Big updates for #ICP $ICP

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immutable x updates #imx $IMX

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Friends, I want to show a visualization using STRK as an example—what if we are potentially expecting an altseason, but the token has dropped below the listing price, leading to an invalidation of the IAP model?

According to the rules, yes, the model is invalidated, and below the listing price, there is an absolutely empty zone—an open space for unrestricted freefall since there is no data to work with. No one knows the exact zone or price level where funds and market makers will decide to stop the decline. However, if the project remains active and continues to be listed on exchanges, all targets remain relevant. This is why visualization is important.

According to the model, if we stop at the first zone, the growth to the profit-taking area would be around 200%.
If the token drops into an optimal buy zone, the potential growth could be 400-500%, followed by new highs similar to the case of TIA and further upward movement.

If we fall even lower, then the growth from the lowest point to the profit-taking zone could bring more than 1200% in returns. This means that while the targets remain the same, the lower we fall, the harder they become to achieve. As a result, 1200% might already act as the final peak since, in percentage terms, this is a significant profit. This is similar to the case where, if the token had stopped in the first zone, a 1200% increase would have brought it to $11.
However, from the current lowest point, an $11 target for STRK would already mean over 6000% growth.

So, friends, after the invalidation of an idea, this visualization serves as a great tool for continuing to work with potential profit in percentage terms.
In previous cycles, altcoins grew conservatively by 2000-5000-10000%.
Now, with a massive number of tokens in the market, it's clear that setting conservative, realistic profit targets based on the last price where the token stabilizes is the best approach. Something to think about!

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In simple words explained and create for you #ENA dashboard

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Bera after listing immediately dump -50%) looks like someone need faster deliver this speculation to zones of interest) #bera #berachain

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Never say never part 2) Neiro landed in W fvg

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Guys if you participated in Arkham season2 - CLICK
Check your accounts for Airdrops

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Price updates for Arkham! Spoiler, i think we will see new ath! #arkham #arkm

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Some Thoughts on the Market, Specifically Timing

1. I also don’t believe that the bull market has ended, nor that the altseason is over! It can’t end if it never really started. However, I definitely don’t expect anything as spectacular as 2017-2021. There are simply too many coins and far too little liquidity. The world is completely different in every aspect compared to four years ago. It's better to set conservative targets for altcoins from current levels. If you believe in higher prices, keep 30% of your tokens for potentially massive gains. If the market reaches peak levels but some of your coins are only at breakeven, it's better to exit. What might be a breakeven point for you could already be +900% for someone else.

2. It may sound cliché, but I have a feeling the market reversal could happen right on the last day of the Chinese New Year, after February 12. Keep a close eye on Bitcoin dominance and the ETH/BTC pair! If this plays out, I’ll once again believe that the crypto market is controlled by a bunch of occultists who align it with astrological dates and events.

3. Will the market peak in April or May 2025? No one knows! In spring, we'll likely see the launch of Ethereum options, another Ethereum upgrade, and hopefully, my geopolitical ideas will materialize, triggering maximum euphoria and the illusion that everything in the world is finally going to be great. I also think they’ll push some mass adoption narratives—more as rumors than reality. The media will heavily speculate on the idea of the U.S. creating a Bitcoin reserve (which likely won’t happen this year), but the market will rally on these rumors and insider leaks. We’ll definitely see another wave of ETF filings for various tokens. I expect one of SOL, XRP, or LTC to get ETF approval, either in spring or fall 2025. Keep in mind—this won’t be a buying event, but a selling one.

4. At some point, gold will stop rising, and as always, Bitcoin will lag behind! I still expect Bitcoin to reach around $139K, as I mentioned before. There’s no new money flowing into the market, and I don’t think they’ll start printing again, but liquidity from FTX creditor payouts will flow back into crypto.

5. Another (and likely the last) meme coin wave will happen! In 2025, I expect various celebrities to launch tokens following Trump’s lead. The chaos and madness will end quickly.

6. Search the chat or channel for posts about the 18-year real estate cycle—it will give you a better understanding of my thoughts on timing. AI will also end in nothing good. I still believe the market will crash due to some AI-related crisis. As I’ve said before, they’ll let everyone make money, but by the end of the year, they’ll remind you that all the risk you took on—investing your money in crypto and making a profit—comes with a price: taxes. Regulation is coming whether you like it or not. Personally, I see it as more of a positive than a negative.

There’s a lot more to discuss, from trade wars to Trumpism. I’ll continue sharing my observations periodically.

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We need to start evaluating token declines differently. A token cannot drop more than 100%, yet we always measure declines from the high to the low. For example, Popcat has dropped by -92%.

The problem is that this measurement is subjective and depends on the reference point. A more accurate way to assess the decline would be to calculate how much the token needs to rise to return to its previous high. In this case, the token would need to grow by +1211% to recover its losses. in other words, yes Popcat dumped -1211% down!

Many investors mistakenly assume that if a token has dropped by -92%, a +100% increase would cover their loss and put them at +8%. This misconception misleads beginners.

Evaluating tokens in this way provides a better understanding of whether an asset is worth buying and how much potential upside it realistically has.

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You know, I’m really not a fan of patterns, repeating cycles, and all that! I think even a child can understand that the world is completely different after COVID! I don’t get how people compare 2017 to 2025 at all! But on platforms like X, you can find these patterns, drawings, and so on! Friends, let me remind you that if you need bullish confirmation that Bitcoin is going up, you’ll find a million patterns and signs to support why it’s going up. If you need it to go down, you’ll find a million patterns from the past explaining why we’re heading to 30k. So, this kind of drawing is just about getting people to invest 100k into Bitcoin! For some reason, I haven’t seen these “artists” with beautiful charts predicting 15k, even though back in 2022, they were drawing charts predicting 10k-5k. #bitcoin

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For the last couple of months, I’ve been studying on-chain analytics! It’s a very interesting tool and definitely for geeks who love digging through vast amounts of data. I caught myself thinking that thanks to platforms like Arkham, we can identify the wallets of major investors, observe, for example, the movement of funds from wallets like Wintermute’s, and use that to conduct analysis and draw conclusions. But here’s the problem: these big players know that their wallets are being watched! They can just move funds around, creating some actions, and everyone will try to decipher their next move. In reality, these could just be transfers made for fun, to make people like me think we’ve spotted some insider activity.😄 Funds, market makers, and exchanges are just people, and human psychology never changes.

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Saylor #BTC forecast! Ok.

Fast forward 20 years, and thanks to a steady 5% inflation rate, your dollars will buy about a third of what they do today—great, right?

Right now, there’s roughly $75 trillion floating around globally, but give it some time, and that number could balloon to $200 trillion.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s market cap sits at a humble $2 trillion. If BTC ever hits $49 million per coin, its valuation would need to explode by 500x to a jaw-dropping $1,000 trillion.

That’s five times the entire money supply on Earth. No big deal, just need to shill people random beautifull numbers so they can buy more orange pill. 🌎🚀

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BNX updates after 7 months after Main bull run plan #BNX

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Visualisation how this cycle different because of memes and crazinest around Pumpfun..
Pump Fun launched in April 2024.
The chart shows the point where everything changed and the growth of altcoins deviated from previous cycles.

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Another popular image from X!
Can we see these gains and patterns? Yes.
Can this time be different? Yes.
Try to find the answer for yourself and your portfolio somewhere in the middle.

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I think you saw this screen! Now The sentiment identical

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NEIRO landed to W fvg! What next?! #neiro

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What to do with Starknet? Watch this video till the end, if your token looks similar to #STRK chart!

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