 years.
Veterans? They've seen it before.
It’s the post-halving pattern — first BTC pumps, then altcoins follow (eventually)... if they survive. But i explained in 2023 this cycle all this "experts" who become rich just because they use simple patterns which works previous cycles this time they will be in panic.
But here’s what most still get wrong 👇
– No profit-taking in midterm zones
– Full degen mode: zero stablecoins
– Too much leverage
– Holding blindly through trend shifts
📉 End result?
Big drawdowns, locked bags, and zero dry powder to DCA.
Even worse — most alts today are purely speculative.
People believe in cycles, memes, or “number go up.” It’s cult-like. A lot of tokens become new CULT. new fancy solution for nothing. Marketing over everything.
Every team trying to sell us the PEN and they go all in. With airdrop system, points.
Don’t believe it?
Look at the mass liquidity move from meme coins into $TRUMP. People need new cult again and again. Remember this Murad tweet - "Believe in something". People randomly become rich in 2017-2021 because they love mascot, new "tech" project. And they feels like "Im a genius". this time everything works in different way! And yes its a hard mode cycle!
I have a bunch of coins like BBL, Lina (small amount) which will never recover back! I accept looses! I have a XCH and IOTA which also probably will cut looses but at least little bit higher prices. Some tokens like STRK and Portal i hope out at break even! Yes it was my personal mistakes! But good moment, im just a human and not pretend to be guru or genius just because i randomly buying any memecoin or coin in 2017-2021 and become rich overnight! )
I work everyday a front of charts and still learning!
Next cycle, same mistakes?
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We’re seeing our third wave of altcoin capitulation in just 2 years.
Veterans? They've seen it before.
It’s the post-halving pattern — first BTC pumps, then altcoins follow (eventually)... if they survive. But i explained in 2023 this cycle all this "experts" who become rich just because they use simple patterns which works previous cycles this time they will be in panic.
But here’s what most still get wrong 👇
– No profit-taking in midterm zones
– Full degen mode: zero stablecoins
– Too much leverage
– Holding blindly through trend shifts
📉 End result?
Big drawdowns, locked bags, and zero dry powder to DCA.
Even worse — most alts today are purely speculative.
People believe in cycles, memes, or “number go up.” It’s cult-like. A lot of tokens become new CULT. new fancy solution for nothing. Marketing over everything.
Every team trying to sell us the PEN and they go all in. With airdrop system, points.
Don’t believe it?
Look at the mass liquidity move from meme coins into $TRUMP. People need new cult again and again. Remember this Murad tweet - "Believe in something". People randomly become rich in 2017-2021 because they love mascot, new "tech" project. And they feels like "Im a genius". this time everything works in different way! And yes its a hard mode cycle!
I have a bunch of coins like BBL, Lina (small amount) which will never recover back! I accept looses! I have a XCH and IOTA which also probably will cut looses but at least little bit higher prices. Some tokens like STRK and Portal i hope out at break even! Yes it was my personal mistakes! But good moment, im just a human and not pretend to be guru or genius just because i randomly buying any memecoin or coin in 2017-2021 and become rich overnight! )
I work everyday a front of charts and still learning!
Next cycle, same mistakes?
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Bitget Wallet Alpha. Trade Memecoins Before They Pump #education
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https://youtu.be/QTNpPjHir54
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Big unlocks in next 14 days
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How to Trade Futures Without KYC Using Bitget Wallet? #education
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Everyone keeps waiting for the U.S. to turn on the money printer. Why? Simply because "that’s how it’s always been" — so our useless internet tokens can start flashing green candles again.
Yes, interest rates might start dropping this July or in the fall.
But what’s the actual reason to print dollars right now?
– Trump’s tariffs benefit the U.S. economy.
– Weapons for multiple global conflicts are being purchased from the U.S.
– GDP is growing, and the dollar remains strong.
What we should be watching for is a liquidity injection through the approval of stablecoin legislation.
Imagine: $230 billion in digital dollars, created out of thin air — no need to even print paper.
The perfect plan:
Create Bitcoin and get the world hooked on the orange narrative of decentralization and “financial revolution.”
Print unlimited stablecoins through Tether and Circle, free from oversight or restrictions.
Issue loans to corporations in stablecoins to buy up BTC.
And finally — at the peak of euphoria, crash the market, forcing holders to sell off BTC to repay their debts.
That’s when the real cascade of liquidations begins. But that’s for later.
Right now, Tether and Circle are already printing billions in USDT/USDC every month. And the most interesting part?
That liquidity still hasn’t hit the market — meaning someone is waiting for the green light.
We wait.
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Yes, interest rates might start dropping this July or in the fall.
But what’s the actual reason to print dollars right now?
– Trump’s tariffs benefit the U.S. economy.
– Weapons for multiple global conflicts are being purchased from the U.S.
– GDP is growing, and the dollar remains strong.
What we should be watching for is a liquidity injection through the approval of stablecoin legislation.
Imagine: $230 billion in digital dollars, created out of thin air — no need to even print paper.
The perfect plan:
Create Bitcoin and get the world hooked on the orange narrative of decentralization and “financial revolution.”
Print unlimited stablecoins through Tether and Circle, free from oversight or restrictions.
Issue loans to corporations in stablecoins to buy up BTC.
And finally — at the peak of euphoria, crash the market, forcing holders to sell off BTC to repay their debts.
That’s when the real cascade of liquidations begins. But that’s for later.
Right now, Tether and Circle are already printing billions in USDT/USDC every month. And the most interesting part?
That liquidity still hasn’t hit the market — meaning someone is waiting for the green light.
We wait.
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Fundamental analysis helps us figure out the true value of an asset. But it worlks in In traditional markets (stocks), common metrics include:
P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings): Tells you how much investors are paying for $1 of a company’s earnings. High P/E often means people expect growth. Low P/E might signal a bargain — or trouble.
EPS (Earnings Per Share): Shows how much profit the company makes per share. A higher EPS usually means a more profitable company.
Revenue: Total income from selling products or services. Growing revenue means strong demand.
D/E Ratio (Debt-to-Equity): Measures how much debt a company has compared to its own capital. Too much debt = more risk.
🏭 Industry, Financial & Competitive Analysis
Industry fit: Is the product solving a real-world problem? For example, EVs and gaming hardware clearly meet demand.
Financial health: Revenue, profits, debt, and expenses help show if the company can scale or survive.
Competition: How does the company compare to others in its space? Strengths and weaknesses matter.
Yes, even traditional markets have insider behavior — just ask Nancy Pelosi 😉
💱 Forex (Currency Market)
In Forex, you analyze entire countries instead of companies. Prices are affected by:
- Central bank policies
- Inflation and economic data
- Political stability
- This requires understanding macroeconomics — it’s a bit more complex.
🔗 How Does This Apply to Crypto?
Crypto projects also have “fundamentals,” but they’re tricky. Here’s what people usually look at:
-User activity
-Developer activity
-Tokenomics
-Partnerships
🙂
User stats and social media can be faked or paid for
On-chain activity might be inflated by airdrop farming or bots
Technical reports don’t always reflect price. Just ask anyone who bought $OM at $9.
Many tokens hide their true supply behind complex vesting plans or team wallets
“Partnerships” usually cause short-term hype, but rarely bring long-term value
🤔 So, does DYOR (“Do Your Own Research”) still matter?
Yes — but it’s harder now. Big institutions control most liquidity. Narratives are often manufactured, and prices move more from capital flows than real fundamentals.
So while DYOR is still useful, it's no longer enough by itself.
Conclusion - more and more unfortunally I focus only on a charts + news.
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P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings): Tells you how much investors are paying for $1 of a company’s earnings. High P/E often means people expect growth. Low P/E might signal a bargain — or trouble.
EPS (Earnings Per Share): Shows how much profit the company makes per share. A higher EPS usually means a more profitable company.
Revenue: Total income from selling products or services. Growing revenue means strong demand.
D/E Ratio (Debt-to-Equity): Measures how much debt a company has compared to its own capital. Too much debt = more risk.
🏭 Industry, Financial & Competitive Analysis
Industry fit: Is the product solving a real-world problem? For example, EVs and gaming hardware clearly meet demand.
Financial health: Revenue, profits, debt, and expenses help show if the company can scale or survive.
Competition: How does the company compare to others in its space? Strengths and weaknesses matter.
Yes, even traditional markets have insider behavior — just ask Nancy Pelosi 😉
💱 Forex (Currency Market)
In Forex, you analyze entire countries instead of companies. Prices are affected by:
- Central bank policies
- Inflation and economic data
- Political stability
- This requires understanding macroeconomics — it’s a bit more complex.
🔗 How Does This Apply to Crypto?
Crypto projects also have “fundamentals,” but they’re tricky. Here’s what people usually look at:
-User activity
-Developer activity
-Tokenomics
-Partnerships
User stats and social media can be faked or paid for
On-chain activity might be inflated by airdrop farming or bots
Technical reports don’t always reflect price. Just ask anyone who bought $OM at $9.
Many tokens hide their true supply behind complex vesting plans or team wallets
“Partnerships” usually cause short-term hype, but rarely bring long-term value
🤔 So, does DYOR (“Do Your Own Research”) still matter?
Yes — but it’s harder now. Big institutions control most liquidity. Narratives are often manufactured, and prices move more from capital flows than real fundamentals.
So while DYOR is still useful, it's no longer enough by itself.
Conclusion - more and more unfortunally I focus only on a charts + news.
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Key moments this week!
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Bitcoin Cycle Repeat Chart. Based on
MA 1458D
MA 200D
Price end of day
Even based on this metrics there is no projection 250k 500k 1mil random numbers what influencers, Saylor and funds shill everywhere!
And this is looks more realistic!
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MA 1458D
MA 200D
Price end of day
Even based on this metrics there is no projection 250k 500k 1mil random numbers what influencers, Saylor and funds shill everywhere!
And this is looks more realistic!
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Want higher-probability trades? Start syncing your timeframes.
No — it won’t make you win every time. But it will help you trade smarter.
Markets don’t move in perfect lines. They’re chaotic, full of noise…and news!
But inside that chaos? Patterns. And if you understand how to spot them across timeframes, that’s where the edge lives. At least you have a little bit higher chances for profitable trades!
💡 Example: The trend is clearly down? Use smaller timeframes to find short setups while the big picture plays out. I realize sometimes I tried fighting with a market and catch the knifes but stop loss was my result!
Price bounces from one emotional level to another — buyer zones to seller zones.
And remember the golden rule: “The trend is your friend.” Especially when you learn how to read it across multiple charts. And every trend one day will end! So one day even when we will not believe in uptrend for altcoins the trend will shift! The question will be only the one - when the uptrend for altcoins will finish and we should mark our conservative targets!
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✅ Links | Crypto4light News
No — it won’t make you win every time. But it will help you trade smarter.
Markets don’t move in perfect lines. They’re chaotic, full of noise…and news!
But inside that chaos? Patterns. And if you understand how to spot them across timeframes, that’s where the edge lives. At least you have a little bit higher chances for profitable trades!
💡 Example: The trend is clearly down? Use smaller timeframes to find short setups while the big picture plays out. I realize sometimes I tried fighting with a market and catch the knifes but stop loss was my result!
Price bounces from one emotional level to another — buyer zones to seller zones.
And remember the golden rule: “The trend is your friend.” Especially when you learn how to read it across multiple charts. And every trend one day will end! So one day even when we will not believe in uptrend for altcoins the trend will shift! The question will be only the one - when the uptrend for altcoins will finish and we should mark our conservative targets!
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5👍14
New ath targets for BTC
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https://youtu.be/QYYhVfOnfdY
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$HFT realistic targets
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https://youtu.be/vpN5oCOOcK0
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Jupiter Memecoin Hunt with Alphascan – Full Breakdown & Red Flags
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Realistic Arbitrum plan
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https://youtu.be/_MyoZAP87Es
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People talk “sol to the moon when etf”
Solana reaction on first sol staking etf 😀
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Solana reaction on first sol staking etf 😀
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My biggest mistake of this cycle! FUNDAMENTAL token, project with Tier 1/2/3 big funds on a board who understand more than we are in crypto! But they just understand how to launch pump/dump tokens to generate more usd selling retails idea about "fundamental" Imagine bbl dumped 766000% down))
Kind a expensive lessons))
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Kind a expensive lessons))
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Humanity Protocol Gem or Overhyped Narrative?
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Forwarded from Crypto4light NEWS
BTC will reach $135,000 in Q3 and $200,000 by the end of 2025, Standard Chartered analysts predict.
BTC growth will be fueled by ETF inflows, corporate purchases, Fed rate cuts and stablecoin legislation.
Crypto4lightnews | Trading ideas
BTC growth will be fueled by ETF inflows, corporate purchases, Fed rate cuts and stablecoin legislation.
Crypto4lightnews | Trading ideas
6👍7
Will Bonk pump again?
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Pi Cycle Top Future Cross Estimate! Price target based on this model in 2028
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How to Use Axiom Pro Trade – Full Tutorial for Crypto Traders #education
For memecoins trading and Futures trading without KYC
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https://youtu.be/SLWgf9gJJ_E
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For memecoins trading and Futures trading without KYC
https://youtu.be/SLWgf9gJJ_E
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BEAM stands for "Bitcoin Economics Adaptive Multiple". BEAM divides the price of bitcoin at any given moment to a moving average of past prices. Like the Mayer multiple, the purpose of this chart is to indicate if Bitcoin is under or overvalued at any given time.
There are three types of zones:
1. Green buy zone: value of 0.07 and lower - buy Bitcoin.
2. Red sell zone: value of 0.96 or higher - sell Bitcoin.
3. Gray hodl zone: begins 8 months before and ends 8 months after each halving event - hodl Bitcoin.
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There are three types of zones:
1. Green buy zone: value of 0.07 and lower - buy Bitcoin.
2. Red sell zone: value of 0.96 or higher - sell Bitcoin.
3. Gray hodl zone: begins 8 months before and ends 8 months after each halving event - hodl Bitcoin.
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