Some Thoughts on the Market, Specifically Timing

1. I also don’t believe that the bull market has ended, nor that the altseason is over! It can’t end if it never really started. However, I definitely don’t expect anything as spectacular as 2017-2021. There are simply too many coins and far too little liquidity. The world is completely different in every aspect compared to four years ago. It's better to set conservative targets for altcoins from current levels. If you believe in higher prices, keep 30% of your tokens for potentially massive gains. If the market reaches peak levels but some of your coins are only at breakeven, it's better to exit. What might be a breakeven point for you could already be +900% for someone else.

2. It may sound cliché, but I have a feeling the market reversal could happen right on the last day of the Chinese New Year, after February 12. Keep a close eye on Bitcoin dominance and the ETH/BTC pair! If this plays out, I’ll once again believe that the crypto market is controlled by a bunch of occultists who align it with astrological dates and events.

3. Will the market peak in April or May 2025? No one knows! In spring, we'll likely see the launch of Ethereum options, another Ethereum upgrade, and hopefully, my geopolitical ideas will materialize, triggering maximum euphoria and the illusion that everything in the world is finally going to be great. I also think they’ll push some mass adoption narratives—more as rumors than reality. The media will heavily speculate on the idea of the U.S. creating a Bitcoin reserve (which likely won’t happen this year), but the market will rally on these rumors and insider leaks. We’ll definitely see another wave of ETF filings for various tokens. I expect one of SOL, XRP, or LTC to get ETF approval, either in spring or fall 2025. Keep in mind—this won’t be a buying event, but a selling one.

4. At some point, gold will stop rising, and as always, Bitcoin will lag behind! I still expect Bitcoin to reach around $139K, as I mentioned before. There’s no new money flowing into the market, and I don’t think they’ll start printing again, but liquidity from FTX creditor payouts will flow back into crypto.

5. Another (and likely the last) meme coin wave will happen! In 2025, I expect various celebrities to launch tokens following Trump’s lead. The chaos and madness will end quickly.

6. Search the chat or channel for posts about the 18-year real estate cycle—it will give you a better understanding of my thoughts on timing. AI will also end in nothing good. I still believe the market will crash due to some AI-related crisis. As I’ve said before, they’ll let everyone make money, but by the end of the year, they’ll remind you that all the risk you took on—investing your money in crypto and making a profit—comes with a price: taxes. Regulation is coming whether you like it or not. Personally, I see it as more of a positive than a negative.

There’s a lot more to discuss, from trade wars to Trumpism. I’ll continue sharing my observations periodically.

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We need to start evaluating token declines differently. A token cannot drop more than 100%, yet we always measure declines from the high to the low. For example, Popcat has dropped by -92%.

The problem is that this measurement is subjective and depends on the reference point. A more accurate way to assess the decline would be to calculate how much the token needs to rise to return to its previous high. In this case, the token would need to grow by +1211% to recover its losses. in other words, yes Popcat dumped -1211% down!

Many investors mistakenly assume that if a token has dropped by -92%, a +100% increase would cover their loss and put them at +8%. This misconception misleads beginners.

Evaluating tokens in this way provides a better understanding of whether an asset is worth buying and how much potential upside it realistically has.

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You know, I’m really not a fan of patterns, repeating cycles, and all that! I think even a child can understand that the world is completely different after COVID! I don’t get how people compare 2017 to 2025 at all! But on platforms like X, you can find these patterns, drawings, and so on! Friends, let me remind you that if you need bullish confirmation that Bitcoin is going up, you’ll find a million patterns and signs to support why it’s going up. If you need it to go down, you’ll find a million patterns from the past explaining why we’re heading to 30k. So, this kind of drawing is just about getting people to invest 100k into Bitcoin! For some reason, I haven’t seen these “artists” with beautiful charts predicting 15k, even though back in 2022, they were drawing charts predicting 10k-5k. #bitcoin

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For the last couple of months, I’ve been studying on-chain analytics! It’s a very interesting tool and definitely for geeks who love digging through vast amounts of data. I caught myself thinking that thanks to platforms like Arkham, we can identify the wallets of major investors, observe, for example, the movement of funds from wallets like Wintermute’s, and use that to conduct analysis and draw conclusions. But here’s the problem: these big players know that their wallets are being watched! They can just move funds around, creating some actions, and everyone will try to decipher their next move. In reality, these could just be transfers made for fun, to make people like me think we’ve spotted some insider activity.😄 Funds, market makers, and exchanges are just people, and human psychology never changes.

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Saylor #BTC forecast! Ok.

Fast forward 20 years, and thanks to a steady 5% inflation rate, your dollars will buy about a third of what they do today—great, right?

Right now, there’s roughly $75 trillion floating around globally, but give it some time, and that number could balloon to $200 trillion.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s market cap sits at a humble $2 trillion. If BTC ever hits $49 million per coin, its valuation would need to explode by 500x to a jaw-dropping $1,000 trillion.

That’s five times the entire money supply on Earth. No big deal, just need to shill people random beautifull numbers so they can buy more orange pill. 🌎🚀

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BNX updates after 7 months after Main bull run plan #BNX

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https://youtu.be/A1aym_5st8U

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Visualisation how this cycle different because of memes and crazinest around Pumpfun..
Pump Fun launched in April 2024.
The chart shows the point where everything changed and the growth of altcoins deviated from previous cycles.

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Another popular image from X!
Can we see these gains and patterns? Yes.
Can this time be different? Yes.
Try to find the answer for yourself and your portfolio somewhere in the middle.

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I think you saw this screen! Now The sentiment identical

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NEIRO landed to W fvg! What next?! #neiro

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https://youtu.be/Zu1nhiji4UA

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What to do with Starknet? Watch this video till the end, if your token looks similar to #STRK chart!

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https://youtu.be/8krSu8A6SmM

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To understand what’s happening:
1. A couple of weeks before liquidity starts flowing into altcoins, Binance and CZ realize they can’t miss the opportunity to draw attention to $BNB . So, they create a so-called test token, $TST .
2. They build a narrative that the token was “accidentally” picked up by traders and started gaining traction. Sure. Even if that were true, and Binance repeatedly emphasized that it’s just a test token, why list it on their own platform? If it’s purely for testing, let people continue playing with it elsewhere. But according to the real playbook, it’s the usual insider-driven meme token scheme.
3. Everyone knows the meme token trend will return, and it would be foolish to let $SOL capture all the liquidity. Now, with the “test token” in play, a new wave of meme tokens on BNB will emerge. Transaction fees and BNB burns only benefit Binance.
4. The real issue is that, besides the meme token model, no network has anything substantial to offer retail investors. So this “test token” might not be as much of a test as it seems.
5. Vitalik also needs to come up with something—otherwise, Ethereum could lose momentum entirely.

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For everyone who still believe in legend about Satoshi.🤝

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Traders now in biggest short positions on Eth) Ok waiting 12 Feb to see if the theory works

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Read new article for beginners to understand market activity

🟠Binance square - READ
📈Tradingview - READ
#education

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There are hundreds of videos online on how to trade premium and discount zones! In theory, everything always looks simple, as usual. 😃 According to books and tutorials, it all seems easy—until you start trading on a real account!

I'll share some important insights about premium and discount zones. Watch the video until the end and take notes! ✅ #education #crypto #trading

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https://youtu.be/Xex947hzROg

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