ETH updates! Dont fall in euphoria. Follow your plan for each altcoin in your portfolio
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Middle term targets for Arbitrum
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Friends, once again, like clockwork, I see the entire community suddenly obsessing over one word β altseason!
Throwing around dumb crypto clichΓ©s like tothemoon, uponly, and all that nonsense. Every month or two it feels like people switch off their brains and turn on full-blown degen mode.
Letβs break down a few key points:
1. First of all β yes, long-term targets for many altcoins are still much higher.
Seeing a 100β300% gain from where we were doesnβt mean weβre at the end of βaltseason.β In fact, I suggest removing that term from your vocabulary entirely.
Altseason technically just means the top 50 alts are outperforming Bitcoin β but it doesnβt mean the remaining 100,000 coins are doing the same. We have a limited amount of capital and liquidity in this market, and itβs not enough to pump every coin.
Liquidity rotates. One coin gets pumped, then dumped, then the profits get rotated elsewhere. Not everything can pump at once.
If your investment timeline is 1β2 years β stop refreshing your portfolio every time a coin moves +10%. You should only care about the zone where youβre actually planning to take profit. Each asset will have a different level depending on your entry point.
2. Now, take a look at the screenshot example. For STRK and Chillguy, the macro targets are much higher than current prices.
But you have to consider: from the local bottom, just a simple test of the yearly open on STRK would be a +330% gain. But from todayβs price, itβs only +160%. And thatβs assuming the recent low was truly the bottom.
We could easily go up +330% this summer and then drop to 10 cents again. If someone buys at $0.45, they might be stuck with a -330% drawdown before they break even. Thatβs why your investment plan should always account for potential drawdowns β both in percentage and time.
As for Chillguy β tokens like this can be pumped and dumped easily. A test of the yearly open from the bottom would mean a +765% gain. From the current level? Only +108%. So if you buy now, sure, you might gain 108% β or you might drop 50% in a few days if it retests the monthly open.
Think in terms of entry logic. If your spot entry on Chillguy was $0.16 in January 2025, even if the weekly chart looks bullish and long-term targets look juicy, remember: your entry is someone elseβs +765% β and many of them will be taking profit at those levels.
3. So sometimes, it makes more sense to exit at breakeven.
If youβve been stuck in a position for 4β5 months, and the coin finally returns to your entry, donβt get euphoric thinking, βnow itβs finally gonna moon!β That price zone might be the perfect exit for someone who bought much lower.
Think about it β if you think +300% on STRK is "nothing" because you expect $1β2... imagine someone who put in $1M into some made-up internet token. A +300% move turns it into $3M. They could market sell and walk away with a clean $2M profit in just a couple of weeks. What would you do?
Perspective matters β especially in relation to the original size of the deposit. These coins might look virtual, but the profits they generate are very real. Smart money β whether itβs a person or a fund β is going to take profits and pull out initial capital, which creates sell pressure.
Stop thinking like a crypto bro on Twitter. Start thinking like a trader or a fund.
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Throwing around dumb crypto clichΓ©s like tothemoon, uponly, and all that nonsense. Every month or two it feels like people switch off their brains and turn on full-blown degen mode.
Letβs break down a few key points:
1. First of all β yes, long-term targets for many altcoins are still much higher.
Seeing a 100β300% gain from where we were doesnβt mean weβre at the end of βaltseason.β In fact, I suggest removing that term from your vocabulary entirely.
Altseason technically just means the top 50 alts are outperforming Bitcoin β but it doesnβt mean the remaining 100,000 coins are doing the same. We have a limited amount of capital and liquidity in this market, and itβs not enough to pump every coin.
Liquidity rotates. One coin gets pumped, then dumped, then the profits get rotated elsewhere. Not everything can pump at once.
If your investment timeline is 1β2 years β stop refreshing your portfolio every time a coin moves +10%. You should only care about the zone where youβre actually planning to take profit. Each asset will have a different level depending on your entry point.
2. Now, take a look at the screenshot example. For STRK and Chillguy, the macro targets are much higher than current prices.
But you have to consider: from the local bottom, just a simple test of the yearly open on STRK would be a +330% gain. But from todayβs price, itβs only +160%. And thatβs assuming the recent low was truly the bottom.
We could easily go up +330% this summer and then drop to 10 cents again. If someone buys at $0.45, they might be stuck with a -330% drawdown before they break even. Thatβs why your investment plan should always account for potential drawdowns β both in percentage and time.
As for Chillguy β tokens like this can be pumped and dumped easily. A test of the yearly open from the bottom would mean a +765% gain. From the current level? Only +108%. So if you buy now, sure, you might gain 108% β or you might drop 50% in a few days if it retests the monthly open.
Think in terms of entry logic. If your spot entry on Chillguy was $0.16 in January 2025, even if the weekly chart looks bullish and long-term targets look juicy, remember: your entry is someone elseβs +765% β and many of them will be taking profit at those levels.
3. So sometimes, it makes more sense to exit at breakeven.
If youβve been stuck in a position for 4β5 months, and the coin finally returns to your entry, donβt get euphoric thinking, βnow itβs finally gonna moon!β That price zone might be the perfect exit for someone who bought much lower.
Think about it β if you think +300% on STRK is "nothing" because you expect $1β2... imagine someone who put in $1M into some made-up internet token. A +300% move turns it into $3M. They could market sell and walk away with a clean $2M profit in just a couple of weeks. What would you do?
Perspective matters β especially in relation to the original size of the deposit. These coins might look virtual, but the profits they generate are very real. Smart money β whether itβs a person or a fund β is going to take profits and pull out initial capital, which creates sell pressure.
Stop thinking like a crypto bro on Twitter. Start thinking like a trader or a fund.
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6π22π₯5π€5β‘2β2π³2
EtherFi Main Updates
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5π2
WIF landed to 27 zone. What next?
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5π3
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Book of Memes updates
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Near Price Prediction. Still bullish?
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5π2
By the way guys, for new users here. You can use free usefull tool market cap calculator - CLICK
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Eigen Layer going by plan
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5π2
Kamino Finance potential targets
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5
BTC rainbow chart. Based on this one we are not even close to the top
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Now 50% of PumpSwap's revenue will be distributed among token creators. Looks like good feature, its motivate, maybe devs not dump coin after few min or hours))
Why its also good? I think expect more influxes into memes on solana in the near future, especially a new amount of daily tokens and migrations + in media everyone start share some metrics onchain how good SOL
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Why its also good? I think expect more influxes into memes on solana in the near future, especially a new amount of daily tokens and migrations + in media everyone start share some metrics onchain how good SOL
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5π1
OP updates
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5π6
Syrup Coin Price Prediction 2025: Will Maple Finance Surge?
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Ordinals going according to plan. #ordi
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Sats Coin Price Prediction. Ordinals What next?
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ARKM will wait (if summer will be new dump on alts) IAP model sweep low October 2023. If not ill skip it.
Funds from IEO potentialy still in +1278% profit from current prices.
Technically now its also ok time for accumulation because we rejected at 27 zone, tested buy line but rejected
Depends of BTC.D if we can see alts rally higher W gap and Yearly open + Take profit like a magnet. But i'll wait
Only 40% tokens unlocked.
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Funds from IEO potentialy still in +1278% profit from current prices.
Technically now its also ok time for accumulation because we rejected at 27 zone, tested buy line but rejected
Depends of BTC.D if we can see alts rally higher W gap and Yearly open + Take profit like a magnet. But i'll wait
Only 40% tokens unlocked.
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5π5π₯1
1inch Daily zones for decision.
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5π3
You know this isnβt a political channel, but it feels like the market β and investors β are currently waiting for decisions from Turkey and the outcome of the negotiation process regarding the resolution of the war between Ukraine and Russia. Bitcoin is holding steady, while altcoins are performing slightly worse (but with much greater upside potential).
The logic right now is quite simple: the market was pushed exactly into mid-May, and now comes the time for decision-making. If there is even a slight hint or outcome from negotiations that suggests the beginning of the end of the war, markets could easily move higher and continue rallying into autumn β similar to the "DeFi Summer," when everyone expected a drop during the summer, but instead we saw a significant rally.
However, if things take a negative turn, we may see a classic "Sell in May and go away" scenario, with Bitcoin starting a reversal closer to August β just like in previous cycles. Some altcoins might still show short-term bounces, but overall, we could revisit lower levels for several assets. Itβs important to remember that nothing depends on us. Trying to guess market direction from this point is pointless. Like it or not, liquidity is in the hands of non-retail investors, and we have no real influence on price movements.
The ideal scenario for all of us holding altcoins would be a somewhat positive outcome from the negotiations, followed by a Bitcoin correction to the $96Kβ$92K range with a potential reversal setup in August. During this time, Bitcoin dominance would continue to decline, pushing liquidity into the altcoin sector. This would trigger growth in some altcoins (not all). Later, around August, this altcoin liquidity could be used as fuel for Bitcoin to make a new all-time high in the $139Kβ$145K range this fall.
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The logic right now is quite simple: the market was pushed exactly into mid-May, and now comes the time for decision-making. If there is even a slight hint or outcome from negotiations that suggests the beginning of the end of the war, markets could easily move higher and continue rallying into autumn β similar to the "DeFi Summer," when everyone expected a drop during the summer, but instead we saw a significant rally.
However, if things take a negative turn, we may see a classic "Sell in May and go away" scenario, with Bitcoin starting a reversal closer to August β just like in previous cycles. Some altcoins might still show short-term bounces, but overall, we could revisit lower levels for several assets. Itβs important to remember that nothing depends on us. Trying to guess market direction from this point is pointless. Like it or not, liquidity is in the hands of non-retail investors, and we have no real influence on price movements.
The ideal scenario for all of us holding altcoins would be a somewhat positive outcome from the negotiations, followed by a Bitcoin correction to the $96Kβ$92K range with a potential reversal setup in August. During this time, Bitcoin dominance would continue to decline, pushing liquidity into the altcoin sector. This would trigger growth in some altcoins (not all). Later, around August, this altcoin liquidity could be used as fuel for Bitcoin to make a new all-time high in the $139Kβ$145K range this fall.
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